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2020 ATP Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships Odds & Betting Preview

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in Tennis

Feb 23, 2020 · 5:18 PM PST

Djokovic returning a ball in Qatar.
Is Novak Djokovic the best bet to win the 2020 ATP Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships? Photo by Doha Stadium Plus Qatar (Flickr).
  • The 2020 ATP Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships begin on Monday, Feb. 24
  • Novak Djokovic has won four previous titles at this ATP 500 event and lost once (to Roger Federer) in the final
  • Is Djokovic the best bet here or can someone else surprise him – we preview and make a prediction below

The 2020 ATP Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships will begin on Monday and there will be plenty of quality players in the field. Australian Open winner Novak Djokovic is favored to win the event but he’ll get a test from guys like Stefanos Tsitsipas and Gael Monfils. Is Djokovic the best bet or is there value elsewhere?

2020 ATP Dubai Duty Free Championship Odds

Player Odds at Sportsbook 1 Odds at Sportsbook 2
Novak Djokovic -190 -170
Stefanos Tsitsipas +750 +780
Anton Rublev +1200 +950
Gael Monfils +1200 +1200
Roberto Bautista Agut +1400 +1400
Marin Cilic +2200 +2300
Karen Khachanov +2500 +2700
Filip Krajinovic +2800 +3500

Odds taken Feb. 23.

Hard to Bet Against Djokovic

Djokovic is not only the No. 1 seed at this tournament and the top player in the world, he’s also a perfect 13-0 on the year and has already won the first grand slam of the campaign in Australia. He’s had a couple of sweats along the way – especially the Aussie Open final against Dominic Thiem – but it’s hard to see who pushes him here.

Taking a look at the potential quarterfinals matchups, Djokovic is expected to play No. 7 Karen Khachanov if things play out as expected. The other matchups will be No. 3 Gael Monfils versus No. 8 Benoit Paire, No. 6 Anton Rublev versus No. 4 Fabio Fognini and No. 5 Roberto Bautista Agut vs No. 2 Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Djokovic has already won four titles in Dubai and lost once in the final against Roger Federer, who was in his prime at the time. It appears to be his title to lose – unless Djokovic isn’t fully focused.

What About Monfils?

It’s early in the year but No. 3 seed Monfils is already on fire. He’ll enter the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships on a nine-match winning streak, which includes capturing back-to-back tournaments at the Open Sud de France and the ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament.

While there’s no question that he’ll have a shot here, it’s worth noting that he’s only played one seeded player in those two tournaments, as his competition has been fairly weak. The prospects of him beating Djokovic in a head-to-head are not high. He’s lost 16 of 17 meetings. If he’s to win, he’ll need Djokovic taken out before their meeting.

Last 5 Winners At ATP Dubai Duty Free Championships

Year Winner
2019 Roger Federer
2018 Roberto Bautista Agut
2017 Andy Murray
2016 Stan Wawrinka
2015 Roger Federer

Can Tsitsipas Keep it Together?

Tsitsipas might be one of the few players in the field that can take down Nole as he’s 2-2 against him all-time. All of their matches were at ATP 1000 events, so who knows if that’s significant or if it means nothing as this is an ATP 500 event.

My concern is Tsitsipas’ form heading into this tournament. He was 3-4 on the year prior to the Open 13 Provence in Marseille this week but he’s made it to the final against Felix Auger-Aliassime. To be fair, he played absolutely nobody to get there but at least that’s a good sign.

However, with losses to guys like Denis Shapovalov, Nick Kyrgios, Milos Raonic and a second-round loss to Aljaz Bedene in Rotterdam, it’s hard to really bet him to go all the way here – especially with Djokovic in the field.

What’s the Best Bet?

It’s hard to look anywhere else besides Djokovic. Could we see a surprise? Possibly. Can I really envision anyone taking him down if he’s focused? Absolutely not. Guys like Monfils, Tsitsipas and maybe someone else could win here but they could also be out before the quarters. If Djokovic is on-point, he wins.

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