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USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Odds & Prediction – Gold Cup Group Stage

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Jul 2, 2023 · 5:54 AM PDT

United States forward Jesus Ferreira. USA vs Trinidad and Tobago
Jun 28, 2023; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; United States forward Jesus Ferreira (9) celebrates with midfielder Djordje Mihailovic (14) after scoring against Saint Kitts and Nevis during the second half at CITYPARK. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s USA vs Trinidad and Tobago in the CONCACAF Gold Cup third round on Sunday, July 2
  • In a winner-takes-all encounter, both still have a chance of qualifying for the quarterfinals
  • Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s USA vs Trinidad and Tobago in the CONCACAF Gold Cup third-round on Sunday, July 2, with kick-off in Charlotte’s Bank of America Stadium at 7:00 pm ET.

A place in the quarter-finals is up for grabs with a win here for either team taking them through at the expense of the other. While a draw for the USA will also be enough, for Trinidad and Tobago, a win is needed to take them through.

We preview our USA vs Trinidad and Tobago picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Odds

Matchup Moneyline
USA -750
Trinidad and Tobago +2000
Draw +800

The USA are the bookmakers’ massive -750 odds-on favorites with an implied win probability of 88%, while Trinidad and Tobago are listed at a much more generous +2000, implied at just 5%. The draw is also generously priced at +800 in the USA vs Trinidad and Tobago odds and is implied at 11%.



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Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on July 2.

USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Over/Under and Spread

With the tipping point set at 3.5 goals, the bookies have listed the over at even money and the under at a slightly less appealing -125.

USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Preview

An underwhelming opener for BJ Callaghan’s men against Jamaica was quickly put to bed in their second game against Saint Kitts and Nevis when they thrashed the minnows 6-0. It put them within a win of going through to the tournament’s knockout phase.

It was a blistering opening against Saint Kitts and Nevis in which they were 3-0 up inside 16 minutes, with those three goals all coming inside the space of four minutes. It was a win that took their impressive records against Caribbean opposition to 19 wins and two defeats, while against T&T they have won two in two in the Gold Cup.

The Stats and Record Books Favor the USA

All the stats favor the USA in this one as, in addition to their fine record against opposition from the West Indies, they have also gone 18 Gold Cup group matches without defeat. They will however have noted the light work that Trinidad and Tobago, and so will not be underestimating their opponents this evening.

Return to Caution for T&T

Despite returning to their conservative ways against Jamaica, Angus Eve’s men dished ended up losing in disappointing fashion and were unable to build on their opening-day win over Saint Kitts and Nevis. A more experienced and more technically-able Jamaica team was able to dominate the first half and, effectively, get the job done before halftime.

Worth noting though is that more than half of T&T’s squad for this competition – 12 of their 23 players – currently play their club football in either USA or Canada, with others playing in the EFL in England, so it won’t be a game in which they are overawed or overwhelmed.

Massive Win Over US in 2017

Trinidad also have experience of playing massive games against the USA and, despite having their route to the 1990 World Cup ended by the US, they gained revenge in 2017 when a famous 2-1 home win ended the Americans’ hopes of making it to Russia 2018.

If they offer a repeat performance this evening, it would take them to their first Gold Cup quarterfinal since 2015.

USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Team Lineups and Injuries

USA Projected Lineup: Slonina, Yedlin, Robinson, Neal, Tolkin, Mihailovic, Roldan, Sonora, Vazquez, Morris (J), Cowell.

Injuries & absences: None.

Trinidad and Tobago Projected Lineup: Frenderup, Jones (A), Bateau, Moses, Hodge, Archer, Molino, Rampersad, Hackshaw, Jones (J), Garcia.

Injuries & absences: None.

USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Head-to-Head Stats

1-1-0 CONCACAF 2023 record 1-1-0
7 / 1 Goals for / against 5 / 2
13 FIFA ranking 101
2 CONCACAF ranking 11
  Champions (7 times) Previous best at Gold Cup Runners-up
16 Previous Gold Cup appearances 18
WDWWDW Form Guide (all comps) DWDWWL

USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Prediction

The Soca Warriors’ will see this as a massive chance to make history and, let’s not forget this is an inexperienced USA team. The obvious bet here is the US win by X-number of goals, but it’s worth going big.

For me, there is value in betting on the draw, especially if T&T can keep in tight for the opening half hour and frustrate the Americans. With a draw likely to be enough for the US, the draw should definitely be considered.

USA vs Trinidad and Tobago Picks: The draw (+800) 


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