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LAFC vs LA Galaxy Odds & Prediction – MLS Cup Playoffs Conference Semifinals

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Soccer News

Updated Oct 20, 2022 · 8:13 AM PDT

LAFC vs LA Galaxy
Oct 9, 2022; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles FC forward Carlos Vela (10) lifts the MLS Supporters Shield following the match against Nashville SC at Banc of California Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s the battle of Los Angeles in the MLS Western Conference Semifinals as LAFC and the Galaxy lock horns on Thursday evening
  • LAFC are a -140 favorite to win within 90 minutes on the moneyline
  • Who will come out victorious? Find the odds, preview, and LAFC vs LA Galaxy prediction below for El Trafico

We’re officially down to just four teams in each conference in the MLS Cup Playoffs. In the West, two familiar rivals from opposite sides of the city will clash at Banc of California Stadium on Friday evening as top-seeded LAFC face the Los Angeles Galaxy, with a spot in the conference finals on the line. The kick-off is scheduled for 10 PM ET. Read on for the LAFC vs Galaxy prediction for tonight’s El Trafico rivalry here.

The Black and Gold earned an automatic berth to this point after winning the Supporter’s Shield, awarded to the team with the best record in the MLS. As for the Galaxy, they had to beat Nashville in the quarterfinals, with defender Julian Araujo bagging the winner in a 1-0 victory.

LAFC vs LA Galaxy Odds

Matchup Moneyline
LAFC -140
LA Galaxy +340
Draw +300

Odds as of October 20th at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this MLS Cup Playoff game.

LAFC is favored at -140 odds on the moneyline for Saturday’s encounter and boasts the top MLS Cup odds at +180. A $100 bet on the hosts would earn you $171 in return. The Galaxy comes back as a +340 underdog, with an implied win probability of just 30%.

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Over/Under & Spread

The total sits at 3.5 here with the over at +140 odds. The under is at -170. LAFC won the latest clash against the Galaxy, but the visitors won two straight prior to that earlier in the year.

LAFC vs LA Galaxy Preview

LAFC was nothing short of spectacular in 2022, going a league-best 21-9-4 en route to first place West, sitting 11 points clear of Austin FC. Steve Cherundolo’s men netted 66 times in just 34 games while conceding a mere 38 goals. The attacking duo of Cristian Arango and Carlos Vela were absolutely lethal, combining for 28 goals and 13 assists.

However, the Black and Gold did lose their final match of the campaign to Nashville and have only won two of their last five outings. On a more positive note, LAFC’s form is flawless on home soil, tasting defeat twice this term to go along with 13 victories and two draws. Seven of keeper Maxime Crepeau’s 10 clean sheets came at the Banc of California Stadium, too.

LAFC vs LA Galaxy Key Stats

LAFC
VS
LA Galaxy
21-9-4 (1st in West) W-L-D 14-12-8 (4th in West)
66 Goals Scored 58
38 Goals Conceded 51
LDWWL Form in Last Five Games WWDWW

The Galaxy does have the upper hand in previous meetings with LAFC, at 3-2-1 in the past six head-to-head meetings and they truly couldn’t be in better shape at the moment. LA is unbeaten in their last five fixtures, winning on four occasions. That included a heroic 1-0 victory over Nashville in the first round of the playoffs, shutting down Golden Boot winner Hany Mukhtar.

YouTube video

While their form on the road in 2022 wasn’t fantastic, the Galaxy is playing a mile better away from home as of late, beating Houston down south and San Jose just a few hours upstate from Dignity Health Sports Park. In both of those matches, Greg Vanney’s side fired home three goals. After keeping Mukhtar at bay, the Galaxy’s backline won’t be short on confidence as Vela and Arango look to spoil their run.

LAFC vs LA Galaxy Projected Lineups & Injuries

LAFC Projected Lineup: Crepeau; Hollingshead, Segura, Chiellini, Palacios; Cifuentes, Sanchez, Acosta; Vela, Arango, Bouanga

Injuries & Absences: N/A

LA Galaxy Projected Lineup: Bond; Araujo, Coulibaly, Caceres, Edwards; Delgado, Brugman, Puig; Cabral, Chicharito, Grandsir

Injuries & Absences: Villafana, Perez

LAFC vs LA Galaxy Prediction

This is a very tough one to predict. The Galaxy has LAFC’s number, but it’s hard to look past the hosts’ impressive play at home where they were 13-2-2. For that reason, I’m taking LAFC. I also see value in the over in goals given how much attacking talent is on both sides and that there have been three or more goals scored in five of their past six meetings.

Pick: LAFC (-140), Over 3.5 Goals (+140)

 

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