- Place in last 16 is at stake for both teams in Wellington, New Zealand at 3:00 am ET on Wednesday
- Second-placed Italy has a two-point lead over the South Africans after two games
- See our South Africa vs Italy prediction, odds and best bets for Women’s World Cup Group G
The battle for a place in the last 16 of the Women’s World Cup will go down to the wire in South Africa vs Italy on Wednesday. Read on for the odds and our South Africa vs Italy prediction here.
In Group G, Italy holds second place with three points after two games.
Meanwhile, South Africa is in third place with one point.
Now the teams meet in Wellington, New Zealand for a straight shoot-out, with kick-off at 3:00 am ET.
Sweden has already claimed the top spot in the group.
A draw will be enough for Italy to reach the knockout stage of the tournament. However, South Africa must win – and also rely on the likelihood that Argentina will fail to beat the Swedes.
South Africa vs Italy Odds
At Draftkings, Italy is a firm favorite for a win in this game at -170. Meanwhile, South Africa is priced at +370 – with the draw at +290.
In the Women’s World Cup odds, Italy is rated as the 17th favorite to lift the trophy at +25000. South Africa is rated 19th at +50000, with tournament winner odds and leading goalscorer odds available.
Odds at Draftkings Sportsbook as of August 1. Be sure to check out the top sports betting sites this week to get the best bonus for your Women’s World Cup 2023 picks.
South Africa vs Italy Over/Under & Spread
Despite holding second place in this section, Italy has scored just once so far.
It also conceded heavily in its 5-0 defeat by Sweden in its second tie.
South Africa has scored three times but conceded four goals.
With a last 16 place at stake, this could be a tight and tense game.
There is an offer of +275 for there to be only one goal (Under 1.5).
Furthermore, among the higher scoring odds, there is a price of +375 for there to be four goals or more (Over 3.5).
Italy is priced at +165 to win by two goals among the spread offerings (Spread -1.5).
For South Africa, there is a price of +330 for a one-goal victory (Spread -0.5).
South Africa vs Italy Preview
South Africa has over-performed so far – and managed to hold Sweden – the world’s third-ranked team – to a narrow 2-1 victory in its opening game.
It then took a 2-0 lead against Argentina before conceding two late goals for a 2-2 draw.
Coach Desiree Ellis has now demanded that her team become more “ruthless” in front of goal.
Banyana Banyana coach Desiree Ellis is confident her charges can still advance to the round of 16 at the Fifa Women's World Cup. South Africa suffered a last gasp 2-1 defeat to Sweden in a Group G clash in Wellington. #DStv403 pic.twitter.com/jRxThzo1mB
— eNCASport (@eNCASport) July 23, 2023
Italy, meanwhile, claimed a 1-0 win against the Argentines in its opening game. But it was thumped 5-0 by the Swedes second time out Down Under.
The verdict of their coach Milena Bertolini was that the team was “fragile mentally.”
The South African team is still looking for its first-ever win at a World Cup. Moreover, Italy is hoping for a second consecutive advance to the knockout stages.
In 2019 it won its group and then reached the last eight where it was beaten 2-0 by the Netherlands.
FIFA places the Italian side 16th in its world rankings. South Africa is in the 54th spot.
South Africa vs Italy Statistics
*Statistics from Women’s World Cup 2023.
Cristiane Girelli to Score Odds
The Juventus striker Cristiane Girelli has scored Italy’s only goal at the tournament so far in the 1-0 win against Argentina
She is the player most favored to hit the net in the meeting with South Africa at +140 – or +400 to score first or last.
The 33-year-old has scored 53 times in 102 appearances for her country.
Valentina Giacinti of Italy is the second favorite to be on target at +160.
The Roma forward has 22 goals in 62 international games.
Banyana Banyana went 2-0 up only to concede 2 goals that saw their World Cup tie vs Argentina end in a 2-2 draw. South Africa have 1 point from 2 games and they “must” beat Italy in their final group game or go home #FIFAWomensWorldCup2023 #BanyanaBanyana #ChampionSouthafrica pic.twitter.com/xgyDKwqTnN
— ChampionSouthAfrica (@ChampionSAfrica) July 28, 2023
South Africa’s Thembi Kgatlana plays for Louisville FC in the NWSL.
She scored the second goal in the 2-2 draw with Argentina last time out. It was her 23rd international goal in 63 games for her nation.
She is priced at +330 to score against Italy – with odds of +800 for her to find the target first or last.
South Africa vs Italy History
These nations have never met before.
South Africa vs Italy Line-Ups & Injuries
South Africa Women projected line-up: Swart; Ramalepe, Mbane, Gamede, Dhlamini; Kgoale, Motlhalo; Cesane, Seoposenwe, Magaia; Kgatlana
South Africa Injuries: Refiloe Jane, Kholoso Biyana (suspended)
Italy Women projected line-up: Durante; Di Guglielmo, Linari, Salvai, Boattin; Caruso, Giugliano, Greggi; Beccari, Girelli, Giacinti
Italy Injuries: None
South Africa vs Italy Prediction
Italy knows a place in the last 16 is within its grasp and should find its real form if it recovers well from the big defeat by Sweden
It is likely to win by at least two goals for our South Africa vs Italy picks.
South Africa vs Italy Pick: Italy -1.5 (+165)