Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread – Early Lines to Target
- In the Week 4 NFL picks against the spread, eight teams are showing a 2-0 ATS slate so far this season
- However, only the Tennessee Titans are 2-0 ATS and 2-0 as a betting underdog in both games
- All of the Week 4 NFL picks against the spread and early lines to target are outlined in the story below
When you’re 1-8 on the season and looking at the Week 4 NFL picks against the spread and assessing the early lines to target, it’s time to take drastic measures.
In fact, it’s time to invoke the George Constanza school of philosophy and go with Opposite Day. Two weeks in a row, I’ve picked against both the Detroit Lions and Pittsburgh Steelers and it’s come back to bite me.
This week, we eat with the Steelers and Lions on the road in the NFL lines for Week 4 ATS picks. In fact, let’s make it three road teams in all and also include the Baltimore Ravens to overcome the odds at Cleveland against the Browns.
Three weeks into the campaign, the Miami Dolphins, Arizona Cardinals, and Green Bay Packers are all 3-0 ATS. At the other end of the spectrum, the Chicago Bears, New York Giants and Denver Broncos are each 0-3 ATS.
Let’s check out all the possibilities in the NFL Week 4 ATS picks.
Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread
| Matchup | Spread | Pick | Units Risked |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers | DET-1.5 | DET | 1 |
| Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns | CLE-2.5 | BAL | 1 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans | PGH-3 | PIT | 1 |
Our top NFL ATS picks this week in the table above will feature plays on the Steelers, Ravens and Lions.
Odds as of September 25 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Get this BetMGM promo code to bet on the NFL. For bettors in Kentucky, head over to BetMGM Kentucky to claim your pre-registration bonus as Kentucky sports betting gets set to launch on September 28.
NFL ATS Pick 1: Steelers Are Road Warriors
This is truly the tale of two cities. Pittsburgh is 5-0 both straight up and ATS in the club’s past five road games. Houston is 1-4 ATS in the team’s last five home games.
6 sacks in 2.5 games…
I don’t even have to say it. @_TJWatt
— JJ Watt (@JJWatt) September 25, 2023
The Steelers are also 5-1 ATS in the last seven games against the Texans. TJ Watt and company ruin his brother JJ Watt’s Ring of Honor day in Houston.
NFL ATS Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-115), 1 unit
NFL ATS Pick 2: Lions Cover As Chalk At Lambeau
Green Bay is supposed to be the stuff of nightmares for Detroit and straight up that’s certainly been the case. The Lions are 4-26 SU in their last 30 visits to Lambeau Field and 10-18-2 ATS.
We're Lambeau Leaping our way into Week 4 🧀@Lions vs @packers.#TNFonPrime pic.twitter.com/lV1h51cPoP
— NFL on Prime Video (@NFLonPrime) September 22, 2023
However, when Detroit shows up to Green Bay as the betting chalk, all bets are off. This will be the sixth time since 1986 that the Lions are favored on the road against the Packers. They’re 4-1 ATS in the previous five meetings
NFL ATS Pick: Detroit Lions -2.5 (-110), 1 unit
NFL ATS Pick 3: Ravens Rebound Against Browns
Stunned in overtime by the Colts, the Baltimore Ravens figure to arrive in Cleveland in a bad mood. Meanwhile, the Browns will be feeling satisfied after smacking the Titans.
Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in the last nine games at Cleveland. The Ravens are also 6-3 SU in the last nine road games against the Browns.
NFL ATS Pick: Baltimore Ravens (-105), 1 unit
- ATS season record 1-8-0
Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread Quick Picks
- Falcons (+3) vs Jaguars: Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in the last five games against Jacksonville
- Dolphins (+2.5) vs Bills: The Dolphins are not only 3-0 ATS this season, they’re 3-0 ATS in the last three games against the Bills and 2-1-1 ATS in the past four visits to Buffalo
- Bears (+3.5) vs Broncos: The clubhouse leaders to pick first overall in the 2024 NFL Draft, take Chicago only because the Bears are getting 3.5 points as a home underdog
- Bengals (+1) vs Titans: Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in the last five games against the Titans and 5-0 ATS in the past five games at Tennessee
- Rams (+1) vs Colts: Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in the club’s past nine home games, including 0-1 this season
- Buccaneers (+3) vs Saints: Shoulder injury to New Orleans QB1 Derek Carr should swing this line in favor of Tampa Bay. Grab those three points while you can
- Commander (+7) vs Eagles: Washington is 2-1-1 ATS in the last four games against Philadelphia
- Panthers (+3.5) vs Vikings: Considering the many ways that Minnesota is finding to lose games, take the Panthers and the points at home
- Raiders (+5.5) vs Chargers: The only reason the Chargers show a crooked number in the win column is because the Vikings found a method to out-mistake them
- Giants (-1.5) vs Seahawks: Seattle doesn’t travel well. The Seahawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven trips east to face the Giants
- Cowboys (-7) vs Patriots: New England beat the Jets by five. Dallas beat the Jets by 20
- Cardinals (+14) vs 49ers: Oddsmakers keep making Arizona a massive underdog and the Cardinals just keep on covering
- Chiefs (-9.5) vs Jets: Jets are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 vs KC and 0-4 ATS in the last four at Kansas City
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
