Madison Keys vs Coco Gauff Odds & Prediction – Eastbourne International Semifinals
- An All-American semifinal at Eastbourne International features Madison Keys vs Coco Gauff
- Both have superb records on grass, without a deep Wimbledon run so far
- Gauff is the favorite; we break down the match and make a prediction below for our Keys vs Gauff picks
A decade apart, Madison Keys and Coco Gauff have had careers marked by huge expectations and a lot of pressure. Friday at Eastbourne (6 am ET), they have an opportunity to make a grass-court final just before Wimbledon. Read on for our match preview adn the Keys vs Gauff odds.
Keys vs Gauff Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Keys (USA) | +2.5 (+100) | +160 | O 21.5 (-130) |
| [5] Coco Gauff (USA) | -2.5 (-125) | -195 | U 21.5 (-105) |
At -195 odds, Gauff is a slight favorite over Keys. Keys is the underdog at +160 odds with the over/under on games sitting at 21.5.
Odds as of June 29 at DraftKings. Get a DraftKings promo code to bet on Keys vs Gauff at the Eastbourne International
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A Good Draw for Keys
Keys is one of those confounding players on the WTA Tour who has all the tools needed to be a perennial top-10 player. But too often she lets herself down with purple patches and poor decision-making . At 28, it has basically defined what has been a good career so far.
And then she has weeks where you remember how she got to the 2017 US Open. Will this be one of them?
The most Madison Keys response to a question ever 😂 @Madison_Keys pic.twitter.com/7orN1yK9Yq
— Sam Yung (@samjoeyung) June 26, 2023
The Eastbourne International had some notable late defections. And that has meant a welcoming draw for Keys. She beat lucky loser Tereza Martincova, qualifier Wang Xiyu, and then lucky loser Petra Martic on Thursday to get to the final four. All quality players, but not close to the level she’ll face on Friday, in her first semifinal of the 2023 season.
Gauff and the Grass
It seems eons ago – but was actually in 2019 – that Gauff made her Grand Slam main-draw debut and her first big splash at Wimbledon.
Ranked No. 313 at the time and just 15, she won three qualifying matches and beat five-time champion Venus Williams in her opener, on her way to the round of 16. She hasn’t done better there since, though.
This year has been a (relative) struggle, even though she’s 27-10 and won her season-opening tournament in Auckland in January.
In fairness, Gauff has almost always lost to topnotch players. But as a top-10 player, she should beating at least some of them. Opponents are mercilessly targeting her dodgy forehand, an issue that hasn’t been solved or addressed even though it’s been front and centre the last few years.
Keys vs Gauff Head-to-Head
| 28 (Feb. 17, 1995) | Age | 19 (March 13, 2004) |
| Rock Island, Ill. | Birthplace | Delray Beach, Fla. |
| 5-10 | Height | 5-9 |
| 6 | Career WTA Singles Titles | 3 |
| No. 7 (Oct. 10, 2016) | Career-Best Ranking | No. 4 (Oct. 24, 2022) |
| No. 25 | Current Ranking | No. 7 |
| $15,931,937 | Career Earnings | $7,271,817 |
| 19-8 | 2022 Won/Loss Record | 27-10 |
| 1 | Head-to-Head Wins | 2 |
After losing her second match in Berlin to Ekaterina Alexandrova, Gauff found the winning track at Eastbourne with a friendly draw.
She took care of fellow American Bernarda Pera, a lefty. Then she got British lucky loser Jodie Burrage. But her victory over doubles partner Jessica Pegula was a rare recent victory over a fellow top-10 even if she had to come back from an 0-3 deficit in the second set to win 6-3, 6-3.
Keys vs Gauff Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Dubai (QF) | Outdoor Hard | 6-2, 7-5 | Gauff |
| 2022 | US Open (R32) | Outdoor Hard | 6-2, 6-3 | Gauff |
| 2022 | Adelaide (SF) | Outdoor Hard | 3-6, 6-2, 7-5 | Keys |
Pegula just kicked off her grass season this week. So while it wasn’t an unexpected result it was still a danger match for the 19-year-old. And she got through it.
Keys vs Gauff Prediction
Despite being a decade apart, there’s a certain symmetry to the careers of these day. Great things expected, but nothing has quite gelled yet. Just one major final each. The big difference is that Gauff has that extra decade to keep progressing.
And both have superb won-loss records on grass, with Keys winning 75 percent of her matches on that surface in her career, despite not having made a major breakthrough at Wimbledon.
Gauff has beaten Keys the last two times they’ve played, over the last 10 months. And both times, it was in straight sets. As impressive as Key’s serve is, Gauff’s is even better and the grass only accentuates that. Keys’s relatively easy draw may make her run to the semifinal look better than it actually was, in terms of her form.
You’d expect the teenager to prevail in this one, especially as Keys would need to focus her tactics on the Gauff forehand. And she tends to just … play rather than adjust things to take advantage of her opponent’s weaknesses.
Keys vs Gauff Picks: Gauff in Two Sets (+110)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
