Marseille vs Lens Odds & Prediction – Ligue 1 Week 12
- In Ligue 1 on Saturday, October 22 it’s Marseille vs Lens in the Orange Velodrome
- Third plays fourth in the biggest game of Ligue 1’s Week 12
- We preview the game, look at the Marseille vs Lens odds, and offer some picks below
It’s Marseille vs Lens in Ligue 1 at the Orange Velodrome on Saturday, October 22, with kick-off scheduled for 3:00pm ET.
Third plays fourth as two Ligue 1 teams with title aspirations meet in one of France’s great soccer theaters. Last weekend, Marseille lost 1-0 to the mighty PSG while Lens enjoyed a 1-0 win over Montpellier.
We preview Marseille vs Lens, look at the Ligue 1 odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.
Marseille vs Lens Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Marseille | +100 |
| Lens | +260 |
| Draw | +255 |
Odds as of Oct 20 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.
Marseille are listed as even-money favorites with, by implication, an implied win probability of 50%. Lens, as outsiders, are pitched at +260 with a win probability of just 27.8%. The draw is listed at +255 – an implied probability of 28.2%.
Over/Under and Spread
Caesars are not anticipating goals in this game with under 2.5 listed at -120, while over is also very short at -110.
If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers help on how to do this in Ligue 1 and other top leagues.
Marseille vs Lens Prediction
Marseille’s disappointing 1-0 defeat in Paris saw them drop out of Ligue 1’s top three but it remains tight of the top with leaders PSG only six points ahead of Olympique. Marseille will take heart from a good performance in the capital and could well have rescued a point but for Samuel Gigot’s 72nd-minute red card.
But it’s still a worrying and untimely blip for Saturday’s hosts who also lost their previous Ligue 1 game – a shock 1-0 defeat at the hands of 18th-placed Ajaccio. For them to stay in touch with PSG they badly need a win against Lens.
Home is where the heart is 🏡💙 pic.twitter.com/1WoG7736Mr
— Olympique de Marseille 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 (@OM_English) October 19, 2022
Marseille in Dire Need of a Win
In addition to their need to stay in touch with PSG, this weekend’s opponents, who are in third, and second-placed Lorient are both showing ominous signs of pulling away, and there is also pressure on Marseille from Rennes and Monaco who are both only two points behind them. In a very crowded top six, every dropped point comes at a cost.
On the plus side, Marseille’s home form has generally been okay, and they have scored in each of their six home league games this season, but they will need to be more solid defensively as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three in the Velodrome.
𝗔 𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 ✨
Our goalie @paulopez_13 came up big during #PSGOM with some amazing saves! 🧤pic.twitter.com/wMM0tOyfr4— Olympique de Marseille 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 (@OM_English) October 18, 2022
Marseille vs Lens Head-to-Head Stats
| 7-2-2 | Ligue 1 record | 7-3-1 |
| 20 / 8 | Goals for / Goals against | 18 / 8 |
| 58.87 | Possession (%) | 60.08 |
| 5926 | Total passes | 6350 |
| 82.9 | Pass accuracy (%) | 87.2 |
| 4th | Current league position | 3rd |
| W-W-D-W-L-L | Form guide (Ligue 1) | D-W-D-W-L-W |
Low-Scorers Lens Up to Third
Lens bounced back perfectly from their derby day defeat by Lille in Week 9, with a vital 1-0 home win over Montpellier. It concluded a good week for Les Sang et Or as head coach Franck Haise had, a few days earlier, signed a new contract keeping him at the club until 2027.
It’s no coincidence that Lens’ last two games have ended with a 1-0 scoreline, as low-scoring games have been their trademark this season so far. In fact, four of their last five have ended 1-0, with, in between, their Week 8 draw with Nantes ending goalless.
Six home games: six wins. @RCLens are third in #Ligue1UberEats after making an historic start to the season! 🔴🟡
Here's all you need to know ⤵️
— Ligue 1 English (@Ligue1_ENG) October 20, 2022
Tough Times on the Road
While Lens haven’t been especially productive in front of goal – they are the lowest scorers in the top seven – they have a defensive record that is the joint-second best in the league, level with Marseille and only bettered by PSG. Worth noting though is that their success so far has largely been borne of a fantastic home record – six wins from six – and on the road they are 1-3-1.
Lens’ only win on the road was an impressive one – a 4-1 victory in Monaco back in August – and they also have a 3-2 win in the Velodrome last season to draw inspiration from.
Tournés vers #OMRCL 👀🤙#FierDEtreLensois pic.twitter.com/v0aU2QLYIh
— Racing Club de Lens (@RCLens) October 19, 2022
Marseille vs Lens Team Lineups and Injuries
Marseille Projected Lineup: Lopez, Mbemba, Balerdi, Bailly, Clauss, Rongier, Veretout, Tavares, Under, Guendouzi, Sanchez.
Injuries & absences: Kolasinac.
Lens Projected Lineup: Samba, Haidara, Danso, Medina, Frankowski, Fofana, Abdul Samed, Machado, Sotoca, Said; Openda.
Injuries & absences: Gradit, Cabot, Farinez.
Marseille vs Lens Picks
Marseille’s desperate need for a win and Lens’ poor away form point to a home win. But don’t expect too many goals with the visitors’ habit of being involved in low-scoring matches.
At even money, the value here is with the Marseille win, and let’s also consider the under 2.5 goals.
Picks: Marseille to win (+100) / / Under 2.5 goals (-120)
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
