PSV vs Monaco Odds & Picks – Champions League Third Qualifying Round Leg 2

• It’s PSV vs Monaco in the Champions League Third Qualifying Round Leg 2 on Tuesday, August 9
• The first leg in Monaco ended 1-1, so a place in the next round is still in the balance
• We preview the game, look at PSV vs Monaco odds, and offer some picks below

It’s PSV vs Monaco in the Champions League Third Qualifying Round Leg 2 on Tuesday, August 9 at the Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. The game kicks off at 2:30 pm ET.

With the first leg in Monaco ending 1-1, both teams are well in the hunt for a place in the final qualifying round, where they will play the winners of Rangers vs Union SG.

We preview PSV vs Monaco and offer below some analysis, team news, and picks for this huge Champions League qualifier.

PSV vs Monaco Odds

Odds as of August 9 at Caesars Sportsbook. 

PSV start as narrow favorites with 44% implied win probability based on being pitched +129, while Monaco, at +195 for the win has an implied probability of 34%. There is also a decent return on offer for the draw at +265, with an implied probability of 27%.

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Over/Under and Spread

Caesars have ‘over 2.5 goals’ listed at -170 and under 2.5 at +140 – suggesting they see this game as being open and end-to-end.  On that basis, it’s worth noting that ‘over 3.5 goals’ is in plus money at +135.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Asian Handicaps and Pointspreads, then our page offers help on how to bet on this and other games.

PSV vs Monaco Prediction

A 4-1 win over FC Emmen at the weekend in their Eredivisie opener was ideal preparation for this tie.  Two goals from the much sought-after Cody Gakpo, an own-goal and another from Johan Bakayoko were enough to get their domestic campaign off to a comfortable start, but they found goals hard to come by in the Stade Louis II stadium last Tuesday.

Tomorrow.
Philips Stadion.
Be there.#PSVMON #UCL pic.twitter.com/QVQjzsMlqU

— PSV (@PSV) August 8, 2022

Despite going into a 1-0 halftime lead through Joey Veerman, PSV were unable to add to their lead and eventually conceded an equalizer ten minutes from time when Axel Disasi struck for Monaco.

Gakpo in Demand

It has been a difficult pre-season for Ruud van Nistelrooy’s men as much of it has been dominated by speculation around the immediate future of Gakpo, who has been linked with, among others, Manchester United or Arsenal. Van Nistelrooy will be hoping to retain the player and certainly won’t be looking to lose him if they are able to progress to the UCL group stages for the first time since 2018-19.

Hi there! 😎#PSVMON #UCL pic.twitter.com/qm6b6JHwCG

— PSV (@PSV) August 8, 2022

Defeat here for PSV would still come with the consolation prize of a place in the Europa League but that probably wouldn’t be enough to keep Gakpo in Eindhoven. Therefore, their incentive for a win here is massive.

These two met twice in the Europa League Group B last season, with Monaco winning the game in Eindhoven 2-1 and the game in the principality ending goalless.

PSV vs Monaco Head-to-Head Stats

Monaco Triumph in Strasbourg

Monaco also got their domestic program off to a flyer at the weekend with a really hard-earned but deserved 2-1 win away at Strasbourg. They bounced back well from the disappointment of not making home advantage count against PSV, and went into a 2-0 lead through goals from Krepin Diatta and Sofiane Diop.

Despite Habib Diallo pulling a goal back for Strasbourg, Monaco battled well to hang on for the win – a game in which they had no less than 24 shots on goal. While coach Philippe Clement may have been disappointed to have scored only twice from 24 attempts, he’d have been delighted to see his team creating so many chances.

It's time to 𝐑𝐈𝐒𝐊 🔴⚪️#RiseRiskRepeat | ‣ #PSVASM pic.twitter.com/w1C2gPCoYh

— AS Monaco EN (@AS_Monaco_EN) August 9, 2022

The Away-Day Specialists

Monaco are hoping to go one better than last season, where they made it to the final qualifying round, only to lose to Shakhtar Donetsk. If they can make it all the way to the group stage, like PSV, it will be their first appearance there since 2018-19.

In Monaco’s favor is a run of outstanding away form. If they avoid defeat in Eindhoven, it will be eight games in all competitions without tasting defeat – a run that has filled them full of confidence. They did however lose their last European away tie – against Braga in the last 16 of the Europa League.

𝕊𝕠𝕗𝕚𝕒𝕟𝕖 𝔻𝕚𝕠𝕡 ⚡️ pic.twitter.com/itiMuyzc3x

— AS Monaco EN (@AS_Monaco_EN) August 8, 2022

PSV vs Monaco Team Lineups and Injuries

Eindhoven Projected Lineup: Benitez, Hoever, Teze, Obispo, Max, Sangare, Veerman, Til, Bakayoko, De Jong, Gakpo.

Eindhoven Injuries: Vinicius, Madueke, Mauro Junior and Boscagli.

Monaco Projected Lineup: Nubel, Vanderson, Disasi, Maripan, Jakobs, Matazo, Fofana, Diop, Volland, Golovin, Ben Yedder.

Monaco Injuries: Badiashile, Boadu, Geubbels and Minamino.

PSV vs Monaco Pick

This will be close and probably decided by a mistake or a piece of magic. PSV’s off-field distractions won’t have helped van Nistelrooy’s preparations and, for me, the value is with the Monaco win – especially considering their incredible away form.

Picks: Monaco to win (+195) / Over 3.5 goals (+135)