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New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders Odds & Prediction – CONCACAF Champions League Leg 2

Paul Attfield

by Paul Attfield in Soccer

Apr 13, 2022 · 7:38 AM PDT

New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders forward Jordan Morris dribbles the ball against New York City FC midfielder Alfredo Morales during a CONCACAF Champions League soccer semifinal match Wednesday, April 6, 2022, in Seattle. The Sounders won 3-1. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
  • Seattle Sounders carry a 3-1 first-leg edge into the deciding game at New York City
  • New York City FC is a -139 favorite to win here, despite playing its ‘home’ game at Red Bull Arena
  • Read on for betting odds, a full preview and best bets for this CONCACAF Champions League semifinal clash

The Seattle Sounders will meet New York City FC on Wednesday, April 13th, with a chance to wrap up its two-legged CONCACAF Champions League semifinal after carrying a 3-1 edge from last week’s first leg. This New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders game will be played at New Jersey’s Red Bull Arena, with NYCFC continuing its tournament theme of playing home matches away from its usual home of Yankee Stadium, with the facility not approved for CONCACAF matches.

Though trailing, New York City at least has the away goal from Thiago Andrade to fall back on, and now a 2-0 home win would be sufficient to power the defending MLS Cup champions into this month’s final against Pumas UNAM, who overcame Cruz Azul on Tuesday night.

NYCFC vs Seattle Sounders Odds

Matchup Moneyline
New York City FC  -139
Seattle Sounders +350
Draw  +300

Odds as of April 13th at Barstool Sportsbook

Given how dominant NYCFC has been at home in this Champions League run, going 2-0 with a 7-1 edge in goals scored and against, it’s little surprise to see the team a -139 favorite here. For more on what that means in soccer, read this article.

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Over/Under and Spread

A few goals are expected in this match with the Over 2.5 set at -129 odds, while the Under is set at -103. NYCFC are also -143 on the -0.5 spread for the match.

New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders CCL Semifinal Leg 2 Prediction

Even though New York City has been playing in anything but its usual home of Yankee Stadium during this Champions League run, it has seemingly done little to throw it off the scent of victory. The round-of-16 was played in California, the quarterfinal was played in Hartford and this game will actually be played at Red Bull Arena in New Jersey, the home of the rival Red Bulls.

But New York has gone 2-0 with a 7-1 edge in goals during those games, and home field has often swung the result of the matches between these two teams in the past, with the home side winning each of the past four meetings, most recently with last week’s 3-1 Seattle win at Lumen Field.

Goals Galore Once Again?

If safe bets are what you are after, you’d likely do well taking the over 2.5 goals in this match. Although the odds of -129 are nothing to write home about, there have been three or more goals scored in five of the past six meetings between these teams.

Even-Handed Rivalry

Although meetings between New York City and Seattle have been fairly scarce since NYCFC entered Major League Soccer for the 2015 season, owing partly to the teams playing in opposite conferences as well as the pandemic, which eliminated inter-conference regular-season games entirely, the sides have been evenly matched.

In six all-time meetings, they’ve shared three wins apiece, with both teams scoring exactly 10 goals each.

 NYCFC vs Seattle Sounders 2022 MLS Stats

NYCFC
VS
Seattle Sounders
1-3-1 2022 Domestic League Record 2-2-1
5 Goals For 6
6 Goals Against 6
5.8 Expected Goals For 6.3
7.5 Expected Goals Against 9.2
LDWLL Form LLWDW

Taty Castellanos Goalscorer Odds

In a game in which NYC needs at least two goals to stay alive in the tournament, all eyes will naturally be on reigning MLS Golden Boot winner Valentin ‘Taty’ Castellanos. With four goals and four assists already in this year’s tournament, the Argentine will be crucial to any hopes the Ciyzens have of going through to the final.

However, in two career games against Seattle, Taty has yet to find the back of the net, though he did provide the assist for Andrade’s goal last week. To score in this match, Taty is listed at -103 odds to be an anytime scorer.

NYCFC vs Seattle Sounders Team Lineups and Injuries

NYCFC Projected Lineup: Sean Johnson; Malte Amundsen, Thiago Martins, Alexander Callens, Tayvon Gray; Alfredo Morales, Keaton Parks; Thiago Andrade, Talles Magno, Santiago Rodriguez; Valentin Castellanos

NYCFC Injuries: Anton Tinnerholm (Achilles); Maxi Moralez (rib); Maxime Chamot (upper body)

Seattle Projected Lineup: Stefan Frei; Kelyn Rowe, Jackson Ragen, Xavier Arreaga, Alex Roldan; Joao Paulo, Albert Rusnak, Cristian Roldan, Nicolas Lodeiro, Jordan Morris; Raul Ruidiaz

Seattle Injuries: Yeimar Gomez Andrade (ankle sprain)

New York City vs Seattle Sounders Best Bet

In a game it absolutely has to win, New York City will be going all out to get forward and get goals. It may not be enough to power it into the CONCACAF Champions League final, but there will be goals on offer. However, Seattle is savvy enough not to let this game get out of sight. The Sounders may well lose, but they will be right on New York’s heels until the final whistle.

Best bet: Seattle +0.5 (+112)

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