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Iga Swiatek Now Favored to Win French Open Women’s Singles After Defeating Simona Halep In Round of 16

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Mar 8, 2021 · 9:41 AM PST

Iga Swiatek making a backhand return during a tennis match
Poland's Iga Swiatek makes a backhand return to Italy's Camila Giorgi during their second round match at the Australian Open tennis championship in Melbourne, Australia, Wednesday, Feb. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/Hamish Blair)
  • Iga Swiatek defeated tournament favorite Simona Halep in the round of 16
  • Many players’ odds have dramatically changed
  • Below are the odds and a breakdown of the best bet to win the French Open

The first day of the round of 16 completely changed the course of the French Open. The two seeded players, Simona Halep and Kiki Bertens were both defeated. Swiatek’s French Open odds were +3650 before the tournament started, and is now the favorite the win the tournament outright.

Updated 2020 French Open Women Singles Odds

Player Odds
Iga Swiatek +250
Elina Svitolina +260
Petra Kvitova +333
Sofia Kenin +900
Fiona Ferro +1100
Ons Jabeur +1600
Nadia Podoroska +1800
Danielle Collins +2000
Laura Siegemund +2800
Martina Trevisan +2800
Paula Badosa +3300
Shuai Zhang +4000

Odds taken Oct. 4th

Iga Swiatek

The unseeded 19-year old shocked the tennis world on Sunday when she upset No. 1 seed Simona Halep 6-1, 6-2 in just 70 minutes. Prior to the match, Halep had won 17 straight matches in 2020, including 13 on clay. Going into this match, Switek’s odds to win the tournament were +1800, they’ve now shortened to +250.

YouTube video

Swiatek dominated the match from start to finish. Halep only had 15 unforced errors, but Swiatek was able to record 30 winners with her variety of play that she brought to her game. Halep did not have a break point over the course of this match.

She’ll be taking on Martina Trevisan on Tuesday.

Elina Svitolina

For the most part Svitolina has been a part of the conversation since the beginning of the tournament, and has always arguably been expected to be here. The third seed and world No. 5 has also seen her odds dramatically shorten. Prior to the round of 16, her odds were listed at +900, and now they’ve been shortened to +260, just behind Swiatek. She is now the only seed left in the top half of the draw.

Unlike Swiatek, Svitolina was the favorite going into her match against Caroline Garcia, despite having a 1-3 head-to-head record against the Frenchwomen. She defeated Garcia, 6-1, 6-3, earning her spot in the quarterfinals.

In the match, Svitolina was able to win 60% of her receiving points and convert six of 13 break points. She had 20 less unforced errors than Garcia, showcasing a much cleaner, tighter game.

Svitolina looks to earn a spot in her first French Open semifinal, but she’ll have to get through Nadia Podoroska of Argentina, who’s been having a stellar tournament, surprising many.

Others To Watch

Nadia Podoroska came back to win after losing her first set against Barbora Krejcikova. On September 29th, her odds to win the tournament were +75000. They have now shortened to +1800. She will arguably have the toughest opponent in the quarterfinals, having to play Svitolina.

In just her second major main draw appearance, Trevisan is another incredible story to come out of this year’s French Open. On September 29th, her odds were listed at +100000, and is now +2800. She managed to upset fifth-seeded Kiki Bertens in straight sets to move on to her first career Grand Slam quarterfinal.

Best Bet

It’s hard to argue Swiatek is not the best bet to win the tournament after that Round of 16 performance.  She should be expected to win her quarterfinal match against Trevisan. Their head-to-head record is currently split at 1-1, but Swiatek won their most recent match in straight sets last year in Birmingham.

If Swiatek commands the match like she did against Halep, it should be an easy ticket for her to book to the semifinals. Both players will be coming off some rest, so it should be an exciting match.

Best Bet: Swiatek (+250)

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