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Wales vs England Six Nations Picks and Odds

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Rugby

Feb 25, 2021 · 8:34 AM PST

Wales George North runs on his way to score a try
Wales George North runs on his way to score a try during the Six Nations rugby union international between Wales and Ireland at the Principality Stadium in Cardiff, Wales, Sunday, Feb. 7, 2021. (AP Photo/Rui Vieira)
  • Wales are 5.5-point underdogs at home to England on Saturday, Feb. 27th, despite opening the Six Nations rugby tournament 2-0
  • England (1-1) are the -245 betting choice on the moneyline
  • The English came away winners in three of their last five trips to Wales

If Wales are the mystery team of the 2021 Six Nations tournament, then England must be the biggest disappointment.

The English, 2019 Rugby World Cup finalists, opened with a home loss to Scotland. They followed up with a 41-18 home win over Italy that ended up looking more impressive on the scoreboard than on the pitch.

Wales are off to a 2-0 start. The Welsh won at home over Ireland and took an away verdict from the Scots.

Nonetheless, it’s the English who are 5.5-point favorites as they play their first away match of the competition. Bettors can access a +185 moneyline on underdog Wales, semifinalists during the most recent Rugby World Cup.

England vs Wales Six Nations Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
England -245 -5.5 (-113) OFF
Wales +185 +5.5 (-113) OFF
Draw +1800

Odds as of Feb. 24th at DraftKings.

Saturday’s match shows an 11:45am ET kickoff time at Principality Stadium. The contest is being broadcast via Peacock Premium.

Wales Rediscovering Its Mojo

The long knives were out for Wales coach Wayne Pivac when he recorded only three wins in 10 matches during his first year in charge, the. A 2-0 beginning to the Six Nations, though, has pundits wondering whether the Welsh are finally adapting to the systems of their new boss.

Critics are quick to point out that Wales benefitted from opposition players being sent off in both of those victories. Even playing 15 against 14, the Welsh weren’t able to dominate play, hanging on for a pair of close victories.

Against England, a Welsh side riddled by injury through the first two matches is at nearly 100% health. Jonathan Davies (ankle) andย  George North (foot) are set to pair in the centers, with North winning his 100th cap. Josh Navidi (neck) is expected to return to blindside flanker and Josh Adams (COVID-19 protocol) to the wing.

Wings Johnny Williams (concussion) and Hallam Amos (concussion) are also available for selection. Fullback Leigh Halfpenny (concussion protocol) is out.

Is England Back?

Subject to harsh assessment over what was termed their robotic style of play following the loss to Scotland, England displayed a touch more imagination in whipping the Italians. Still, the English didn’t look to be completely in sync.

The usual England efficiency hasn’t been on display. The English looked undisciplined in their overall play and uncertain in how to attack when in possession of the ball.

England manager Eddie Jones acknowledges that few players in his side are showing their best form

Leicester lock George Martin will make his England debut. He’s been called up to replace the injured Jack Willis, who was stretchered off with a serious knee injury during the match against Italy. Northampton Saints scrum-half Alex Mitchell was called into the squad following an injury to Harry Randall.

Welsh Play It Tough

One trademark of Welsh rugby is that, no matter the scoreline, they fight to the finish. Getting 5.5 points at home with Wales is a wager that can’t be passed up.

England may win this game. The English have won two of their last three Six Nations visits to Wales, after all.

However, both were identical 21-16 verdicts. Neither would’ve covered this spread.

Pick: Wales +5.5 (-113)

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