Arizona Democratic Debate Props: O/U on “Coronavirus” Mentions Set at Just 8.5
- Prop wagers are out for the Democratic Presidential debate between Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden in Phoenix, AZ, this Sunday (Mar. 15)
- Oddsmakers have set over/unders on how many times “Trump” and “coronavirus” will be said (among others)
- Analysis of all of the best over/under and yes/no bets follow in the story below
The battle for the Democratic Presidential nomination is now a two-candidate race between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders.
Currently, Biden is the overwhelming -1350 favorite across the leading online sportsbooks in the Democratic nomination odds. Sanders is a +1667 longshot to emerge the winner in this race.
Sunday in Phoenix, for the first time since the field was narrowed to a pair, the two men will clash on the debate stage.
Sportsbooks are offering a variety of prop wagers on topics of discussion during the debate.
Over/Under Odds: Biden vs Sanders Presidential Debate (Mar. 15)
| Proposition | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|
| How many times “time is up’ is said by moderators | Over 5.5 time is up (+150) | Under 5.5 time is up (-200) |
| Total non-facts said by Joe Biden | Over 2 non-facts (OFF) | Under 2 non-facts (+110) |
| Total non-facts said by Bernie Sanders | Over 3 non-facts (-120) | Under 3 non-facts (-120) |
| Total times “coronavirus” is said by candidates | Over 8.5 coronavirus (-120) | Under 8.5 coronavirus (OFF) |
| Total times “stock market” is said by candidates | Over 6.5 stock market (+125) | Under 6.5 stock market (-165) |
| Total times “Trump” is said by candidates | Over 25.5 coronavirus (-150) | Under 25.5 coronavirus (+110) |
Odds taken Mar. 13.
Naturally, the coronavirus, the stock market and President Donald Trump are all expected to be on the tip of both candidates’ tongues.
You Don’t Say
Bending the truth and politicians go together like cake and ice cream. It’s a natural combination.
Interestingly, sportsbooks have taken the over on Biden non-facts off the table. Bettors can only play the under, and the total bar is set at two. Best to stay away from this wager.
Fact check: Bernie Sanders ad featuring praise from Barack Obama leaves out important context https://t.co/xV30JUaF02 pic.twitter.com/m0KEZsTlB4
— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) March 4, 2020
Over three non-facts by Sanders is set at -120. He’s been playing this game all his adult life. Sanders is sure to go over that total.
Pick: Sanders over 3 non-facts (-120)
Coronavirus Plays Into Sanders’ Hands
Sanders has built his campaigns for the Presidency around Medicare For All. Thanks to the outbreak of the coronavirus, he has the public’s attention.
To Sanders, the coronavirus is a hanging curveball. He’ll be hammering it out of the park on every pitch.
Sanders makes an important point about the trickle-down misery that this coronavirus crisis could cause: foreclosures, utilities shut-offs, hunger, outbreaks affecting the homeless… both he and Joe Biden have offered an incredibly sharp contrast with the current president.
— Joy Reid (@JoyAnnReid) March 12, 2020
Biden also isn’t going to shy away from discussion of the virus. It’s the most talked-about topic in the world at the moment. And Trump’s mishandling of the entire situation served up a chance for both candidates to batter away at a President who badly fumbled his first major crisis.
Playing the over here will be the easiest money you’ll make on a wager in a long time.
Pick Over 8.5 (-120)
Odds Bernie Sanders References Joe Biden’s Auto-Worker Rant
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| No | -200 |
| Yes | +150 |
Sanders won’t gain anything from bringing up Biden’s exchange with a Detroit auto worker over gun control. Had it any negative impact, Biden wouldn’t have whipped Sanders so soundly in the Michigan primary.
WARNING: STRONG LANGUAGE Joe Biden tells a Detroit auto worker 'you're full of sh*t' during a heated exchange over gun rights pic.twitter.com/YUcmDvF4Wo
— Reuters (@Reuters) March 10, 2020
In left-leaning circles, pundits are viewing this exchange as a positive outcome for the Biden camp.
Sanders is best to just leave it alone.
Pick: No (-200).
Odds to Win Biden vs Sanders Debate
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | -120 |
| Joe Biden | OFF |
Note: Decision based on CNN’s Chris Cillizza’s verdict.
There’s a long-held theory is sports that you should back the team that needs the win the most. In this case, that’s Sanders.
His campaign is running on fumes. He desperately needs a big night.
Workers are being told not to go to work, but many will face financial ruin if they don't. We must finally pass paid family and medical leave right now. pic.twitter.com/bagOFVI0vF
— Bernie Sanders (@BernieSanders) March 13, 2020
Fortunately for him, in the coronavirus, he’s blessed with a topic that perfectly fits his Medicare For All narrative.
Pick: Bernie Sanders (-120)
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
