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NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Sep 14, 2022 · 8:27 PM PDT

Kyle Busch prior to the COOK OUT Southern 500
Sep 4, 2022; Darlington, South Carolina, USA; Kyle Busch, driver of the (18) M&M's Toyota, arrives for driver introductions prior to the COOK OUT Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway. Mandatory Credit: David Yeazell-USA TODAY Sports
  • The NASCAR Playoff Chase continues at Bristol with the Bass Pro Shops Night Race set to run on Saturday, September 17th, 2022
  • Several contenders include Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, and maybe even Chase Briscoe and Erik Jones
  • Below are the Bass Pro Shops Night Race betting trends and odds ahead of Saturday night.

NASCAR heads East to Bristol, Tennessee for race number 29 of the 2022 season. The Bristol Motor Speedway is a short 0.533-mile track characterized by high-bank turns of 26-30 degrees. Denny Hamlin and his Toyota are listed as the betting favorite. Can a Ford or even a Chevy nab the checkered flag?

This is a week after the Hollywood Casino 400, where Bubba Wallace outlasted the likes of Christopher Bell and Hamlin to end up in victory lane.

Here are the Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds.

Bass Pro Shops Night Race Odds

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Ten
Denny Hamlin +700 +205 -230
Chase Elliott +750 +225 -210
Kyle Larson +800 +235 -195
Kyle Busch +800 +235 -195
Kevin Harvick +850 +250 -186
Christopher Bell +900 +275 -177
Tyler Reddick +1200 +350 -150
Ryan Blaney +1400 +400 -139
Joey Logano +1400 +400 -139
Ross Chastain +1500 +425 -134
William Byron +1600 +450 -125
Martin Truex Jr. +1600 +450 -125
Bubba Wallace +2500 +700 +105
Alex Bowman +3000 +800 +120
Erik Jones +3300 +800 +105
Chase Briscoe +4000 +1100 +145
Daniel Suarez +4000 +1100 +145
Ty Gibbs +5000 +1300 +175
Austin Dillon +6000 +1600 +190
Austin Cindric +6600 +1700 +200
Aric Almirola +8000 +1800 +245

Odds as of September 14th at Barstool Sportsbook. Get the Barstool Sportsbook bonus code.

Hamlin enters the race as a +700 favorite to win, followed closely by Chase Elliott at +750. Then come Kyle Larson and Kyle Busch at +800. Kevin Harvick (+850) and Christopher Bell (+900) are the only other drivers shorter than +1000.

NASCAR drivers will run on the 0.533-mile, 125-125-250 stage lap setup when the flag drops for the Saturday night race beginning around 7:30 pm ET on USA Network.


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Kyle Busch The Most Consistent Driver At Bristol

Yes, Kyle Busch has had the most consistent results at Bristol over the past three seasons. Now, past history is not always an indicator but he races well on the short track. Also, the soon to be Richard Childress Racing driver has eight wins on the Tennessee track. That leads all active drivers.

Now, Busch also stands fourthin the odds with Christopher Bell at Caesars (+800). Chase Elliott (+750) is listed at Caesars but Denny Hamlin is at just +550). The Caesars Sportsbook odds feature mostly similar numbers to Barstool this week.

Who wins the September 17th race at Bristol? Larson has led the most laps (15.8%) but Kyle Busch is right behind at 14.4. The M&M’s racing car is the only one with four top-five results in his past five appearances. Busch stands 13th in the playoff chase and needs a good result to get into the “Round Of 12”.

Bass Pro Shops Night Race Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2021 Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing
2020 Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing Brad Keselowski – Team Penske Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing
2019 Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing Matt DiBenedetto – Leavine Family Racing
2018 Kurt Busch – Stewart-Haas Racing Kyle Larson – Chip Ganassi Racing Ryan Blaney – Team Penske
2017 Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing Erik Jones – Furniture Row Racing Erik Jones – Furniture Row Racing

The Playoff Chase Continues

Sports bettors are a bit leery on Chase Elliott and even Kyle Larson in some places (+750) again compared to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin this week. The Chevy drivers are both among the favorites with the NASCAR Cup Series odds. Remember, Toyota did win again last week and has Bell in the Round of 12 already and likely Hamlin. Does Bristol change much? Last year, Larson led the most laps en route to another win in his title run.

Last year featured a good deal of chaos in the first round of eliminations. Will this year in the Next-Gen be a repeat? Kansas produced double-digit cautions. The fear is Bristol may be a repeat with drivers chasing for points to lock in spots. Again, if any of the 15 drivers not named Bell win, they get in.

Bass Pro Shops Night Race Predictions & Picks

The weather expects to be serene on Saturday night with Mostly Clear skies and cooling temperatures.

Next-Gen racing has taught some lessons with the tires. Maybe NASCAR learned a few.

Finally, look at Kyle Larson for the pole at +600 or even Chase Elliott at +600. They may be worth a shot. Drivers like Hamlin, Bell, and even Briscoe or Tyler Reddick could be battling for this one.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Kyle Busch to Win (+800 – Barstool)
  • Other Contenders: Kyle Larson (+750), Christopher Bell (+900), Erik Jones (+3300), Chase Briscoe (+4000)


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