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Australia vs France Odds & Prediction – Women’s World Cup Quarterfinals

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Aug 11, 2023 · 6:18 AM PDT

Australia vs Republic of Ireland. FIFA Women's World Cup
Jun 27, 2015; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Japan defender Saori Ariyoshi (19) and Australia forward Caitlin Foord (9) compete for the ball during the second half in the quarterfinals of the FIFA 2015 Women's World Cup at Commonwealth Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s Australia vs France in the last 8 of the FIFA Women’s World Cup
  • It kicks off in Lang Park, Brisbane at 03:00 am ET on Saturday, August 12
  • Read on here for our Australia vs France analysis and predictions

In the early hours of Saturday morning US time, it’s Australia vs France in the last 8 of the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup. It all kicks off in Brisbane’s Lang Park at 03:00 am ET.

Australia made it through to the last eight with a 2-0 win over Denmark, while the French qualified for the quarterfinals with a comfortable 4-0 win over Morocco.

Who will make it through to the last four? See our Australia vs France picks below as we look closely at the Women’s World Cup odds.

Australia vs France Odds

Matchup Moneyline To Advance
Australia +260 +160
France +110 -200
Draw +215 N/A

At odds of +110 for the win, France are favorites to make it to the semis and have an implied win probability of 48% while Australia, even with home advantage, are outsiders with an implied win probability of 28% based on a moneyline of +260.

The total of 2.5 goals is listed in plus money for the over at +130 while the under is in plus money at -160 in the DraftKings Sportsbook odds.

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How to Watch Australia vs France

Viewers in the US can watch Saturday’s Australia vs France World Cup last 8 clash on fuboTV at 03:00 am ET.

Matildas Deliver on the Biggest Stage

With Tony Gustavsson’s Australians ranked 10 in the world by FIFA and with home advantage, there was massive pressure on the Matildas to deliver from the get-go and they haven’t disappointed. While the nerves may have been jangling in their opener against the Republic of Ireland, they managed to scrape a vital 1-0 win.

Game 2 proved trickier and they came out the wrong side of a five-goal thriller against Nigeria, but the nerves had gone by game 3 when, with victory needed to secure a place in the last 16, they smashed four past a Canada side ranked 7 in the world. It was a statement win that set up their round-of-16 tie with Denmark.

Massive Win in Sydeney

In front of nearly 76,000 in Sydney’s famous Stadium Australia, the Matildas produced a performance of maturity to beat the Danes 2-0, with goals from Caitlin Foord and Hayley Raso. They will need to match that level and then improve upon it if they are to beat the talented French in Brisbane.

In terms of head-to-head matches, these two have played each other four times with two wins apiece, so there really is very little to choose between them. While the French may have the edge in terms of wins at World Cups, the boost given to the Australians through home advantage shouldn’t be underestimated.

Australia vs France Head-to-Head Stats

3-0-1 WC 2023 Record 3-1-0
9 / 3 Goals For / Against 12 / 4
52.3 Possession (%)* 67.3
72.1 Pass Accuracy (%)* 76.4
10 FIFA World Ranking 5

* Stats from FBREF.com

Slow-Burner for France

The French managed only a 0-0 draw in their tournament opener against Jamaica but, as predicted by coach Herve Renard, they improved as the tournament progressed. As a result, they comfortably qualified for the knockout phase with wins in games 2 and 3 against Brazil and Panama respectively, which took them to the top of Group F.

As it transpired, their round-of-16 game against Morocco was their easiest of the tournament with the French hitting their best form in a very comfortable 4-0 win. Goals from Kadiditou Diani, Kenza Dali, and two from their all-time record goalscorer, Eugenie Le Sommer saw them cruise through with the minimum of fuss.

In-Form French

The Morroco win means the French have already matched their performance of four years ago when, in their home tournament, they were knocked out in the quarterfinals by the team who went on to win it, the USA.

This is the fourth consecutive tournament where the French have made it to the quarters, and they went one better in last summer’s European Championships where they got to the semifinals before losing to Germany. Their current form is very good, having lost just once in their last 12.

Australia vs France Lineups and Injuries

Australi Projected Lineup: Arnold | Catley, Kennedy, Hunt, Carpenter | Foord, Raso, Gorry, Cooney-Cross | Van Egmond, Fowler.

Injuries & absences: None.

France Projected Lineup: Peyraud-Magnin |Perisset, De Almeida, Renard, Karchaoui | Toletti, Geyoro, Dali | Diani, Bacha, Le Sommer.

Injuries & absences: Lakrar (recovering).

Australia vs France Prediction

Β As the odds suggest, this could be close. While the French have the edge on quality, this will be offset by the home advantage enjoyed by the Matildas. And while France is expected to have the majority of the possession, the Australian defense has only conceded three goals so far in the tournament.

But, this French team is on a fine run of form and has quality. They are due a semifinal place after missing out in the last three World Cups and as long as they remain in plus money they represent good value.

France vs Morocco Pick: France to win (+110) & Over 2.5 goals (+130) at DraftKings.


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