Marseille vs Monaco Odds & Prediction – Ligue 1 Week 20
- It’s Marseille vs Monaco in Week 20 of France’s Ligue 1 on Saturday, January 28
- Third plays fourth in France’s game of the week, with Les Olympiens plus money favorites
- Find our Marseille vs Monaco prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks
It’s Marseille vs Monaco on Matchday 20 Ligue 1 at the Stade Velodrome on Saturday, January 28 with a 3:00 pm ET kick-off. Les Olympiens start the game as plus-money favorites in the Marseille vs Monaco odds.
We preview our Marseille vs Monaco picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.
Marseille vs Monaco Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Marseille | +110 |
| Monaco | +240 |
| Draw | +275 |
Odds as of Jan 27 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.
Third-placed Marseille start this one as plus-money favorites at +110, with a win probability of 48%. Fourth-placed Monaco are outsiders and listed at +240 for the win with an implied probability of 29%. The draw is calculated to be less likely than a Monaco win at +275.
Marseille vs Monaco Over/Under and Spread
The oddsmakers are expecting goals in this one and are offering a tempting +110 for under +2.5 goals. The over is therefore on offer at a less tempting -135.
Marseille vs Monaco Preview
Despite dropping out of the Champions League in disappointing fashion, Led Olympiens are on fire in Ligue 1 and are heaping the pressure on league leaders, PSG. They come into this game unbeaten in eight in all competitions.
Igor Tudor’s team are well-placed as they head into the second half of the campaign, and even if they miss out on the title they look odds-on to secure themselves a place in next season’s Champions League. They are just five points behind the leaders and just two behind second-placed Lens.
Training under sunlight >>> pic.twitter.com/54brhnbyau
— Olympique de Marseille 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 (@OM_English) January 26, 2023
Fine Form at the Stade Velodrome
Marseille’s fine run has been bolstered by some outstanding home form where they have won five on the bounce, scoring 13 goals in the process. Last Friday, they used home comforts to see off Rennes in the Coupe de France – their narrow 1-0 win earning them a place in the last 16.
They also have a good recent record against Monaco, having won four of their last six meetings but if they can complete the double over them – they won 3-2 in Monaco in November – it will be their first since 2007-08.
Marseille vs Monaco Head-to-Head Stats
| 13-3-3 (3rd) | Ligue 1 Record | 11-4-4 (4th) |
| 39 / 16 | Goals For / Against | 42 / 26 |
| 32.4 / 21.6 | xG / xGA | 33.0 / 26.2 |
| 98 / 38 | Shots on target / Accuracy (%) | 110 / 47 |
| WWWWWW | Form Guide (all comps) | LWWWDL |
Ten Wins in Last 14 for Monaco
Monaco’s form since the summer has been more inconsistent than coach Philippe Clement would have liked but he has a talented squad that’s more than capable of competing for the Champions League places. They are also capable of big wins as they proved last weekend when they hammered Ajaccio 7-1.
Most recently their form has been good and they have won 10 of their last 14. During that run, the only team to have bettered that level of performance is the mighty PSG, so this really is a clash of Ligue 1’s two form teams.
Eyes on Marseille 🎯#OMASM pic.twitter.com/nezxbJO9aU
— AS Monaco EN (@AS_Monaco_EN) January 26, 2023
Poor Record at Stade Velodrome
Worth noting though is that Monaco’s good form has been mainly played out against teams in the bottom half of the Ligue 1 table, and they are without a win against teams in the league’s top seven – most recently against 7th-placed Lorient with whom they drew 2-2.
They also don’t have a great record at the Stade Velodrome where they have won just once in their last six visits, although that win did come last season when they won thanks to a single Gelson Martins goal.
Marseille vs Monaco Team Lineups and Injuries
Marseille Projected Lineup: Lopez, Mbemba, Gigot, Kolasinac, Under, Rongier, Veretout, Malinovskyi, Guendouzi, Sanchez, Dieng.
Injuries & absences: Clauss.
Monaco Projected Lineup: Nubel, Vanderson, Disasi, Maripan, Henrique, Fofana, Diatta, Ben Seghir, Golovin, Ben Yedder, Embolo.
Injuries & absences: Martins, Volland, Camara.
Marseille vs Monaco Prediction
Both teams come into this with confidence but home advantage could be the deciding factor. A noisy, passionate Stade Velodrome will make it an uncomfortable 90+ minutes for the Les Monegasques and so, for me, with Marseille in plus money the value is with the home low-scoring win.
Picks: Marseille to win (+110) / Under 2.5 goals (+110)
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
