Novak Djokovic vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Odds & Prediction – Rolex Paris Masters Semifinals
- Novak Djokovic and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet for the 11th time Saturday in the Paris Masters semifinals
- Djokovic holds an 8-2 lead in their rivalry; he’s the heavy favorite to reach the final
- Scroll down as we break down the match and look for value
As many thousands of ranking points as Novak Djokovic has left on the table in this 2022 season, when he plays – he most often wins.
And when he plays against Stefanos Tsitsipas, as he will Saturday in the Paris Masters semifinals, he also most often wins.
Djokovic vs Tsitsipas Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [6] Novak Djokovic (SRB) | -4.5 (+102) | -455 | O 21.5 (-110) |
| [5] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) | +4.5 (-125) | +350 | U 21.5 (-113) |
Odds as of Nov. 4 at Barstool Sportsbook. Use this Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Paris Masters
Djokovic is the heavy favorite in this 11th career meeting, a match that will take place Saturday, Nov. 5, not before 11:30am ET.
Djokovic Coming In Hot
After dispatching the talented young Italian Lorenzo Musetti with the loss of just three games, Djokovic said it was definitely his best match of the week.
There was one slightly tricky period at the start of the second set. But the 6-0, 6-3 victory took just an hour and 14 minutes, and Djokovic faced just one break point.
12 straight wins in Bercy for @djokernole 💫
The 6-time champion reflects on a quarter-final job well done. #RolexParisMasters pic.twitter.com/ABcvdjuRhP
— ROLEX PARIS MASTERS (@RolexPMasters) November 4, 2022
He kept Musetti below 50% success on both his first and second serve. And be broke him five times.
It was comprehensive.
Tsitsipas has quietly made his way through the draw but he, too, hasn’t lost a set. And his win Friday took just two minutes more than that of Djokovic.
He also hasn’t faced a seed as he defeated Dan Evans, French lefty Corentin Moutet (who took out Cameron Norrie) and American Tommy Paul, who took out Rafael Nadal.
Djokovic vs Tsitsipas Head-to-Head
| 35 (May 22, 1987) | Age | 24 (Aug. 12, 1998) |
| Belgrade, Serbia | Birthplace | Athens, Greece |
| 6-2 | Height | 6-4 |
| 90 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 9 |
| No. 1 (July 4, 2011) | Career-Best Ranking | No. 3 (Aug. 9, 2021) |
| No. 7 | Current Ranking | No. 5 |
| $159,495,978 | Career Prize Money | $20,807,513 |
| 36-6 | 2022 Won/Loss Record | 60-21 |
| 8 | Head-to-Head Wins | 2 |
Tsitsipas, Heartbroken by Djoko in Paris
The 24-year-old from Greece is almost playing the “throwback” semi against Djokovic, with the younger Félix Auger-Aliassime and Holger Rune squaring off in the other one.
But losing to Djokovic the last seven times they’ve met is just one of the challenges he will face.
However you break down their head-to-head, one theme is the fact that playing Djokovic in Paris has been nothing but heartbreak for Tsitsipas.
Djokovic vs Tsitsipas Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Astana (F) | Indoor Hard | 6-3, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2022 | Rome Masters (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-0, 7-6 (5) | Djokovic |
| 2021 | French Open (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-7 (6), 2-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2021 | Rome Masters (QF) | Outdoor Clay | 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 | Djokovic |
| 2020 | French Open (SF) | Outdoor Clay | 6-3, 6-2, 5-7, 4-6, 6-1 | Djokovic |
| 2020 | Dubai (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-3, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2019 | Paris Masters (QF) | Outdoor Hard | 6-1, 6-2 | Djokovic |
| 2019 | Shanghai Masters (QF) | Outdoor Hard | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 | Tsitsipas |
| 2019 | Madrid Masters (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-3, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2018 | Canada Masters (R16) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-7 (5), 6-3 | Tsitsipas |
Last year’s French Open final? Tsitsipas was up two sets to none, and lost.
The 2020 semifinal, fall version? Tsitsipas won the third and fourth sets to push it the distance – and lost.
Their meeting on this same (albeit slower) court, in the Paris Masters quarterfinals in 2019?
🏆 @DjokerNole : "Very thrilled with that achievement".#RolandGarros pic.twitter.com/tvZO45Lz1G
— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) June 16, 2021
A beatdown. Djokovic won 6-1, 6-2.
Tsitsipas is not going to bring much positive karma into this one.
Djokovic vs Tsitsipas Prediction
It’s bad enough that Djokovic is basically inside Tsitsipas’s head. The Serb is also playing crisp, efficient tennis that belies his relative lack of match play this season.
The Greek has won 60 matches this season – an impressive number that leads the ATP Tour.
And yet, for whatever reason it feels like he’s in the doldrums, muted, counting time until the season ends even though he will be at the ATP Finals.
He’s made three finals in the last few months. But he lost to Borna Coric in Cincinnati, Djokovic in Astana and Holger Rune two weeks ago in Stockholm.
A match against Djokovic is not going to help his mood much. And even if, as Djokovic noted, the court in Paris is quicker this year, he has adjusted well. And the quicker court actually plays in his favour against Tsitsipas, giving him more time to track down the serve and set up points as he attacks the Greek’s backhand.
Best Bet: Djokovic in Two Sets (-175)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
