Who Will Titans Draft at Fourth Overall? Latest #4 Pick Odds & Best Bet

• The Tennessee Titans hold the fourth overall pick for Thursday’s NFL Draft
• See the latest odds of which player they’re predicted to select
• My best value bet for Tennessee’s top selection for the 2026 NFL Draft

The Tennessee Titans own the fourth overall draft pick in Thursday’s NFL draft, where they desperately need to nail the selection following four years of futility. The NFL draft odds clearly have the Las Vegas Raiders taking quarterback Fernando Mendoza first overall, but what will happen after that, specifically with the Titans?

SBD’s final NFL mock draft has Tennessee picking a running back, Notre Dame’s Jeremiyah Love, fourth overall. He’s also the heavy favorite to land with the Titans at prediction market sites like Kalshi.

The graph below shows the current odds on who Tennessee will pick Thursday, and this article will delve deeply into what might happen on draft night along with my best bet.

Tennessee Titans 2026 First Draft Pick Odds

Prediction Markets

NFL Draft #4 Odds

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Kalshi

Jeremiyah Love

51%

Sonny Styles

18%

David Bailey

16%

Arvell Reese

12%

Carnell Tate

6%

Francis Mauigoa

4%

Caleb Downs

4%

Rueben Bain Jr.

2%

Mansoor Delane

2%

Keldric Faulk

2%

Predict

Odds in table from Kalshi at 8:33 pm ET, April 21st.

As noted earlier, running back Jeremiyah Love is the top choice at Kalshi to land with the Titans at 51%. The last time Tennessee took a running back in the first round came way back in 2008, when speedy Chris Johnson was nabbed.

The next most likely pick in the eyes of the prediction markets is linebacker Sonny Styles (18%), followed by Edge David Bailey (16%). Rounding out the top-five is another LB (Arvell Reese 12%), and wide receiver Carnell Tate (6%), which would really help last year’s #1 overall draft pick and QB Cam Ward.

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Of note, Robert Saleh was named head coach in the offseason, and he has a defensive background. However, the Titans have sided with an offensive player selection as their first choice in four straight drafts, and a whopping 14 of 18.

Why Titans Would Select Jeremiyah Love First Overall

Where there’s smoke, there’s fire, and running back Jeremiyah Love has been getting considerable buzz in being linked to the Titans for a while now. Tennessee badly needs the presence of a running game to take more off the plate of sophomore QB Cam Ward, plus activate a strong play action game. Last year, the squad ranked third last in total rushing yards per game (93.5) ahead of only Las Vegas and Arizona.

After years of ignoring running backs or assuming teams could pick ones late in the draft and plug and play them, the NFL seems to be shifting back to taking ball carriers early. Four straight years (2019-22) no back was taken higher than 24th, but in 2023 Bijan Robinson went 8th to Atlanta and Jahmyr Gibbs 12th to Detroit. Following no RB’s taken on the first day in 2024, Las Vegas took Ashton Jeanty at #6 in 2025.

If they do take Love, which Arizona potentially could steal from them with the pick before Tennessee, he’ll certainly be among the top favorites in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. It’d greatly improve the Titans chances to blow over their listed number in NFL win totals, which currently sits at 6.5.

Tennessee Titans NFL Draft Best Bet

Head Coach Robert Saleh has to be champing at the bit to get his hands on one of the defensive studs in the draft, given that he’s a defensive guru. Taking RB Love out of the equation, the next three likely picks are all on defense with Styles, Bailey and Reese garnering the attention.

I’d be honing in on what Titans ESPN beat reporter Turron Davenport is predicting, which is that Tennessee looks to upgrade the D, after they surrendered 28.1 PPG a year ago, fifth worst in the league. Middle linebacker is a premium position in Saleh’s defense, and that would be Ohio State’s Sonny Styles. He’s drawing comparison’s to a former pupil Saleh had as defensive coordinator in San Francisco, and that’s Fred Warner.

I’m seeing Styles’ number rise as I type out this article, and he’d be a strong candidate to claim victory in the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds. While Tennessee seems super far off in the Super Bowl odds at +15000 (sixth worst), the league moves quickly, and fortunes can change rapidly with a strong draft class.

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