JD Vance Opens as Favorite in 2028 Election Odds; Michelle Obama Second
By Sascha Paruk in Politics News
Published:
- Opening odds have been posted for the 2028 US presidential election
- Vice President-elect JD Vance is the early favorite to win the 2028 election
- Below, see the early 2028 Presidential Election odds
Less than 24 hours after the Donald Trump/JD Vance ticket swept to a massive Electoral College victory in the 2024 election, sportsbooks have opened the odds for the 2028 presidential election. With Trump at his two-term limit, his Vice President, Vance, has opened as the betting favorite to win the White House in four years’ time.
2028 Presidential Election Odds
Candidate (Party) | Odds |
---|---|
JD Vance (GOP) | +300 |
Michelle Obama (DEM) | +500 |
Gavin Newsom (DEM) | +550 |
Ron DeSantis (GOP) | +800 |
Tulsi Gabbard (GOP) | +1000 |
Hillary Clinton (DEM) | +1400 |
Tucker Carlson (GOP) | +1400 |
Nikki Haley (GOP) | +2500 |
Oprah Winfrey (DEM) | +2500 |
Kamala Harris (DEM) | +2500 |
Josh Shapiro (GOP) | +3300 |
Robert F Kennedy Jr (IND) | +3300 |
Vivek Ramaswamy (GOP) | +3300 |
Donald Trump Jr (GOP) | +4000 |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (DEM) | +5000 |
Doug Burgum (GOP) | +5000 |
Elon Musk (GOP) | +5000 |
Gretchen Whitmer (DEM) | +5000 |
Ivanka Trump (GOP) | +5000 |
Tim Walz (DEM) | +5000 |
Dwayne Johnson (TBD) | +6600 |
Elizabeth Warren (DEM) | +6600 |
Glenn Youngkin (GOP) | +6600 |
JB Pritzker (GOP) | +6600 |
Liz Cheney (GOP) | +6600 |
Mark Kelly (DEM) | +6600 |
Vance, the current junior senator from Ohio, has opened at +300, which amounts to a 25% implied probability.
SPORTSBOOK
Michelle Obama Leads Democratic Candidates
After Vice President Kamala Harris’ crushing defeat in the 2024 election, the Democrats are left with a serious leadership vacuum. That’s evidenced by the fact that the Democrat with the best odds to win the 2028 election, former First Lady Michelle Obama, has never held, or even run for, public office.
Obama (+500) is followed closely by California governor Gavin Newsom (+550) but then there’s a steep drop-off to failed 2016 candidate Hillary Clinton (+1400), talk-show host Oprah Winfrey, who would presumably run for the Dems, and Harris (both +2500).
DeSantis Seen as Main Challenger for GOP Nomination
When it comes to potential Republican candidates, Florida governor Ron DeSantis (+800) is seen as the main challenger. DeSantis was briefly the favorite to win GOP nomination in 2024 before Trump big-brothered him out of the way. His official 2024 campaign got off to a rocky start when his official launch on Twitter was plagued with malfunctions, and it never recovered thereafter.
Also high-ish on the list for potential GOP candidates are former Hawaii representative Tulsi Gabbard (+1000), pundit Tucker Carlson (+1400), and former South Carolina governor and ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley (+2500), who was the last person to abandon the fight against Trump for the 2024 Republican nomination.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.