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Canada vs Brazil Odds & Prediction – Olympic Women’s Soccer Quarterfinals

Paul Attfield

by Paul Attfield in Soccer News

Updated Jul 29, 2021 · 8:16 AM PDT

Canada vs Brazil
Zambia's Ireen Lungu, left, and Brazil's Marta battle for the ball during a women's soccer match at the 2020 Summer Olympics, Tuesday, July 27, 2021, in Saitama, Japan. (AP Photo/Martin Mejia)
  • Pair of undefeated teams meet in a rematch of the 2016 Olympic bronze-medal game, won 2-1 by Canada
  • Canada has struggled to score at times, while Brazil has found the net nine times in three games
  • Read on for a match preview, full odds and a best bet for this women’s quarterfinal taking place on Friday, July 30

While both Canada and Brazil arrived in Tokyo with visions of finishing on the podium, one of these experienced squads will see their Olympic journey come to an early end at the conclusion of the first women’s quarterfinal on Friday, July 30.

The two teams, who also met in the 2016 bronze-medal game (won 2-1 by Canada), are undefeated so far, and finished as runners-up in their respective groups, with Canada finishing a couple of points behind Great Britain, while Brazil trailed the Netherlands on goal difference.

Canada vs Brazil Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Canada vs Brazil CAN +1.5 (-475) | BRA -1.5 (+235) CAN +320 | BRA -105
DRAW +245
Ov 2.5 (+120) | Un 2.5 (-150)

Odds as of July 29 at DraftKings

Canada Struggling to Generate Offense

With just six shots on goal through three games so far, Canada’s biggest Achilles heel has seemed to be its attack. That will improve against Brazil, with captain and world-record goal-scorer Christine Sinclair restored to the starting lineup after being rested in the final round-robin game against Great Britain.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkTnhXNtotU

But still, while Bev Priestman’s team has dominated possession and scored first in each of its group games, its inability to turn possession into goals could be its undoing, especially against an experienced and savvy team like Brazil.

Defensive Miscues Haunting Canada

While the attack has yet to hit full stride, possibly more concerning for Priestman is her team’s inability to produce a strong defensive game thus far.

Canada entered the Olympics on the back of four straight clean sheets but has yet been unable to keep a clean sheet in Tokyo. And two of the three goals it has conceded have come in the last 10 minutes of games when Canada was leading. The late goal against host Japan in the opener may have been the result of an injury to starting goalkeeper Stephanie Labbe, with her understudy caught out of position. The goal against Chile was a penalty and the tying goal against Britain was actually an own goal credited to Nichelle Prince.

But, however, the goals went in, Canada will know it needs to tighten up to go further in the tournament.

Canada vs Brazil Key Stats

Canada
VS
Brazil
4-2-4 Record In 2021 5-1-2
10 Goals For 18
6 Goals Against 6
Bronze medal 2016 Olympics Performance Fourth

Canarinhas Clicking

If it wasn’t for conceding a late goal against the Netherlands, Brazil would likely have won Group F and have gone into a quarterfinal with the four-time Olympic champions, the United States.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvjMX_R611M

But no one in the Brazil squad is likely complaining that the team gets to play Canada instead. In fact, given that Marta and Co. have already scored nine goals in three games – the joint-second highest total in the tournament alongside Sweden – Brazil will fancy its chances of adding to that total against a team that has allowed a goal in each game.

Brazil Looking Solid

While the offense has been provided by the likes of Marta, who has scored 13 of her 112 international goals at the Olympics, along with younger forwards such as Beatriz and Debinha, the foundation for Brazil’s success has been provided by its defense.

Patrolled by center-backs Poliana and Rafaelle, Brazil’s backline has kept two clean sheets so far. The only goals it has conceded have been the three against the Netherlands, which sounds a lot until you realize that the Dutch also scored a combined 18 goals in their other two group matches.

Does Brazil Have Psychological Edge?

While Canada may have beaten host Brazil five years ago to win the bronze at the Rio Games, Brazil has the most recent victory between the teams. Debinha and Julia Bianchi scored in a 2-0 win at the SheBelieves Cup back in February this year, while the two sides played out a 0-0 draw in June in a warmup for these Olympics.

YouTube video

In fact, Canada hasn’t beaten Brazil since a 1-0 friendly win in 2018, and the teams have played four times since then.

Best bet: Brazil (-105); Over 2.5 (+120)

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