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Updated Conn Smythe Odds Ahead of Stanley Cup Final – Vasilevskiy Favored at +135

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in NHL Hockey

Updated Jun 26, 2021 · 9:35 AM PDT

Tampa Bay Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy making a save during a NHL game.
Tampa Bay Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy makes a save on a shot by the New York Islanders during the third period in Game 7 of an NHL hockey Stanley Cup semifinal playoff series Friday, June 25, 2021, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
  • Goaltenders lead the way in the odds to win this year’s Conn Smythe Trophy
  • Tampa Bay’s Andrei vasilevskiy has emerged as the favorite, but is closely trailed by Montreal superstar netminder Carey Price
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends as the battle for the Stanley Cup gets underway

It has been almost a decade since a goaltender last won the Conn Smythe Trophy, with Jonathan Quick of the Los Angeles Kings raising the hardware back in 2012. That is set to change this year, with two netminders topping the odds as puck drop on the Stanley Cup Final fast approaches.

Riding high after leading the Tampa Bay Lightning back to the Final for the third time in seven years, Andrei Vasilevskiy is perched as +135 chalk. A dominant force between the pipes during the Montreal Canadiens’ Cinderella playoff run, Carey Price closely trails, sporting short +175 odds

Here’s a look at how these superstar goalies match up heading into the Stanley Cup Final, as well as where to find value further down the odds to win this year’s Conn Smythe Trophy.

Odds to Win Conn Smythe Trophy

Player Odds
Andrei Vasilevskiy +135
Carey Price +175
Nikita Kucherov +250
Brayden Point +250
Victor Hedman +2000
Steven Stamkos +3000
Cole Caufield +3000
Nick Suzuki +3500
Tyler Toffoli +3500
Corey Perry +5000
Alex Killorn +7500
Brendan Gallagher +10000

Odds as of June 26th from DraftKings

Vasilevskiy Unbeatable in the Clutch

The Tampa Bay Lightning have blazed their trail back to the Stanley Cup Final with a steady defensive game plan, back by the outstanding play of Andrei Vasilevskiy. Pegged as a +1600 bet to win the Conn Smythe entering the postseason, Vasilevskiy has become increasingly dominant as the playoffs have progressed, and proved to be the difference maker in Tampa Bay’s seven-game series win during the semi-finals, backstopping the club to shutout victories in Games 5 and 7.

The 26-year-old has surrendered just 11 total goals over his past eight outings. And overall, Vasilevskiy has limited opposing shooters to two or fewer goals in 11 of his 18 playoff appearances. He has been particularly clutch in big-game situations, with three of his four shutout performances coming in series-clinching wins.

Price Powering Habs’ Cinderella Run

With Tampa Bay opening as heavy favorites to repeat as champions on the Stanley Cup Final odds, it would appear that the Conn Smythe Trophy is there for the taking by Vasilevskiy. However, those who dismiss Carey Price’s chances of making a big addition to his trophy case do so at their own peril.

The 33-year-old former Vezina Trophy and Hart Trophy winner endured a difficult regular season, but has been simply spectacular during the postseason. Indeed, regardless of how things go for the underdog Canadiens in their first trip to the Stanley Cup Final since 1993, there is no denying his position as the club’s MVP. Price has provided the Habs with a chance to win every night, allowing more than two goals just twice in his past 12 outings. Indeed, it has been Price’s heroics that have enabled Montreal to rack up a sparkling 11-0 record this season when scoring two or more goals.

MVP from Losing Team Not Unprecedented

Even if the Canadiens should fall short against the Lightning, a team they have defeated just three times in their past 15 overall meetings, it may not necessarily preclude Price from winning the Conn Smythe.

Since first being awarded back in 1965, the Conn Smythe Trophy has been won by a member of a team that did not win the Stanley Cup on five occasions, with goaltenders accounting for four of those wins. However, Price will likely have to improve upon his recent dismal track record against Tampa Bay, earning the win in just two of his past 10 appearances while allowing an average of 3.10 goals per game.

Caufield an Intriguing Dark Horse

Beyond the goaltenders, a pair of Lightning snipers have emerged as the shortest bets to win the Conn Smythe, with Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point knotted at +250. Kucherov has enjoyed an impressive comeback after missing the entire regular season due to injury, leading all playoff skaters with 27 points. The hero of last season’s Stanley Cup run, Point has enjoyed a prolific playoffs, potting a league-best 14 goals in 18 games.

The duo are trailed by the reigning Conn Smythe Trophy winner Victor Hedman at +2000. But for sports bettors searching for an intriguing dark horse, they should look no further than rookie Cole Caufield at +3000. This year’s Hobey Baker Award winner has had an instant impact in his Habs debut. Caufield has sparked the offense with timely goals in each of Montreal’s final three wins over Vegas in the semi-final, and will be crucial to the Canadiens’ hopes of winning a record 25th Stanley Cup.

The Pick: Carey Price (+175)

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