State of the Union Odds: Will Trump Speech Go Over 82.5 Minutes?
- One sportsbook has established several props around US President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address on Tuesday (Feb. 4)
- The sportsbook has set the total for length of the SOTU speech at 82.5 minutes
- Total non-facts uttered by Trump during the SOTU at an astounding 27.5
The State of the Union address is set for Tuesday night (Feb. 4th) and, if America has learned anything about President Donald Trump over his term in the Oval Office, it’s that he’s a sore winner.
His acquittal by the Senate from his impeachment trial to arrive on Wednesday, the Donald will be in full gloat as he addresses the nation.
One sportsbook has established several props on Trump’s State of the Union speech. What will the length of Trump’s speech be? How many non-facts will he speak during that time? The tables below set out all the props and odds.
Over/Unders on the State of the Union Speech
| Prop | Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Length of State of the Union Address | 82.5 minutes | -120 | -120 |
| Total Non-Facts Stated by President Trump | 27.5 | -120 | -120 |
| Total Viewers of SOTU Address | 47 million | -140 | +100 |
| Trump Approval Rating on 2/5/2020 | 0.3 percent | -140 | +100 |
| Number of Times Trump Says Iran | 4.5 | -120 | -120 |
| Number of Times Trump Says China | 6.5 | -120 | -120 |
| Number of Times Trump Says Democrat | 3.5 | -120 | -120 |
| Number of Times Trump Says Economy | 4.5 | -150 | +110 |
All odds herein as of Feb. 3
It’s The Economy, Stupid
Whenever Presidential election experts are consulted about the keys to an incumbent winning re-election, the #1 factor they point to is a strong economy.
Thanks to our pro-worker, pro-American economic policies, unemployment is at the lowest level in more than 50 years. We have created over 7 MILLION new JOBS. More Americans are working today than EVER before. We have the hottest ECONOMY on earth! pic.twitter.com/TRGKRF7xgQ
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 29, 2020
The Wall Street Journal reported last week that the US economy entered 2020 on a strong note. There was 21-percent growth in the fourth quarter of 2019.
Trump plays the economy as his …. um …. trump card. He’ll hammer away at these numbers.
Pick: Over 4.5 (-150)
State of Alternative Facts
Trump has built his brand around selling the sizzle as opposed to the steak. It hasn’t always worked – especially that time when he tried to sell steaks – but it seems to play well with a percentage of American people.
Bloomberg campaign spokesperson Julie Wood has now sent me this comment: “The president is lying. He is a pathological liar who lies about everything: his fake hair, his obesity, and his spray-on tan." https://t.co/1EPlZ0sdzs
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) February 2, 2020
They say if you tell a lie often and forcefully enough, it will eventually be believed as fact.
Trump’s success offers living proof of that analogy.
Pick: Over 27.5 non-facts (-120)
How Long Will He Go?
Trump’s favorite topic is himself. He’s just beaten the Democrats again when they thought the had the goods on him in his impeachment trial. He’s been given carte blanche to do what he wants by the Republican-controlled Senate.
I just realized this tweet was Trump giving us a synopsis of his SOTU speech tomorrow. @realDonaldTrump https://t.co/csvwn2D2y8
— NoelCaslerComedy (@CaslerNoel) February 3, 2020
Teflon Don has never felt more bulletproof. He’s going to do a lot of boasting.
This could take awhile.
Pick: Over 82.5 minutes (-120)
Odds Trump’s State of the Union Mentions …
| Prop | Yes Odds | No Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Trump to Refer to Speaker Pelosi as “Nervous Nancy” or “Crazy Nancy” | +550 | -1000 |
| Will Trump Say Kim Jong-Un? | +110 | -150 |
| Will Trump Say Putin? | +600 | -1500 |
| Will Trump Mention Super Bowl? | +600 | -1500 |
He’ll Not Say Kansas Anymore
Trump’s error in congratulating the state of Kansas on Twitter for Sunday’s Super Bowl win by the Kansas City Chiefs was quickly corrected to note thar the Chiefs are situated in Missouri.
Oh my. I cannot believe there are people saying Trump’s tweet was correct bc there is a #KansasCity in Kansas.
By that logic, feel free to congratulate Portland, Maine when the TrailBlazers win a game!— A.J. Delgado (@AJDelgado13) February 3, 2020
But thanks to screen shots, it won’t be soon forgotten.
He’s not going to bring up the Super Bowl again just so everyone can once more point out the error of his ways.
Pick: No (-1500)
Vladimir Who?
The connections between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Trump and the impact this had on the 2016 election aren’t going away. Trump will do what he does best when confronted by relationships with shady, suspicious characters. He’ll feign ignorance.
President Putin of Russia called to thank me and the U.S. for informing them of a planned terrorist attack in the very beautiful city of Saint Petersburg. They were able to quickly apprehend the suspects, with many lives being saved. Great & important coordination!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 31, 2019
Putin? He hardly knows the guy.
Pick: No (-1500)
Designated Survivor Odds
| Person | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ben Carson | +500 |
| Betsy DeVos | +550 |
| Alex Alzar | +600 |
| Wilbur Ross | +600 |
| Dan Brouillette | +900 |
| Robert Wilike | +900 |
| Chad Wolf | +1000 |
| Eugene Scalia | +1000 |
| Chuck Grassley | +1200 |
| Dave Bernhardt | +1200 |
| Sonny Perdue | +1500 |
| Steve Mnuchin | +1500 |
| William Barr | +1500 |
| Mark Esper | +1800 |
| Mike Pompeo | +2000 |
| Mike Pence | +2500 |
| Nancy Pelosi | +2500 |
At each Presidential address, one person – generally a member of the Cabinet – is the Designated Survivor. They are sequestered in a safe place, and would take over the Presidency in the event of a major tragedy.
oh no I just imagined Ben Carson as Designated Survivor @kalpenn
— Jon Favreau (@jonfavs) December 6, 2016
At least year’s SOTU, it was former Secretary of Energy Rick Perry. Sonny Perdue filled the role in 2018.
Based on their qualifications to be President, Ben Carson, head of HUD, makes perfect sense this year.
Pick: Ben Carson (+500)
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
