Upcoming Match-ups

Todd McLellan Favored to be 1st NHL Head Coach Fired This Season

Bryan Thiel

by Bryan Thiel in NHL Hockey

Updated Apr 1, 2020 · 9:04 AM PDT

Edmonton Oilers Rogers Place arena
Todd McLellan's Edmonton Oilers suffered a 5-2 defeat in their season-opener against the New Jersey Devils. Photo by IQRemix (flickr).
  • Online sportsbooks have released odds on who will be the first NHL head coach to lose his job
  • Todd McLellan of the Oilers has the shortest odds at +200
  • Other interesting names among the odds include Jeff Blashill, Randy Carlyle (+950), and Mike Yeo (+3000)

While a new NHL season gives hope to everyone, there are some coaches who enter it with a cloud over their head.

Like Guy Boucher, who finds himself in one of the most confusing situations with the Senators. Or Jeff Blashill, who has missed the playoffs in two of his three years with the Red Wings.

But especially Todd McLellan, who, despite having the best player in the game grace his team, faces a make-or-break year with the Oilers. And according to online sportsbooks, he owns the best odds at being the first head coach to lose his job.

Odds to be First Coach Fired in the 2018-19 NHL Season

Coach Team Career Record with current team Odds to be 1st Coach Fired
Todd McLellan EDM 114-109-23 +200
Guy Boucher OTT 72-71-21 +220
Joel Quenneville CHI 446-243-93 +260
Jeff Blashill DET 104-105-37 +950
Randy Carlyle ANA 90-48-26 +950

It’s Been a Rocky Road for McLellan with the Oilers

When you look at McLellan’s time with the Oilers, his first two seasons went exactly to plan.

He joined the team in May of 2015, just a month before Edmonton landed generational talent Connor McDavid. Despite a six-point improvement, McLellan’s team actually slid backwards, finishing seventh in the Pacific.

The following year, with a healthy McDavid, the Oilers made the playoffs for the first time since 2005-06. They were a game away from the Western Conference Finals, falling to the Ducks in seven.

Everything was looking rosy.

In 2017/18 the Oilers entered the season as Stanley Cup favorites.

It certainly didn’t finish that way.

The Oilers stumbled to a 36-40-6 mark. They notched 78 points, finishing nearly 20 points out of the second Wild Card spot in the West.

McLellan was left searching for answers.

And the Oilers? They didn’t exactly do much in the off-season to try to help him find them.

2016/17 Season
VS
Non Playoff Years (AVG)
47 Wins 34
103 Points 74
247 Goals For 219
212 Goals Against 254
22.9% Power Play Percenatge 16.5%
80.7% Penalty Kill Percentage 78.9%

Oilers, McLellan banking on internal improvement

Edmonton’s big-name adds included Tobias Rieder and Kyle Brodziak. They aren’t going to change the game upfront.

Instead, guys like Kailer Yamamoto and Jesse Puljujarvi will have to significantly improve on the wings. They’ll also have to hope their defense gels and Cam Talbot plays like it’s 2016/17 rather than 17/18.

It’s a tough spot to be in when your roster features the best player in the league. How do you surround him with talent in a salary cap world?

It’s a question the Oilers’ brass has yet to answer.

Will McLellan be the NHL’s first coach to be fired?

Right now it’s too early to say anything definitively. The Oilers have played just one game, and they dropped it 5-2 to the Devils. That game was also in Sweden.

As of right now, he deserves to be the favorite. But he isn’t going down alone.

If McLellan goes down,  Peter Chiarelli will go with him. He built the roster, he signed Leon Draisaitl to his contract. He picked the wrong player to trade away in Taylor Hall.

Simply put, the Oilers can’t waste Connor McDavid’s prime. If this front office and coach can’t do it, someone else needs to.

If it isn’t McLellan, who will be fired first?

The name that sticks out in the odds is Jeff Blashill.

Blashill made the playoffs in his first year in the NHL. But the highly-touted AHL bench boss hasn’t found the same success the last two seasons.

The Red Wings are getting to a point where they’ll need a new voice. If they flounder this year, a change behind the bench isn’t out of the question.

But until the Oilers turn it around and leave the Wings in their dust, the spotlight will shine on Todd McLellan.

Author Image