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Chelsea vs Real Madrid Odds & Prediction – Champions League Semifinals Leg 2

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer

May 4, 2021 · 7:32 AM PDT

Chelsea vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid's Marcelo vies for the ball with Chelsea's Jorginho, left, during the Champions League semifinal first leg soccer match between Real Madrid and Chelsea at the Alfredo di Stefano stadium in Madrid, Spain, Tuesday, April 27, 2021. (AP Photo/Bernat Armangue)
  • EPL’s fourth-placed side hosts La Liga’s second-placed giants at 3:00 pm ET on Wednesday
  • Chelsea has away goal to its credit for London clash after 1-1 draw in Leg1 in Madrid
  • See all odds and best bets for Chelsea vs Real Madrid in the Champions League Semifinals Leg 2

Chelsea has the slight advantage as it prepares to host Real Madrid on Wednesday in the Champions League semifinal second leg following a 1-1 draw in the opening game in Spain. Chelsea vs Real Madrid kicks off at 3:00 pm ET.

Christian Pulisic’s opening goal for Chelsea was equalized by Karim Benzema’s strike at Real’s training base stadium at Valdebebas last week.

UCL Chelsea vs Real Madrid Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total at DraftKings
Chelsea vs Real Madrid CHE -1.5 (+360) | REA +1.5 (-480) CHE +118 | REA +245 | DRAW +230 Ov 2.5 (+125) | Un 2.5 (-150)

Odds as of May 4

Now Thomas Tuchel’s Chelsea side is favored for a win on the night in the return match in London – which would send them into their first final since their 2012 triumph.

At DraftKings, Chelsea is a favorite for a home victory at +118 with Real Madrid at +245. The draw after 90 minutes is attractive +230.

The tie is delicately poised as is the history between the two teams – with the first leg meeting the first UCL clash between the teams in history.

Previously, they met in the UEFA Super Cup in 1998 with Chelsea winning 1-0 and in the final of the 1971 European Cup Winners – also won by Chelsea by 2-1 in a replay following a 1-1 draw.

Tough Task at Stamford Bridge

Despite the Spanish clubs’ aristocratic pedigree in European competition, it faces a tough task at Stamford Bridge against a much-improved Chelsea side.

Chelsea has lost just twice since German coach Tuchel’s appointment on January 26 – and has conceded only one goal in the last five games.

The fact that this goal was the one scored by Benzema last week may encourage Real.

But they are facing the disadvantage that Chelsea has a precious away strike ion the bank.

On the last seven occasions that Chelsea avoided defeat in a UCL first leg match away from home, they progress on five occasions.

Real is currently enjoying a 19-match unbeaten run in all competitions.

However, Real’s French coach Zinedine Zidane has advanced to the final in all three of the UCL semifinals in which he has been in charge – winning the competition in three successive finals between 2016 and 2018.

Furthermore, Real is currently enjoying a 19-match unbeaten run in all competitions.

Their last defeat was a surprise 2-1 set-back at home against Levante on January 30. And Real maintained five clean sheets in its last six matches.

So it is clear how finely balanced the form book stands heading into this mouth-watering collision.

UCL Chelsea vs Real Madrid Stats

Real Madrid
7 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
1 Losses 2
20 Goals 19
4 Goals Against 12
16 Yellow Cards 20
0 Red Cards 0
7 Clean Sheets 4

Chelsea is fourth in the English Premier League. It has improved its chances of qualification for next season’s UCL in a current run of four unbeaten league games – winning 2-0 at home against struggling London neighbors Fulham last Friday.

The team has also won a place in the FA Cup final against Leicester City at Wembley on May 15.

Tuchel has been credited with tightening up a leaky defense which proved to be the downfall of his predecessor Frank Lampard.

The side has conceded just eight times in the 15 EPL games over which Tuchel has presided. And the bulk of those came in the shock 5-2 defeat at home by West Bromwich Albion on April 3.

Londoners Dominant Early in Leg1

Chelsea, however, was the dominant attacking team at first in the first-leg meeting with Real – with Pulisic opening the scoring after 54 minutes.

Benzema scored his 71st UCL goal to level the scores in the 71st minute.

Before, Chelsea advanced to the last eight with a quarterfinal triumph against Porto.

Chelsea has not conceded more than one goal in its 11 UCL  matches.

After a 2-0 opening win, the Londoners were beaten 1-0 at home – their only defeat in this season’s competition.

They have not conceded more than one goal in their 11 UCL matches.

Real is in second place in Spain’s La Liga – two points behind leaders Atletico Madrid.

It has won 10 of its last 14 league matches, with four draws.

The 2-0 win against Osasuna last time out was, however, a tense affair and they did not open the scoring until the 76th minute.

They claimed their semifinal UCL place by defeating Liverpool 3-1 in Spain with a 0-0 draw then following in England.

Their recent defensive statistics are as impressive as Chelsea’s with only nine goals conceded during the current 19-match undefeated spell.

Madrid’s French center-back Raphael Varane is set to miss Wednesday’s tie because of injury.

But star Spanish defender Sergio Ramos is set to return after nine games out of action.

Meanwhile, Brazilian Marcelo will join the squad in London on Wednesday after being called up to perform a civic duty helping out at local elections in Madrid on Tuesday.

Chelsea has slight worries about the midfielder Mateo Kovacic and central defender Antonio Rudiger.

In conclusion, Chelsea is capable of playing it tight to protect their away goal advantage but a scored draw seems the most likely outcome.

Pick: Draw +230

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