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National Bank Open Odds & Picks for Aug 10 – Women’s Singles Round of 16

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in Tennis

Updated Aug 9, 2023 · 11:16 PM PDT

Iga Swiatek swinging at ball
Aug 9, 2023; Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Iga Swiatek (POL) hits a backhand against Karolina Pliskova (CZE) (not pictured) during second round play at IGA Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports
  • All top four seeds are still alive in Round of 16 action at the National Bank Open
  • Top seeded Iga Swiatek and 3rd-seeded Elena Rybakina had struggles in their last match
  • Take a look below for odds, analysis and best bets for Round of 16 play at the National Bank Open

It’s a busy Thursday at the National Bank Open in Montreal, as the race to the quarterfinals are on.

All Round of 16 matches are scheduled, and feature the top four seeds of the tournament, with seven of the first 10 seeds still in the mix.

Let’s share the odds of the available matches below, and share some of our favorite bets.

National Bank Open Round of 16 Odds

11am ET Spread Moneyline Total
[4] Jessica Pegula -5.5 (-120) -700 Ov 19.5 (-120)
Jasmine Paolini +5.5 (-115) +450 Un 19.5 (-115)
12:30pm ET Spread Moneyline Total
[1] Iga Swiatek -5.5 (+100) -600 Ov 19.5 (-125)
[14] Karolina Muchova +5.5 (-135) +425 Un 19.5 (-110)
1:30pm ET Spread Moneyline Total
Marie Bouzkova +2.5 (-105) +145 Ov 21.5 (-105)
[10] Daria Kasatkina -2.5 (-130) -180 Un 21.5 (-125)
2pm ET Spread Moneyline Total
[9] Marketa Vondousova -2.5 (-120) -145 Ov 21.5 (-115)
[6] Coco Gauff +2.5 (-115) +115 Un 21.5 (-120)
4:30pm ET Spread Moneyline Total
Sloane Stephens +4.5 (-115) +280 Ov 20.5 (-120)
[3] Elena Rybakina -4.5 (-120) -380 Un 20.5 (-115)
7pm ET Spread Moneyline Total
Leylah Fernandez +1.5 (-125) +120 Ov 22.5 (-105)
Danielle Collins -1.5 (-110) -150 Un 22.5 (-130)
7pm ET Spread Moneyline Total
Petra Kvitova +1.5 (-115) +115 Ov 22.5 (-105)
[13] Belinda Bencic -1.5 (-115) -140 Un 22.5 (-125)
8:30pm ET Spread Moneyline Total
[15] Liudmilla Samsonova +4.5 (-135) +210 Ov 20.5 (-125)
[2] Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 (+100) -270 Un 20.5 (-110)

Action gets underway at 11am, when 4th-seeded Jessica Pegula battles Jasmine Paolini, as a hefty -700 favorite.

Top-seeded Iga Swiatek is also an overwhelming -600 favorite as she battles 14-seed Karolina Muchova. Second-seeded Aryna Sabalenka takes on no. 15 Liudmilla Samsonova as a -270 favorite to advance, while the third seed, Elena Rybakina is a -380 favorite over American Sloane Stephens.


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Odds as of Aug 9th at DraftKings. Use a DraftKings promo code to bet on the National Bank Open.

Swiatek vs Muchova Prediction

It wasn’t exactly smooth sailing for Swiatek in her first match at Montreal. Fresh off a tourney win in Poland, the top-ranked woman in the world had her serve broken twice in the the first set against Czechia’s Karolina Pliskova, in a set that went to tiebreak.

Swiatek prevailed, then went on to finish the match in a breeze, winning 7-6 (6), 6-2 on Wednesday.

She’ll be going up against 14th seed Karolina Muchova, who topped Sorana Cirstea 7-5, 6-4 in Round 2 play. Muchova opened the tournament with a 7-6 (6), 6-2 win over Anastasia Potapova.

This will be the third meeting between these two, who each have a win, with both matches on clay.

The most recent was at the final of this year’s French Open, with Swiatek taking the major in a match that went the distance, 6-2, 5-7, 6-4. Muchova won the first meeting in Prague in 2019, winning a First Round match in three sets, 4-6, 6-1, 6-4.

With both already having played a tiebreak in this tourney, and their (short) history of going the distance, that’s an awfully generous total of just 19.5 games.

Pick: Over 19.5 (-125)

Stephens vs Rybakina Prediction

If Swiatek suffered a scare, it was full on red alert for the 3rd-ranked Rybakina in her first match of the tourney. Rybakina dropped a first-set tiebrak, then needed to win a second-set tiebreak to eventually put away Jennifer Brady 6-7 (3), 7-6 (5), 6-3.

Stephens has also just played a single match, after opponent Victoria Azarenka was forced to withdraw from their Round 2 match due to injury.

The American did top Anhelina Kalininina 6-4, 7-6 (2) in her Round 1 matchup.

This will be the first meeting between Rybakina and Stephens, but the Kazakhstani star has a distinct advantage when it comes to surface. Rybakina is an impressive 22-5 in her hard court matches this year, while Stephens is just 5-8.

However, with Rybakina’s slow start, and the fact that three of Stephens’ last four matches have gone the distance, I’m again targeting the total.

Pick: Over 20.5 (-120)

Bouzkova vs Kasatkina Prediction

We finish with 10th-seeded Daria Kasatkina, who’s played two clean matches, topping Elise Martens and Anna Blinkova in straight sets.

She now draws unseeded Marie Bouzkova, who upended 5th-seeded Carolina Garcia in three sets: 6-4, 4-6, 6-2.

It was just Bouzkova’s third win against a tournament seed this year, and two of them have come against Garcia.

Kasatkina has the first two wins in this head-to-head, winning in the 2021 final of the Phillip Island Trophy Melbourne event 4-6, 6-2, 6-2. She also bested Bouzkova in Ostrava in 2020, winning 6-4, 5-7, 7-5.

Both have losing records on hard court this season, though, with Bouzkova at 8-10 and Kasatkina at 8-9. I don’t know if Bouzkova wins, but I think she plays Kasatkina tough.

Pick: Bouzkova +2.5 (-105)

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