RB Leipzig vs Atalanta Odds & Prediction – Europa League Quarterfinals Leg 1
- RB Leipzig hosts Atalanta in the first leg of their Europa League quarterfinal on Thursday, April 7th at 12:45 pm ET
- Atalanta reached this stage via a win over Bayer Leverkusen in the Round of 16, while RB Leipzig advanced automatically due to the disqualification of Spartak Moscow
- Get the odds, analysis, and betting prediction for RB Leipzig vs Atalanta below
Cue the orange lights and Thursday nights, because the Europa League is back in action this week. Now, we are in the business end of the competition as only eight teams remain in UEFA’s little brother tournament. Arguably the best and most level match-up at this stage is between RB Leipzig and Atalanta.
Firstly, both of these sides are grappling for European spots in their domestic leagues. Additionally, both Leipzig and Atalanta faced tough tests at the weekend, squaring off against Borussia Dortmund and Napoli, respectively.
RB Leipzig have one more rest day in their schedule, but we still should expect rotation and some fatigue from both teams. They do not necessarily have the same depth as other European squads, which could make this first leg a bit more cagey than we are anticipating.
RB Leipzig vs Atalanta Odds
| Matchup | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig vs Atalanta | LEI -1 (+135) | ATL +1 (-162) | LEI -134 | ATL +335 | DRAW +295 | Ov 2.5 (-155) | Un 2.5 (+125) |
Odds as of Apr 5th at Barstool Sportsbook
If you’re new to betting on this sport, then take a look at our How to Bet on Soccer page before betting on these odds.
Overall, the moneyline odds for this match are definitely in RB Leipzig’s favor at -134. Despite winning their last four matches in European play including two against a higher ranked German opponent, Atalanta’s moneyline odds have a ridiculous value at +335.
This is the first of four matches today. You can also find Braga vs Rangers picks, Frankfurt vs Barcelona odds and West Ham vs Lyon predictions here.
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Merih Demiral Set to Return for La Dea
Nonetheless, while goals are forecasted, a major defensive piece is coming back into the fold for Atalanta. In fact, it has been reported that Merih Demiral has trained alone ahead of this match and is available for selection against RB Leipzig. This ex-Juventus talent might not jump off the page for some people, but all you have to do is watch Atalanta’s last match vs Napoli to comprehend his on-pitch presence.
Moreover, it was Demiral’s absence in the match this past weekend that was glaring. Atalanta lost that match to Napoi by a score of 3-1, despite outshooting them 19-6, putting together 100 more passes and winning eight more corners. One of Napoli’s goals came from a penalty, one from a set-piece and the final blow came from horrific defensive spacing and cover.
RB Leipzig vs Atalanta European Play Statistics
| 2.50 | Goals per game | 2.10 |
| 1.93 | Expected goals per game | 1.29 |
| 2.13 | Goals allowed per game | 1.60 |
| 1.71 | Expected goals allowed per game | 1.18 |
| 51.7% | Possession % | 51.2% |
| 81.5% | Passing Accuracy % | 80.7% |
| 12.5 | Shots per game | 13.9 |
Conversely, having Demiral back in the lineup should help mend these problems for Gian Piero Gasperini’s side. The 24-year-old has been a colossus this season, winning an astounding 4.72 aerial duels per ninety minutes.
🎙 Gian Piero #Gasperini: "La squadra ha fatto un buon test"
💬 "It was a good test for the team"Post-match interview 🎥 https://t.co/TrSj7Hq0WM#AtalantaNapoli #GoAtalantaGo ⚫️🔵 pic.twitter.com/WrrUtel0U2
— Atalanta B.C. (@Atalanta_BC) April 3, 2022
Furthermore, Atalanta will also have the services of Duvan Zapata back in the lineup as he missed the Napoli match due to suspension. The combination of him and Ruslan Malinovskyi up top could cause havoc for any team in Europe.
Domenico Tedesco’s Influence So Far
It goes without saying that RB Leipzig are a changed side under Domenico Tedesco. This side struggled immensely under Jesse Marsch at the start of the year, and rightfully so given the key pieces they lost.
Spoke to RB Leipzig coach Domenico Tedesco on @ESPNFC after their 4-1 win at Dortmund on Saturday. He got all tactical. 🍿 pic.twitter.com/tC6Fy8bRG5
— Archie Rhind-Tutt (@archiert1) April 4, 2022
Regardless, since his appointment, Die Rotten Bullen has only lost two matches and conceded four draws in 18 games. On top of this, Christopher Nkunku has had a breakout year as one of Europe’s top offensive talents. His 44 goal involvements this season are a reason for Atalanta to be nervous in this match.
Another goal and two more assists in Christopher Nkunku's incredible season 🔥 pic.twitter.com/bsqwMx8n2T
— GOAL (@goal) April 2, 2022
Besides that, RB Leipzig are also on a run of great form defensively. They have only let in three goals in their last six matches with Willi Orban and Peter Gulacsi holding down the spine. All in all, these factors are why RB Leipzig holds the second-best odds to win the Europa League odds at +333.
RB Leipzig vs Atalanta Best Bet
Overall, the best bet for this match is the Atalanta draw no bet (DNB) with odds of +235. This means you would win your bet if Atalanta wins, and receive a refund if they were to draw. First legs can always be a bit conservative, and with the pieces, Atalanta have possibly coming back, it is hard to see Leipzig having such an overstated advantage.
Pick: Atalanta DNB (+235)
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Josh Ricker is a freelance sports journalist, currently attending the University of Southern Maine (Bachelor of Science in Sports Management and Marketing). He has recently interned with the AA Portland Sea Dogs, and his work has been featured on Fansided, as well as now here on SBD.
