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JD Vance Opens as Favorite in 2028 Election Odds; Michelle Obama Second

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in Politics News

Published:


JD Vance speaks after casting his ballot
Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance speaks after casting his ballot at the St. Anthony Padua church in in the Walnut Hills neighborhood of Cincinnati, on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024.
  • Opening odds have been posted for the 2028 US presidential election
  • Vice President-elect JD Vance is the early favorite to win the 2028 election
  • Below, see the early 2028 Presidential Election odds

Less than 24 hours after the Donald Trump/JD Vance ticket swept to a massive Electoral College victory in the 2024 election, sportsbooks have opened the odds for the 2028 presidential election. With Trump at his two-term limit, his Vice President, Vance, has opened as the betting favorite to win the White House in four years’ time.

2028 Presidential Election Odds

Candidate (Party)  Odds
JD Vance (GOP) +300
Michelle Obama (DEM) +500
Gavin Newsom (DEM) +550
Ron DeSantis (GOP) +800
Tulsi Gabbard (GOP) +1000
Hillary Clinton (DEM) +1400
Tucker Carlson (GOP) +1400
Nikki Haley (GOP) +2500
Oprah Winfrey (DEM) +2500
Kamala Harris (DEM) +2500
Josh Shapiro (GOP) +3300
Robert F Kennedy Jr (IND) +3300
Vivek Ramaswamy (GOP) +3300
Donald Trump Jr (GOP) +4000
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (DEM) +5000
Doug Burgum (GOP) +5000
Elon Musk (GOP) +5000
Gretchen Whitmer (DEM) +5000
Ivanka Trump (GOP) +5000
Tim Walz (DEM) +5000
Dwayne Johnson (TBD) +6600
Elizabeth Warren (DEM) +6600
Glenn Youngkin (GOP) +6600
JB Pritzker (GOP) +6600
Liz Cheney (GOP) +6600
Mark Kelly (DEM) +6600

Vance, the current junior senator from Ohio, has opened at +300, which amounts to a 25% implied probability.

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Michelle Obama Leads Democratic Candidates

After Vice President Kamala Harris’ crushing defeat in the 2024 election, the Democrats are left with a serious leadership vacuum. That’s evidenced by the fact that the Democrat with the best odds to win the 2028 election, former First Lady Michelle Obama, has never held, or even run for, public office.

Obama (+500) is followed closely by California governor Gavin Newsom (+550) but then there’s a steep drop-off to failed 2016 candidate Hillary Clinton (+1400), talk-show host Oprah Winfrey, who would presumably run for the Dems, and Harris (both +2500).

DeSantis Seen as Main Challenger for GOP Nomination

When it comes to potential Republican candidates, Florida governor Ron DeSantis (+800) is seen as the main challenger. DeSantis was briefly the favorite to win GOP nomination in 2024 before Trump big-brothered him out of the way. His official 2024 campaign got off to a rocky start when his official launch on Twitter was plagued with malfunctions, and it never recovered thereafter.

Also high-ish on the list for potential GOP candidates are former Hawaii representative Tulsi Gabbard (+1000), pundit Tucker Carlson (+1400), and former South Carolina governor and ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley (+2500), who was the last person to abandon the fight against Trump for the 2024 Republican nomination.

 

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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