NASCAR DFS Picks – Go Bowling at The Glen Projections, Lineup & Strategy
By Phil Bobbitt in Racing
Published:
- DraftKings is offering $100,000 to first place on a $20 entry for the Go Bowling at The Glen at Watkins Glen International
- Shane van Gisbergen starts from pole as our top-ranked driver with massive dominator potential on the road course
- Below, see our NASCAR DFS picks, projections, lineup, and strategy for the Go Bowling at The Glen
The Go Bowling at The Glen feels a little like a home game for us here at SpeedwaySteve2 HQ. Not because we know anything about road-course engineering or brake temperatures or whatever the smart people are talking about this week, but because the title sponsor is literally Go Bowling.
Finally. Our worlds collide.
So, while the rest of the NASCAR industry is busy discussing tire falloff, fuel windows, and “race manipulation,” we’ll be over here trying to turn a $20 DraftKings entry into $100,000 while aggressively pretending our spreadsheets are sentient.
Thankfully, Watkins Glen is usually one of the cleaner road-course DFS races on the calendar. The weather looks chilly but dry, with temperatures hovering around 59 degrees and only a minor overnight rain threat expected to move out before race day.
That should give us a fairly straightforward race script where place differential and raw speed matter a lot more than guessing which crew chief is about to summon weather radar from a 2007 Dell laptop.
Here’s the NASCAR DFS lineup we’re rolling with for Sunday’s race at The Glen.
Go Bowling at The Glen Expert DFS Lineup and Projections
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Go Bowling at The Glen DFS Strategy
Shane van Gisbergen ($13,500 – Starting P1)
We’re not overthinking this one.
SVG is our top-ranked driver this weekend, and now he gets to roll off from the pole at a track where he already looks like he’s operating a different species of race car than half the field. The dominator potential here is enormous. If he clears Turn 1 cleanly and controls the opening stage, there’s a very real chance he hoards the laps led and fastest laps while the rest of the garage spends the afternoon trying to figure out where he disappeared to.
At road courses, there are times to galaxy-brain DFS. This probably isn’t one of them.
Ty Gibbs ($8,300 – Starting P10)
Ty Gibbs continues to profile as one of the sharper road-course drivers in the Cup Series, even if the general public still treats him like NASCAR’s traveling WWE heel.
We had Gibbs inside the top five in practice speed this weekend, and the overall profile checks a lot of boxes for DFS. There’s place-differential upside from 10th, the pit crew is one of the best in the business, and the road-course metrics remain quietly elite.
Since the start of 2024, Gibbs ranks eighth in fast laps, seventh in average running position and laps inside the top 15, and sixth in laps led on road courses. He’s also been excellent in the O’Reilly Series on this track type.
Fast little fella.
NASCAR DFS Picks: Place Differential Plays
Kyle Busch ($7,500 – Starting P21)
NASCAR failed to suspend Kyle Busch for hooking John Hunter Nemechek last weekend, so naturally we’re going right back to the well.
Starting 21st gives Busch massive place-differential upside, and both of our models agree he’s substantially faster than he qualified. We have him fifth in our practice-performance model, while the OG model lands him 12th overall. Either way, the speed is there.
Our projected finish sits around 13.1, which would make Busch one of the stronger point-per-dollar plays in this range if he simply keeps the fenders attached for four quarters of the race.
Which, admittedly, is never guaranteed with Kyle Busch.
Alex Bowman ($7,800 – Starting P28)
Bowman rolls off 28th, which immediately puts him on the DFS radar at Watkins Glen.
The recent Chicago road-course winner comes into the weekend with solid momentum after back-to-back third-place finishes, and more importantly, the practice speeds suggest this car is much faster than qualifying showed. We had Bowman rated around 10th in practice performance, reinforcing the idea that the tub has legitimate forward mobility on Sunday.
Our projection lands him around 15th at the checkered flag, which would generate a very healthy DFS score thanks to the place-differential upside.
Basically, we’re asking Bowman to do what Bowman does best: quietly run better than everybody realizes until suddenly he’s sitting seventh with 12 laps to go.
Austin Dillon ($5,800 – Starting P25)
I refuse to spend too much time discussing Austin Dillon.
But he’s part of the RCR stack, he’s starting 25th, and there should at least be some forward mobility here. Our projection lands him around 21.4, which would be perfectly acceptable at this salary if he can avoid doing anything catastrophic.
Maybe these knuckleheads flip a stage. Maybe strategy breaks weird. Maybe everybody else drives directly into the sand barrels.
I don’t know.
I’ve already used more words on Austin Dillon than originally budgeted.
Ryan Preece ($6,700 – Starting P30)
Ryan Preece spent part of last weekend apparently auditioning for a demolition derby by hunting down Ty Gibbs and hooking him, which eventually earned him a 25-point penalty and a $50,000 fine.
None of that money is being redistributed to Ty Gibbs bettors, by the way. We checked.
Preece isn’t exactly known as a road-course ace, but he is known as a grinder, and starting 30th creates legitimate DFS appeal if he can simply survive and move forward throughout the day.
We think the top 15 is firmly in play here, which would make him one of the better place-differential values on the slate.
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Phil Bobbitt is a motorsports betting analyst and recurring guest on CBS Sports HQ, The Early Edge, and VSiN’s A Numbers Game. He and his pal Steve developed a racing algorithm that’s profited over 260 units and $1 million in DFS winnings since 2020.