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Switzerland vs Spain Odds & Prediction – Women’s World Cup Round of 16

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Aug 4, 2023 · 6:00 AM PDT

A 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup logo is seen outside a fan festival. France vs Morocco
Jul 21, 2023; Auckland, NZL; A 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup logo is seen outside a fan festival. Mandatory Credit: Jenna Watson-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s Switzerland vs Spain in the last 16 in the Women’s World Cup
  • It all kicks off in Auckland’s Eden Park at 01:00 am ET on Saturday, August 3
  • Read on here for our Switzerland vs Spain analysis and predictions

It’s Switzerland vs Spain in the opening game of the round-of-16 at the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup. It kicks off in the early hours of Saturday morning (01:00 am ET) in Auckland’s Eden Park stadium.

The Swiss managed to top Group A despite winning only one game while the highly-rated Spanish finished only second in Group C after being thrashed 4-0 by Japan in their final group game.

Who will make it through to the last eight? See our Switzerland vs Spain picks below as we look closely at their Women’s World Cup odds.

Switzerland vs Spain Odds

Matchup Moneyline To Advance
Switzerland +750 +390
Spain -300 -575
Draw +380 N/A

At odds of -300 for the win, the Spanish have an implied probability of 75% to win this round-of-16 match, while Switzerland are listed at +750 to win the game in normal time with an implied win probability of just 11.8%.

The total of 2.5 goals is listed for the over at -110 while the under is -115 in the DraftKings Sportsbook odds.

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How to Watch Switzerland vs Spain

Viewers can watch the Switzerland vs Spain World Cup clash on Fox Sports 1 and Universo in the US at 01:00 am ET on Saturday morning.

Switzerland Top Group A

Group A was the closest of the lot in qualifying, with every team winning one game. Luckily for Switzerland, they managed to draw their other two (both 0-0), which was enough to take them through to the knockout phase as group winners.

Their key result was their 2-0 win over the Phillippines in game 1, even though they didn’t know it at the time.

Key Win Over Phillippines

Goals from Ramona Bachmann and Seraina Piubel gave the Swiss the ideal start to the tournament in Dunedin against a Phillippines team ranked 54 in the world, and even though they recorded those goalless draws against Norway and New Zealand in games 2 and 3, it was job done.

The big test here for the Swiss is whether or not they can go toe-to-toe with the technically superior Spaniards, who will completely dominate the ball.

Their best previous performance in a World Cup came in 2015 when they made it to the round-of-16 – the only time they have made it beyond the group stage.

Switzerland vs Spain Head-to-Head Stats

1-2-0 WC 2023 Qualifying Record 2-0-1
2 / 0 Goals For / Against 8 / 4
57.7 Possession (%)* 76.7
79.7 Pass Accuracy (%)* 85.0
19 FIFA World Ranking 7

* Stats from FBREF.com

Spain Among Tournament Favorites

The Spanish started the tournament as one of a small group of teams considered potential winners and after their first two group games very much looked the part.

An opening day 3-0 win over Costa Rica – goals from Del Campo, Bonmati, and Gonzalez – was followed up by an equally impressive 5-0 win over Zambia, with Abelleira, Hermoso (2), and Redondo (2) on the scoresheet.

Surprise Defeat by Japan

Despite having their place in the knockout phase almost assured, Jorge Vilda fielded a strong team for game 3 against Japan – making just one change from the team that hammered Zambia – but in an unexpected twist, his team was soundly beaten 4-0.

As a result, it was the Japanese and not the Spanish who topped Group C, and it will be interesting to see how that defeat affects the psyche of a Spain team that had previously won eight games on the spin.

This is only Spain’s third World Cup finals tournament, with their best performance coming four years ago when they lost to the USA in the round-of-16.

Switzerland vs Spain Lineups and Injuries

Switzerland Projected Lineup: Thalmann | Aigbogun, Maritz, Stierli, Riesen | Sow, Walti, Reuteler | Piubel, Bachmann | Crnogorcevic.

Injuries & absences: None.

Spain Projected Lineup: Rodriguez | Batlle, Paradese, Carmona, Andres | Abelleira, Bonmati, Putellas | Caldentey, Hermoso, Paralluelo.

Injuries & absences: None.

Switzerland vs Spain Prediction

Prior to their surprise defeat by Japan, Spain had won eight games on the spin and had looked nailed on to go deep in this tournament. The key factor here will be how they react to that heavy defeat and how/if it will affect their confidence, which coming into the tournament was sky-high.

For Switzerland to go toe-to-toe with the Spanish they will need to find a way to score. Two uninspiring goalless are far from ideal preparation for a tie of this magnitude, and it’s hard to make a case for a Swiss win in normal time.

But what the Swiss are good at is defending and it’s conceivable that they could keep it ultra-tight at the back and take it to extra-time. For me, that’s where the value lies.

Switzerland vs Spain Pick: The draw after 90 mins (+380) at DraftKings.


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