Opening 2023 Hart Trophy Odds – McDavid Favored; Matthews at +420
- Edmonton Oilers captain Connor McDavid is the +300 favorite to win the Hart Trophy as the MVP of the 2022-23 NHL season
- McDavid is already a two-time winner of the award
- Reigning Hart Trophy holder Auston Matthews of the Toronto Maple Leafs is the +420 second betting choice
Oddsmakers are anticipating that Connor McDavid will once again ascend to the throne as the NHL’s most valuable player during the 2022-23 season. It’s McDavid who has been set as the +300 betting favorite to win the award in the Hart Trophy odds.
McDavid previously won the award in 2020-21 and 2016-17.
Auston Matthews, the Toronto Maple Leafs sniper who scored 60 goals last season en route to winning the Hart Trophy, is posting as the +420 second choice in this betting market. The last player to win successive Hart Trophies was Alex Ovechkin of the Washington Capitals in 2007-08 and 2008-09.
2023 Hart Trophy Odds
| Player (Team) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid (Oilers) | +300 |
| Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs) | +420 |
| Leon Draisaitl (Oilers) | +600 |
| Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche) | +1000 |
| Kiril Kaprizov (Wild) | +1200 |
| Mikko Rantanen (Avalanche) | +1200 |
| Aleksander Barkov (Panthers) | +1500 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau (Panthers) | +1500 |
| Nikita Kucherov (Lightning) | +1500 |
| Igor Shesterkin (Rangers) | +2000 |
| Cale Makar (Avalanche) | +2000 |
| Alex Ovechkin (Capitals) | +2000 |
| Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs) | +2500 |
| Evgeni Malkin (Penguins) | +2500 |
| Jack Eichel (Golden Knights) | +2500 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy (Lightning) | +3000 |
| Sidney Crosby (Penguins) | +3000 |
| David Pastrnak (Bruins) | +3500 |
| Mika Zibanejad (Rangers) | +4000 |
| Steven Stamkos (Lightning) | +4000 |
| Artemi Panarin (Rangers) | +4000 |
| Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes) | +4000 |
| Patrick Kane (Blackhawks) | +4000 |
| Johnny Gaudreau (Blue Jackets) | +4000 |
| Mark Stone (Golden Knights) | +4000 |
Odds as of July 21 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get this FanDuel Sportsbook promo code before making your NHL bets
At the favorite’s betting line of +300, McDavid is given an implied probability of victory of 25%. Were you to wager $10 on him winning the Hart Trophy and McDavid came through, the payout on that bet would be $40.
McDavid A Safe Play For Hart
It’s hard to go wrong with placing a Hart Trophy future book wager on McDavid. You know he’ll be in the hunt for the award.
McDavid has led the NHL in scoring in each of the past two seasons and in four of the past six campaigns. He’s been among the top five of Hart Trophy balloting in each of those six seasons.
Last night at the 2022 ESPY awards Connor McDavid won the ESPY for best NHL player, beating out Auston Matthews, Roman Josi, and Igor Shesterkin. #edmontonoilers #letsgooilers #leafsforever #nyr #preds pic.twitter.com/gN1W6tEo8W
— Gryphon Sports Management (@GryphonSports_) July 21, 2022
Last season, he posted career highs in goals (44), assists (79) and points (123). It’s McDavid’s consistent excellence that assures he’ll always be a presence in the Hart Trophy reckoning.
Numbers May Haunt Matthews
There’s no questioning that what Matthews accomplished last season by netting 60 goals was a remarkable achievement. He was the first NHL player to ascend to that plateau since Tampa Bay’s Steven Stamkos a decade earlier.
Matthews is first and foremost a goal scorer. Last season was the first time he’d collected more than 80 points in a season, setting career highs with 46 assists and 106 points.
Wins for the week! Auston Matthews won the 2022 Hart Trophy award, being the first Leaf to win since Ted Kennedy in 1954-55. 🏆
📷: @mapleleafs#StreetsofToronto pic.twitter.com/wPktn8VTVF
— Streets of Toronto (@streetsoftrnto) June 24, 2022
That factor could prove problematic in his attempt to repeat as Hart Trophy winner. The last NHLer to post successive 60-goal campaigns was Pavel Bure in 1992-93 an 1993-94.
It’s entirely possible that Matthews will enjoy another spectacular season and score perhaps 52 goals. However, that number will seem like such a drop-off from 60, it will likely hurt Matthews in Hart voting.
Plenty Of Choices With Avalanche
The Colorado Avalanche are Stanley Cup champions and they’re the +450 chalk in the Stanley Cup odds to do it again next season. It was their first title since 2000-01.
Colorado hasn’t boasted of a Hart Trophy winner since Peter Forsberg in 2002-03. Will that slump also be ending soon?
Certainly, there are plenty of candidates. Start with center Nathan MacKinnon. He’s the fourth betting choice in the Hart odds at +1000. Mikko Rantanen is at +1200.
Cale Makar might be the best hockey player in the NHL. Is there any other active player with the kind of hardware he has at the age of 23?
Hobey Baker Award, Calder Trophy, Norris/Vezina/Hart Trophy (Pick 1), Conn Smythe Trophy, and Stanley Cup?? #AllHailCale 🥬 pic.twitter.com/RD4DK9upGk— Jason M – The Avalanche are Stanley Cup Champs!! (@jamuckley) July 17, 2022
However, the best value on the Colorado roster just might be defenseman Cale Makar. The current Norris Trophy winner is putting up numbers that are placing him in rarified air among NHL defenders.
Hart voters are reluctant to cast ballots for defenseman. Chris Pronger (1999-2000) is the only defenseman to win the award since 1972. Makar is someone capable of ending that drought.
Lots Of Past Hart Trophy Winners Offering Value
Beyond McDavid and Matthews, there are odds being offered on eight other past Hart winners. They include Edmonton’s Leon Draisaitl (+600), Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov (+1500), Pittsburgh’s Evgeni Malkin (+2500) and Sidney Crosby (+3000), Washington’s Ovechkin (+2000), Chicago’s Patrick Kane (+4000), Boston’s Taylor Hall (+100000) and Montreal’s Carey Price (+10000).
Most even-strength points in NHL regular-season games since the start of the 2014-15 season:
1. Patrick Kane (477)
2. Connor McDavid (470)
3. Johnny Gaudreau (437)@statmuse pic.twitter.com/XRCNEieAfX— BlackhawksMuse (@BlackhawksMuse) July 20, 2022
The best bet in all of this action, though, is McDavid. You know he’ll be right there in contention at the finish line. But maybe hedge your bets with a small wager on Makar in the Hart Trophy odds.
Pick: Connor McDavid (Oilers) +300.
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
