Biden Back to Being Democratic Nominee Favorite as Warren Drops to Third
- Joe Biden is back atop the board in the odds to win the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination
- Biden’s odds improved to +275
- Elizabeth Warren, who was the frontrunner, has dropped to third in the race at odds of +350
Joe Biden is once again the man to beat in the race for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination.
Elizabeth Warren has dropped to third in the latest Democratic Nomination odds tracker. She’d overtaken Biden as the frontrunner in late August, but now trails both the former VEEP and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg.
One sportsbook lists Biden as a +275 favorite in the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination future book.
2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee Odds
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Joe Biden | +275 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +325 |
| Elizabeth Warren | +350 |
| Bernie Sanders | +550 |
| Michael Bloomberg | +900 |
| Hillary Clinton | +1400 |
| Andrew Yang | +1500 |
| Amy Klobuchar | +3500 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | +4000 |
| Kamala Harris | +5000 |
| Michelle Obama | +6000 |
| Tom Steyer | +10000 |
| Cory Booker | +10000 |
| Oprah Winfrey | +10000 |
| Julian Castro | +12500 |
Odds taken Nov. 27.
Buttigieg is close behind Biden at +325, while Warren slid to +350.
Biden On The Rebound
For a time this summer and into the fall, it looked like Biden’s Presidential aspirations were fading dramatically. Following unimpressive performances in the Democratic debates, Biden’s odds began to slide.
We cannot let President Trump define who we are as a nation. America is hopeful and inclusive — we give hate no safe harbor and leave no one behind. We are everything that Donald Trump is not. pic.twitter.com/98nSHN3hSJ
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) November 27, 2019
In mid-August, Biden was the +280 chalk to win the nomination, on average, across the leading online sportsbooks. But he surrendered top spot to Warren on Aug. 29. By mid-October, Biden’s odds had climbed to +440.
The Only Bad Publicity Is No Publicity?
It was right around that time in late August when the whistleblower complaint leading to US President Donald Trump’s impeachment hearings was first coming to light. Evidence revealed that Trump was withholding military aid from Ukraine.
Allegedly, he was doing so in order to get that country to investigate how Biden’s son Hunter came to serve on the board of the Ukrainian energy company Burisma. The hope was they’d unearth some dirt that Trump could use against Biden’s father in the 2020 Presidential election.
The next president will face the enormous challenge of picking up the pieces of America's broken foreign policy under President Trump.
There’s no time for on-the-job training. We need a leader who is ready on day one. pic.twitter.com/Ty6bEoNl96— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) November 26, 2019
But in his obsession to find something that is evidently not there, has Trump given Biden added publicity. Has that led to a bump in the polls for Biden?
Biden is of the belief that Trump is so obsessed with him because Trump is fearful that the former Vice-President is the Democrat with the best chance to defeat him in the 2020 Presidential election.
It’s A Four Horse Race
While the Democratic Presidential race still counts enough hopefuls to fill up a bus, the reality in the numbers is that there are only four candidates with a realistic hope of gaining the nomination. Those four would be Biden, Warren, Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders.
The latest Quinnipiac poll shows Biden pulling in 24 percent of the support. He’s followed by Buttigieg (16) Sanders (14), and Warren (13). Only Biden and Buttigieg display increasing support over the past month.
#JoeBiden retakes lead as #ElizabethWarren plunges, #PeteButtigieg rises; voters not swayed by impeachment hearings https://t.co/nlfhulP77L #2020Election
— Quinnipiac University Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) November 26, 2019
No other candidate is polling at better than six percent.
As Primary season draws nearer, Biden is ahead in polls in Nevada and South Carolina. Buttigieg leads in Iowa and Sanders is out front in New Hampshire.
#JoeBiden dominates #SouthCarolina Dem primary, undecided is in second place https://t.co/6491jessyc #2020Election
— Quinnipiac University Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) November 18, 2019
The odds also lean toward this four-person race theory. Just consider that 2016 Democratic Presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is drawing +1400 odds. That’s better than any candidate but the top four, and she’s not running. Former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg just entered the race. He’s already the fifth betting choice at +900.
Biden Offers A Comfort Zone
Biden served as Barack Obama’s Vice-President. His presence offers a reminder of what America was like before the daily sideshow than has emanated from the Oval Office since Trump’s arrival.
I believe these impeachment hearings will conclude that Donald Trump is a threat to our national security. Every day he sits in the Oval Office is a dangerous day for the U.S.
If you agree, chip in to help us make Donald Trump a one-term president: https://t.co/6JQ0ZLPPku pic.twitter.com/pHsFeeAlt0
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) November 15, 2019
He offers the comfort and feel of a warm sofa. But as his bumpy ride so far shows, that alone won’t be enough to gain him the nomination.
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
