Islanders vs Kings Prediction, Lineups & Late NHL Odds

• I’ve made my Islanders vs Kings prediction for Thursday’s late game at Crypto.com Arena
• Projected lineups, goalie numbers and a split betting market all factor into my picks
• See below for my side and total for this cross-conference matchup

The New York Islanders visit the Los Angeles Kings on Thursday night, with puck drop at 7PM PT / 10 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena. The game is on ESPN+, Hulu and Disney+, with Sportsnet and TVA Sports also carrying it.

Neither team has found much rhythm. New York is 7-6-4 with three overtime losses in its last ten, while Los Angeles sits 5-9-2 after going 5-5-0 over the same stretch. Bo Horvat (17 points) and Artemi Panarin (18 points) lead their respective attacks.

With injuries piling up on the Islanders’ blueline and the money split between the two sides, here’s how I’m reading the board.

Islanders vs Kings Prediction and Picks

• Game pick: Kings moneyline (-125 at BetMGM)
• Total pick: Over 6 goals (-110 at BetMGM)

My Islanders vs Kings prediction backs Los Angeles on the moneyline at -125 at BetMGM, an implied probability of 55.6%. Those prices give the Kings a 53.3% chance to win. Kalshi’s Los Angeles YES contract at 54¢ lands in the same range.

The matchup history leans Los Angeles, too. The Kings have won the last six meetings between these teams and are 4-1 in their last five games following a loss.

LA also has the edge in puck possession, posting a 50.4% Corsi For against New York’s 49.3%. The Islanders average just 25.8 shots per game, compared to 28.0 for the Kings.

I’m also taking Over 6 goals at -110 at BetMGM, which implies a 52.4% chance. Because the total is a flat 6, a six-goal game would push and refund the bet.

Kings games have produced 100 total goals in 16 contests, an average of 6.25 per night, and Los Angeles allows 3.44 goals per game. Darcy Kuemper’s .878 save percentage and a 66.0% Kings penalty kill give New York a path to score, even with its 15.4% power play.

The trends back it up. The over has hit in five straight Islanders games as an underdog and in four of the Kings’ last five after a loss.

Islanders vs Kings Odds

Compare the rest of Thursday’s NHL odds.

Odds via BetMGM as of 2:37 am ET on Nov. 12. A $10 bet on the Kings at -125 returns $8 in profit, while $10 on the Islanders at +105 pays $10.50.

Islanders vs Kings Betting Splits

• Moneyline handle: 51.3% on the Islanders
• Moneyline tickets: 78.7% on the Kings (444 of 564 bets)

In the NHL public betting splits, Most tickets are on Los Angeles, but the larger wagers are coming in on New York at plus money. That gives me some pause, but the head-to-head run and the Kings’ possession edge keep me on Los Angeles.

Islanders vs Kings Projected Lineups

Islanders Projected Lineup

Defense pairs: Logan Stanley-Matthew Schaefer, Adam Pelech-Tony DeAngelo, Ben Hutton-Matthew Kessel

Kings Projected Lineup

Defense pairs: Mikey Anderson-Drew Doughty, Joel Edmundson-Brandt Clarke, Brian Dumoulin-Cody Ceci

Islanders vs Kings Goalies and Injuries

Neither starter is confirmed. Ilya Sorokin is projected for New York (6-4-1, .910, 2.64 GAA), with Semyon Varlamov as the backup. Kuemper is the projected Kings starter (5-4-1, .878, 3.53 GAA), with Anton Forsberg behind him.

Islanders injuries:

• Mathew Barzal (F): Skated in a regular practice jersey Tuesday
• Matias Maccelli (F): Rotated on the fourth line in practice
• Ryan Pulock (D): Practiced Tuesday, game status pending
• Alexander Romanov (D): Out (ACL)
• Calum Ritchie (F): Out (lower body)

Kings injuries:

• Erik Gustafsson (D): Day-to-day (undisclosed)
• Kevin Fiala (F): Could return Thursday after a leg injury
• Jakub Dvorak (D): Out (upper body)