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Whistleblower Odds: Will We Learn Their Identity? Are They Male or Female?

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Politics News

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 9:38 AM PDT

US President Donald Trump making a point
Online betting sites are offering a series of prop wagers on the identity of the whistleblower accusing US President Donald Trump of an abuse of power. Photo by Gage Skidmore (Flickr) [CC License].
  • See prop wagers regarding the whistleblower who’s accusing Donald Trump of abuse of power
  • The props cover the whistleblower’s identity, gender, and total letters of their surname
  • Published reports on Thursday have suggested that the whistleblower is male

Who is the whistleblower that fingered US President Donald Trump for an abuse of power? Will we ever learn his or her the identity?

These questions are being asked by people around the world. Now, online sportsbooks are offering a chance to bet on what the answers are.

The sportsbook has put out a series of prop wagers involving the whistleblower, including whether we will learn the whistleblower’s identity, the person’s gender, and how many letters are in the person’s surname.

Odds We Learn The Whistleblower’s Identity

Outcome Odds
Yes -190
No +150

Odds taken on 09/26/19.

Let’s take into consideration the most famous whistleblower of them all. Washington Post reporters Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein broke the Watergate scandal in 1972. Watergate led to the 1974 resignation of US President Richard Nixon.

Woodward and Bernstein’s source was simply known as Deep Throat. And for over three decades, that’s the only way he was known by the general public.

In 2005, as former CIA agent Mark Felt was suffering from dementia, the family revealed that Felt was Deep Throat. Woodward and Bernstein confirmed this to be so.

That was a different era. There were no cell phones. Social media didn’t exist, nor did 24-hour news channels.

Already, the New York Times has published a story suggesting that the whistleblower is a CIA agent familiar with Ukrainian politics.

That should narrow down the search.

Pick: Yes (-190)

Odds on Whistleblower’s Gender

Gender Odds
Male -2000
Female +900

His opponents would surely see it as poetic justice were Trump to be brought down by a woman, but it would seem to be a good bet that this won’t be the case.

The New York Times story suggesting the identity of the whistleblower states that he is male. The report goes on to suggest that this person is a CIA officer who was, for a time, detailed to work at the White House.

YouTube video

He’s since gone back to serve at his post with the agency.

That CIA training might come in very handy going forward.

Audio emerged from a meeting with Trump and American UN staff in which the President labeled the whistleblower and his cohorts as being close to spies. Trump also pointed out that they knew how to deal with spies in the old days.

In the old days, spies were executed.

Pick: Male (-2000)

Odds on Number of Letters in Whistleblower’s Last Name

Over/Under Odds
Over 6.5 -140
Under 6.5 +110

Let’s be honest here – this wager is a total crap shoot. It’s a flip of a coin.

Then again, maybe not.

According to the US Census, nearly 21-percent of people living in the country have six characters in their surname. This is the most common name size. But 53-percent of people have between 5-7 characters in their surname, which is right in the wheelhouse for this wager.

Five (17.65 percent) and six (20.82) are the most common totals for a surname in the USA. Seven letters (15.5 percent) is the third-highest total. Based on this research, it looks as though the under is the value bet.

Pick: Under 6.5 (+110).

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