Bayern Munich vs Villarreal Odds & Picks – Champions League Quarterfinals Leg 2
- It’s Bayern Munich vs Villarreal in the Champions League on Tuesday, April 12 at 3:00 pm ET
- Villarreal takes a 1-0 lead into the second leg after Danjuma’s early goal gave them the edge in Spain
- We preview the game, look at the Bayern Munich vs Villarreal odds, and offer some picks below
It is Bayern Munich vs Villarreal at the Allianz Arena in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League quarterfinal on Tuesday, April 12 at 3:00 pm ET. The first leg produced a massive shock when the Spanish side gave the performance of their lives to take a 1-0 to Munich for the second leg.
We preview Bayern Munich vs Villarreal and offer below the best picks for this huge UCL clash.
Bayern Munich vs Villarreal Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | -400 |
| Villarreal | +1000 |
| Draw | +550 |
Odds as of April 11 at Barstool Sportsbook
The bookies expect Bayern to win this comfortably and have them as -400 favorites in the Champions League odds with an implied win probability of 77%. Villarreal at +1000 for the win has an implied probability of just 9%. The draw offers a huge return as well at +550, with an implied probability of 15.38%.
Over/Under and Spread
Significantly, they list over 3.5 goals at a relatively modest +105, suggesting a goal-fest. You can bet the under at that total at -129. Additionally, Bayern is -118 on the spread at -1.75.
If you’re new to this sport and need advice on soccer betting’s pros and cons, there are plenty of directions you can go when betting on this game and others.
Bayern Munich vs Villarreal Prediction for Leg 2 Quarterfinal
It’s been a tricky week for Julian Nagelsmann’s men. While they responded to the defeat in Villarreal with a 1-0 win, it was narrow and unconvincing. It took an 82nd-minute penalty from Robert Lewandowski to see off Augsburg in a game they could easily have lost. Their first UCL away defeat since 2017 has planted a few seeds of doubt.
Ready ✌️ train #MiaSanMia @lewy_official pic.twitter.com/mOYNegPd41
— FC Bayern English (@FCBayernEN) April 11, 2022
Five Wins in Six at the Allianz for Bayern
Also worthy of note is that you have to go back to their UCL campaign of 2014-15 to find the last time that the Bavarians progressed to the next round of the competition after losing the first leg of a tie. Since then, each time they have been knocked out of the competition after losing the first leg, their opponents have been Spanish!
Full focus in final training ahead of #FCBVCF 😤⚽#packmas pic.twitter.com/CaEADApKWq
— FC Bayern English (@FCBayernEN) April 11, 2022
On the flip side, Nagelsmanns’s men come into this game off the back of a good run of home form – they have won five of their last six in all competitions – and have an outstanding record of scoring at least twice in every UCL game at the Allianz Arena for the last three seasons.
Bayern Munich vs Villarreal Head-to-Head Stats
| 7-1-1 | UCL record in 2021-22 | 5-2-2 |
| 30 / 6 | Goals for / against | 17 / 10 |
| 89% | Passing accuracy | 84% |
| 60% | Possession | 50% |
| 1067.94 km | Distance covered | 1042.61 km |
| W-D-W-W-L-W | Form guide (all competitions) | W-W-L-LW-D |
Villarreal Living the European Dream
Despite being written off before a ball had even been kicked in this tie, Unai Emery’s men now have a genuine chance of making it to only their second-ever Champions League semifinal. Arnaut Danjuma’s early goal in the Ceramica was a special moment in itself but may yet lead to something even more special.
Last training session before heading to Germany 🇩🇪!#UCL pic.twitter.com/jCDsqelc8N
— Villarreal CF English (@VillarrealCFen) April 11, 2022
While they still remain massive underdogs, Emery has proved himself to be a genius at managing teams in European competitions. He led the Yellow Submarine to the Europa League last season and also won the same competition three times as coach of Sevilla. No one is better equipped than Emery to steer Villarreal through this second leg.
🎩 #Danjumagic 🎩
#UCL pic.twitter.com/kdves2rH2v
— Villarreal CF English (@VillarrealCFen) April 11, 2022
La Liga Struggles
Unfortunately for Villarreal, their UCL heroics have come at a cost and a run of one draw and two defeats in their last three La Liga games, including a 1-1 draw with Athletic Bilbao at the weekend, has seen them drop out of the top-six contention. All eyes in Castellón are focused purely on the Champions League and they may be an advantage.
Bayern Munich vs Villarreal Team Lineups and Injuries
Bayern Munich Projected Lineup: Neuer; Pavard, Upamecano, Hernandez, Davies; Kimmich, Goretzka; Sane, Muller, Gnabry; Lewandowski.
Bayern Munich Injuries: Niklas Sule, Bouna Sarr, Corentin Tolisso, and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting.
Villarreal Projected Lineup: Rulli; Foyth, Albiol, Torres, Estupinan; Parejo, Coquelin, Capoue; Lo Celso; Moreno, Danjuma.
Villarreal Injuries: Alberto Moreno and Boulaye Dia.
Bayern Munich vs Villarreal Picks
The only other time these two sides met in the Allianz Arena was back in 2011-12 when the Germans won 3-1, but perhaps of more relevance here is that Villarreal have won each of their last three UCL away games, scoring 10 goals in the process.
While it’s hard to see them winning in Munich, I believe the Yellow Submarine’s amazing run could continue with them earning a shock draw. At +550, that is, for me, where the value lies.
Picks: Bayern and Villarreal to draw (+550)
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
