Benfica vs Club Brugge Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Champions League Picks
- It’s Benfica vs Club Brugge in the Champions League round-of -16 2nd leg on Tuesday, March 7
- Benfica are odds-on for the victory after comfortably winning 2-0 in the first leg in the Benfica vs Club Brugge odds
- Find our Benfica vs Club Brugge prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks
It’s Benfica vs Club Brugge in the UEFA Champions League round-of -16 second leg on Tuesday, March 7. Kick-off in the Estádio da Luz is at 3:00 pm ET. The hosts start the game as odds-on favorites in the Benfica vs Club Brugge odds.
After losing 2-0 in the first leg at home, Brugge needs to produce something really special here to even give themselves a chance. Poor defending from Scott Parker’s men in the first leg has left them with a mountain to climb.
We preview our Benfica vs Club Brugge picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below. This match will be one of two kicking off on Tuesday. You can see our Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund picks for the other match here as well.
Benfica vs Club Brugge Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline | To Advance |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica | -235 | -20000 |
| Club Brugge | +650 | +2500 |
| Draw | +390 | N/A |
The oddsmakers have Benfica listed as odds-on favorites at -235 for the home win – an implied probability of 70% – while Brugge is listed at +650 with a win probability of just 13% in the Benfica vs Club Brugge odds. The draw is priced at +390, which is implied at 20%.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on March 6.
Benfica vs Club Brugge Over/Under and Spread
With the benchmark pitched at 2.5, the bookies have listed the under at +120 and the over at -150 and so are expecting goals in this game when it comes to Benfica vs Club Brugge predictions.
Benfica vs Club Brugge Preview
The Eagles are within touching distance of a place in the last eight after securing a 2-0 win in Brugge courtesy of two defensive howlers from the Belgians.
After a goalless first half, Joao Mario put Benfica ahead from the penalty spot after Jack Hendry had tripped Goncalo Ramos, and then with just two minutes remaining the tie was all but put to bed when David Neres pounced on a mistake from Brandon Mechele.
If Benfica gets the job done, it will be the second consecutive season they have made it to the UCL quarterfinals, albeit they were knocked out of the last eight in last season’s competition by Liverpool.
📸 #SLBFCF pic.twitter.com/mKpMFLoOiR
— SL Benfica (@slbenfica_en) March 4, 2023
The Eagles Are Flying
The Eagles still have work to do though and have exited the tournament at this stage before after winning the first leg – against Borussia Dortmund in the 2016-17 season. But they come into this in great form, with three straight wins in domestic soccer behind them since the win in Brugge.
On Friday night, a comfortable 2-0 win over mid-table Famalicao – two goals from Ramos – took them eight points clear at the top of the Primeira Liga.
Brugge on the Ropes
Parker’s time in the Brugge hot seat has not gone as he or the club had planned and defeat in Lisbon may well signal the end of his time there. His cause was not helped by those two defensive howlers in the first leg but domestically Brugge have struggled too.
Club are currently on a miserable run of form – just two wins from their last 13 matches – and have slipped to fourth in the Belgian Pro League table, 21 points adrift of leaders, Genk. There now appears little chance of them retaining their league title, so the pressure on Parker is huge.
Hi boys. 👋🏼 #UCL #SLBCLU pic.twitter.com/e1XTXYrYRO
— Club Brugge KV (@ClubBrugge) March 6, 2023
Oostende Disaster for Parker
Despite recording a spirited 2-0 win over the current league leaders on matchday 27 of the Pro League, Brugge were brought crashing back to earth last Friday night when they were thrashed 3-0 by relegation-threatened Oostende. So poor was the performance, Parker even questioned after the game if he would still be in charge for this game.
The only real positive for Brugge fans is that their recent record on the road in the UCL is pretty good, with three consecutive clean sheets, but it’s hard to make a case for another on Tuesday.
Benfica vs Club Brugge Team Lineups and Injuries
Benfica Projected Lineup: Vlachodimos, Bah, Otamendi, Silva (A), Grimaldo, Aursnes, Florentino, Mario, Silva (R), Neres, Ramos.
Injuries & absences: Ristic, Draxler, Chiquinho.
Club Brugge Projected Lineup: Mignolet, Mata, Mechele, Sylla, Meijer, Odoi, Onyedika, Buchanan, Vanaken, Lang, Jutgla.
Injuries & absences: Olsen.
Benfica vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head Stats
| 5-2-0 | UCL record | 3-2-2 |
| 18 / 7 | Goals for / against | 7 / 6 |
| 13.9 | Shots per game* | 8.3 |
| 86.0 | Passing accuracy (%)* | 81.9 |
| 50.3 | Possession (%)* | 47.4 |
| WLWWWW | Form guide (all comps) | DDLDWL |
*Stats from UEFA Official Site.
Benfica vs Club Brugge Prediction
The odds appear stacked against Parker and Brugge and there looks like no way through to the last eight for the Belgian champions. Worth noting though is that in the circumstances, there is no incentive here for Benfica to be expansive and to attack in numbers.
Therefore, on the basis of a boring, uneventful draw being more than enough for Benfica’s safe passage through to the quarters, I’m going bold here and predicting that Brugge will grab an unlikely tie. At nearly 4/1 it offers great value in the Benfica vs Club Brugge odds.
Benfica vs Club Brugge Pick: The draw (+390)
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
