Roma vs Napoli Odds & Prediction – Serie A Week 11 (Oct 23)
- In Serie A on Sunday, October 23 it’s Roma vs Napoli in Rome’s Stadio Olimpico
- It’s first versus fourth in Serie A’s big game of the weekend
- We preview the game, look at the Roma vs Napoli odds, and offer some picks below
It’s Roma vs Napoli in La Liga at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, October 23, with kick-off scheduled for 2:45pm ET.
These two are separated by just four points and three places, with currently-unbeaten Napoli sitting at the top of the table. Both teams have the Scudetto in their sights, and so it will be a massive night in the capital.
We preview Roma vs Napoli, look at the Serie A odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.
Roma vs Napoli Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Roma | +185 |
| Napoli | +138 |
| Draw | +255 |
Odds as of Oct 21 at BarstoolSportsbook. Use this BarstoolSportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.
Napoli are listed as +138 favorites with an implied win probability of 42%. Roma, as marginal outsiders, are pitched at +185 with a win probability of 35%. The draw is listed at +255 – an implied probability of 28.2%.
Over/Under and Spread
Barstool are not anticipating goals in this game with under 2.5 listed at -129, while over is more favorable at +104.
If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers help on how to do this in Serie A and other top leagues.
Roma vs Napoli Prediction
Seven wins from their opening ten league games have left Jose Mourinho’s men in good shape – in fourth place and just four points adrift of leaders, Roma. Crucially for them, they are also, as things stand, a point ahead of their city rivals, Lazio.
They come into this off the back of three straight Serie A wins and if they can make it four in a row that will be a first in the Mourinho era. They warmed up nicely for this clash with the league leaders by winning 1-0 away to Sampdoria on Monday, with captain Lorenzo Pellegrini scoring the only goal.
🎙️ PRESS CONFERENCE
Jose Mourinho has arrived to preview Sunday’s Serie A meeting with Napoli.
A few key quotes from the boss in this thread…#ASRoma #RomaNapoli pic.twitter.com/DCzKulyioh
— AS Roma English (@ASRomaEN) October 22, 2022
Poor Record Against Top Four for Napoli
But in order to turn this good start into a bona fide Scudetto challenge, Roma will need to start beating teams in the top four of Serie A. Incredibly, they have gone 12 games against top-four opposition without winning – their last win coming back in November 2019 – and, just as importantly, they have only beaten Roma once in their last eight meetings.
Two days until we are back at the Olimpico! 🏟️
#ASRoma pic.twitter.com/UVTHX3zvGz— AS Roma English (@ASRomaEN) October 21, 2022
Roma vs Napoli Head-to-Head Stats
| 7-1-2 | Serie A record | 8-2-0 |
| 13 / 9 | Goals for / Goals against | 25 / 9 |
| 57.0 | Possession (%) | 53.4 |
| 86.1 | Pass accuracy (%) | 83.8 |
| 81 / 5 | Yellow / Red cards | 73 / 4 |
| 4th | Current league position | 1st |
| L-W-L-W-D-W | Form guide | W-W-W-W-W-W |
Napoli On Fire
It’s been a flying start to the campaign for Napoli both domestically and in Europe. Off the back of ten straight wins, they are top of both Serie A and UEFA Champions League Group A and look unbeatable right now. Not since their glory days of the mid-1980s have they won 11 in a row, so a win here would be record-breaking.
Even when not playing well, the Neapolitans are finding ways to win games, as evidenced last weekend when they had to dig in to grind out a narrow 3-2 home win over Bologna.
🗣 #Spalletti: "Roma v Napoli is one of the best games in Europe. We'll go out there and show our quality" #RomaNapoli
💙 #ForzaNapoliSempre pic.twitter.com/dzMgpydEPR— Official SSC Napoli (@en_sscnapoli) October 22, 2022
The Scudetto In Spallettis Sights
Luciano Spalletti has overseen massive changes at the club since his arrival, and starting in the second half of last season their form has been outstanding. This season has been a continuation of how they ended the 2021-22 campaign, and they now look capable of lifting the Scudetto once again.
With Liverpool and Atalanta to come in the next couple of weeks, this is a crucial period as they look to consolidate their position ahead of the World Cup break.
😄 All smiles at the training ground today
💙 #ForzaNapoliSempre pic.twitter.com/NDt62aJng0
— Official SSC Napoli (@en_sscnapoli) October 20, 2022
Roma vs Napoli Team Lineups and Injuries
Roma Projected Lineup: Patricio, Mancini, Smalling, Ibanez, Karsdorp, Cristante, Matic, Spinazzola, Pellegrini, Zaniolo, Abraham.
Injuries & absences: Rrahmami.
Napoli Projected Lineup: Meret, Di Lorenzo, Kim, Jesus, Rui, Ndombele, Lobotka, Zielinski, Lozano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia.
Injuries & absences: Dybala, Celik, Kumbulla, Wijnaldum.
Roma vs Napoli Picks
Mourinho will have his men fired up for this one, especially given their terrible record against opposition who are in the top four, but Napoli are full of confidence and with good reason.
With the visitors in plus money, there’s no doubt where the value lies.
Picks: Napoli to win (+138)
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
