Premier League Matchday 38 Odds & Picks: Liverpool vs Wolves, Brighton vs West Ham & Brentford vs Leeds
- On May 22nd, all twenty Premier League teams kick off at 11am ET as part of the Premier League’s Championship Sunday
- If Manchester City beat Aston Villa at home, they will lift their fourth Premier League title in just five years
- Get the odds, our analysis and betting predictions for Matchday 38 in the Premier League
On Championship Sunday, the 2021/22 Premier League season pens its final chapter. So far, the story of the season has been one to write about for years to come.
At one point this season, Liverpool trailed their northwest rivals by fourteen points. Now, the Reds of Merseyside find themselves in a Premier League race that will go down to the final day, loitering just one point behind Man City.
Elsewhere, we have watched a topsy-turvy top four race shared by the likes of Tottenham, Arsenal and Man United. Tottenham can clinch the last Champions League qualification spot with a victory against Norwich while three teams are vying for the remaining Europa and Conference League spots. Finally, at the bottom of the table, either Burnley or Leeds will be relegated on Sunday.
Premier League Matchday 38 Odds
|Arsenal vs Everton||-286||+410||+850|
|Brentford vs Leeds||+135||+280||+185|
|Brighton vs West Ham||+135||+265||+195|
|Burnley vs Newcastle||+125||+250||+220|
|Chelsea vs Watford||-625||+700||+1800|
|Crystal Palace vs Man United||+205||+270||+128|
|Leicester City vs Southampton||-121||+320||+290|
|Liverpool vs Wolves||-670||+750||+1900|
|Man City vs Aston Villa||-590||+700||+1600|
|Norwich City vs Tottenham||+1000||+550||-385|
Odds as of May 20th at Barstool Sportsbook
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MW38 P GD Pts
Man City 37 +72 90
Liverpool 37 +66 89
How does it finish? 🔮
— Premier League (@premierleague) May 20, 2022
Man City are the heavy favorites this weekend against Aston Villa with moneyline odds of -590. Currently, their odds to win the Premier League are -700 while Liverpool have plus odds of +500, ahead of their game versus Wolves.
Liverpool vs Wolves Prediction
One thing is for certain, Liverpool have to win for this title race to be on. However, Wolves will not be easy opponents on Sunday. In fact, in their last five head-to-head meetings, Liverpool have only beaten them by multiple goals on one occasion. Moreover, three of those games ended in 1-0 finishes.
If you remember their reverse fixture in early December, it took a 94th minute Divock Origi goal for Liverpool to see three points. Klopp’s men controlled 65% of the ball while accumulating an xG count of 2.5 at the Molineux Stadium. Wolves were happy to sit back and defend with Rayan Ait-Nouri and Scouser, Conor Coady being the standouts on the day.
Regardless, it is difficult to doubt Liverpool in front of an Anfield crowd that has witnessed a 78% win percentage in the Premier League and has not seen defeat on the final day since 1989. I expect a nice tidy Liverpool win, that does not eclipse the total over on 2.5 goals.
Pick: Under 2.5 total goals (+185)
Brighton vs West Ham Prediction
In particular, this match is interesting because West Ham still have the Europa League to play for. Currently, they sit in a Conference League spot, which would frankly be a downgrade for David Moyes’ side.
However, due to their +11 goal difference, they could probably reach that goal with a victory and Man United slip versus Crystal Palace.
📋 TEAM NEWS
On Benrahma: "Saïd should be fit for the game."
On Diop: "Issa, we still don’t think his ankle is quite right yet."#BHAWHU
— West Ham United (@WestHam) May 20, 2022
Furthermore, they should be positive heading into this match at the Amex Stadium. Brighton are the 17th best Premier League side at home, winning a shockingly low 19 of 54 points there.
While West Ham had a rocky run to end the season, you have to give them credit for the competition they have gone up against.
Against Man City last weekend, they showed there is still gas in the tank which is why I do not see them leaving empty handed. Not to mention that Jarrod Bowen has been an absolute delight in his last two starts, scoring and assisting twice.
Pick: West Ham DNB (+116)
Brentford vs Leeds Prediction
Lastly, we have Brentford vs Leeds in a match that could decide the final relegation spot. Presently, Burnley and Leeds are deadlocked on 35 points. Although Leeds’s abysmal goal difference of -38 gives them a significant disadvantage going into the final day.
💬 "Brentford fans will be ready to celebrate and have a party on Sunday. Hopefully, 𝙬𝙚 𝙘𝙖𝙣 𝙜𝙞𝙫𝙚 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙢 𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙡𝙖𝙨𝙩 𝙢𝙖𝙩𝙘𝙝 𝙥𝙚𝙧𝙛𝙤𝙧𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙚"
The key lines from Thomas ahead of Sunday's season finale ⬇#BrentfordFC #BRELEEhttps://t.co/5VvVOSj1iP
— Brentford FC (@BrentfordFC) May 19, 2022
On top of that, Brentford have been slightly better at home this season. More importantly, they have been better in the last few weeks, finishing the season 7-1-2.
💬 𝗝𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗲 𝗼𝗻 𝗦𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗮𝘆: “We know we have to be at our best. We want to be aggressive, we want to win. If we win, we give ourselves the best chance.” pic.twitter.com/PizPxWyd5o
— Leeds United (@LUFC) May 20, 2022
Leeds have not had that fortune, and it looks like Jesse Marsch could be the man that brings them down. They will have to be open in this match and attack, which we all know is their deadly kryptonite for teams to exploit. Overall, I see a Brentford win and a sad Yorkshire goodbye.
Pick: Brentford moneyline (+135)
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