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Week 17 Sunday Night Football Props: Colts vs Titans

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Apr 8, 2020 · 11:38 AM PDT

Andrew Luck
Andrew Luck is trying to lead the Colts to the AFC South crown and a playoff berth with a win over the Titans. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr).
  • Andrew Luck trying to lead Colts to playoff berth
  • Can Derrick Henry carry Tennessee into postseason?
  • Finding the best prop bets for you on Sunday Night

Some saw Doug Baldwin’s diving grab late in the fourth quarter of Seahawks-Chiefs as one of the best catches of the season. I took it as an L.

That almost TD would have given Russell Wilson more TD passes in the game against Pat Mahomes, and given me a sweep on Sunday night props in back-to-back weeks.

Instead, we’ll settle for the draw and go undefeated into the final week of the NFL regular season.

And it’s a dandy! Win or go home, as the Colts tangle with the Titans for the final playoff berth to be settled.

Let’s get to it.

Prop #1: Marlon Mack Will Outscore Derrick Henry

Who Will Have More Rushing TDs? Odds
Marlon Mack +136
Derrick Henry +136

All odds taken 12/29.

Over the last three games, Henry has been an absolute beast, averaging 164 yards on the ground. He’s also scored TDs in four straight games, punctuated by a 238-yard, 4 TD day against the Jags in Week 15.

But two factors should limit him here, the first being Titans QB Marcus Mariota likely not able to go with a neck injury.

Blaine Gabbert at pivot leaves Henry as the only offensive threat, and the Colts should be better equipped to handle just him, as they boast the 6th best rushing defense in the NFL, holding opponents to just 3.8 yards a tote.

Mack, meanwhile, has four TDs in this last three games, and is an integral part of what the Colts do. Expect more of the same Sunday.

Prop #2: Andrew Luck Faces Tough Titans Defense

How Many TD Passes will Andrew Luck Throw? Odds
Over 2 TD passes +115
Under 2 TD passes -155

In their previous meeting, Luck threw for 297 yards and three TDs as the Colts thrashed the Titans. That was part of an absurd eight-game stretch where he tossed 27 majors, with at least three in every game.

Since then, he’s thrown just four in four games, including two contests where he failed to record a single TD pass.

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And Luck will be facing a defense playing lights out all year, a big reason Tennessee is even in position for a playoff berth.

They’re second overall in scoring defense, allowing just 18 points a game. They’ve also not allowed more than 16 points in each of their last three games.

But Luck has been so good this year, he should still be able to pierce the Titans D, just not at the midseason wrecking clip.

Prop #3: TY Hilton Will Break Out

Will T.Y. Hilton Have at Least 111 Receiving Yards? Odds
Yes +122

What a season for the Colts receiver, who’s racked up over 1,200 yards in just 13 games. He’s had some big ones coming down the home stretch, going for over 100 yards receiving in four of the last six games, and never going for less than 77 yards in that stretch.

You’re never going to guess where he started this hot streak: in Week 11 against the Tennessee Titans. In that game, Hilton went for nine catches, 155 yards and two touchdowns.

It’s the last time he’s found paydirt, so expect him to also break that slump too. In the biggest game of the year, expect Hilton to play a major factor in the Colts success.

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