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Senators vs Canadiens Odds and Picks – Ottawa Listed as Road Favorites in Tuesday NHL Odds

George Nassios

by George Nassios in NHL Hockey

Apr 4, 2022 · 7:08 PM PDT

Senators vs Canadiens NHL Tuesday odds
Ottawa Senators' Brady Tkachuk (7) plays against the Nashville Predators in the first period of an NHL hockey game Tuesday, March 29, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
  • The Ottawa Senators take on the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday, April 5th
  • The Senators are listed as slight road favorites in the Tuesday NHL odds
  • Read below for the Senators vs Canadiens betting odds, picks and prediction

It’s the battle for the basement in the Atlantic Division, or maybe we should call it the Shane Wright sweepstakes, as the Ottawa Senators visit the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday, April 5th.

Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET at the Bell Centre in Montreal. Home hasn’t been too friendly for the Habs this season as the Arizona Coyotes are the only NHL team that have accumulated less points in their own barn this year.

Taking their home ice struggles into account, the Senators are slight -120 road favorites against the Canadiens in the Tuesday NHL odds. Let’s check out all the possible NHL bets for this matchup and offer you our best pick.

Senators vs Canadiens Odds

Game Time Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Tuesday, April 5th Ottawa Senators -1.5 (+195) O 6 (-124) -120
7:00 pm ET Montreal Canadiens +1.5 (-245) U 6 (+102) -103

Odds as of  April 4th at Barstool Sportsbook.

Both teams have an implied win probability of over 50% given their moneyline odds, but the Senators are the slight favorites with a 54.55% implied probability to win the game.

Senators Providing Moneyline Value vs Weaker Opponents

Amidst the gloom of another difficult season for Ottawa, there have been a few bright spots including 22-year-old , Josh Norris, who scored a hatrick against the Red Wings on Sunday and leads the team with 30 goals in just 52 games. That’s a pace that might put him amongst Rocket Richard odds contenders in the future.

Norris’ Senators have been playing well lately against teams who sit outside the playoff picture, going 4-2 in their last six games against such opponents. While they’ve found some scoring, going over the total in four of their last five games, goalie Anton Forsberg has been perhaps the most pleasant surprise of the Sens season.

Ottawa’s number one netminder has a .930 save percentage in his last seven games and the Senators are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games when Forsberg is in goal. He’s expected to get the start on Tuesday against Montreal which would definitely help the Senators get a victory.

The Sens have a points percentage of .530 when Forsberg is the goaltender of record, but when anybody else has been between the pipes during this campaign, they have a horrific .300 points percentage.

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Canadiens Lineup Holes To Watch When Making Bets

When you take a look at some of the lineups the Canadiens have been icing late in this season, it makes one wonder how they can even compete. Incredibly, they’re coming off a 5-4 shootout victory against one of the favorites in the Stanley Cup odds, the two-time defending cup champions from Tampa.

In that matchup, the Habs iced three defensemen who have less than 20 games of NHL experience. Injuries and trades have robbed Montreal of a blueline corps that helped propel them to the Stanley Cup Final last season.

While they were able to win that contest, they relied a ton on goalie Jake Allen who made 37 stops on 41 shots. Montreal can’t count on their goalies to bail them out every game, as they’ve been doing of late, allowing 40 or more shots in three straight. They’ve also allowed four or more goals in 10 of their last 16 games.

With the defense on shaky ground, early season Calder Trophy odds favorite, Cole Caufield has been spurring the offense. The rookie has continued his torrid scoring pace since Martin St. Louis took over as head coach, burying 14 goals in 24 games since the change behind the bench, including one against the Sens in a win a few weeks ago.

Senators vs Canadiens Recent Results

Date Home-Away Money Line Puck Line Over/Under
03/19/2022 MTL 5 – OTT 1 MTL MTL Push
02/26/2022 OTT 1 – MTL 2 MTL MTL Under
05/05/2021 OTT 5 – MTL 1 OTT OTT Over
05/01/2021 MTL 3 – OTT 2 (OT) MTL OTT Under
04/17/2021 MTL 0 – OTT 4 OTT OTT Under

The Canadiens have taken both matchups between these two squads this season with the Sens having managed to score just once in each of those games.

Senators vs Canadiens Pick & Prediction

The trends and analytics are pointing to the over in this game in the Tuesday NHL odds as Montreal has been giving up a ton of shots and goals since the start of March and the Sens have discovered some scoring touch in their last five games.

One of the more peculiar recent trends for the Canadiens is that the over is 7-0 in their last seven Tuesday games. In addition, the Habs are playing with an extremely raw defense corps. Only Carey Price could save them now, and while he was a welcome sight at practice, he definitely won’t be between the pipes on Tuesday.

While the over seems like a smart play, a Senators victory feels like the best NHL bet in this one. They won’t want to lose for a third straight time to Montreal this year and have been able to handle lesser competition lately, so take the Senators on the moneyline at -120 at Barstool Sportsbook.

Pick: Senators Moneyline (-120)

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