Wimbledon Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Monday, July 10
- By the end of Monday at Wimbledon, all of the quarterfinalists will be determined
- No. 1 seed Carlos Alcaraz may be in for a tough fight against 2021 finalist Matteo Berrettini
- Read on as we break down three of the spotlight matches Monday at Wimbledon, and make Wimbledon predictions
The top four seeds in the top half of the men’s singles draw all made their date with destiny in the round of 16. But all of their opponents are surprises as they play Monday at Wimbledon. Read on as we break down our Wimbledon picks today.
Wimbledon Picks Today
| Match | Odds |
|---|---|
| Christopher Eubanks (USA) vs. [5] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) | +255 / -320 |
| [21] Ekaterina Alexandrova (RUS) vs. [2] Aryna Sabalenka (BLR) | +205 / -255 |
| [1] Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) vs. Matteo Berrettini (ITA) | -245 / +198 |
In our Wimbledon predictions, we’re targeting the matches above where Stefanos Tsitsipas (-320), Aryna Sabalenka (-255) and Carlos Alcaraz (-245) are favorites to win Monday and reach the quarterfinals.
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Eubanks vs Tsitipas Prediction
Christopher Eubanks is a 6-foot-7, 27-year-old product of the US college tennis system who has spent years toiling at the Challenger level.
He has come into his own in rather unlikely fashion on the grass this year, coming in with momentum after winning his first career ATP Tour title on the grass in Mallorca.
A win over No. 12 seed Cameron Norrie in the second round was the impetus for making the second week.
Christopher Eubanks, has reached the Round of 16 at Wimbledon. Eubanks was a former college tennis player at Georgia Tech. He has grinned his way into the top 40 after being ranked outside the top 100 last year.🇺🇸
pic.twitter.com/fUjrhtAEp6— SSN Podcast (@SSNPodcast) July 8, 2023
Tsitsipas needed five gruelling sets to oust former US Open champ Dominic Thiem in a match tiebreak in the first round. Then he needed five more to take out two-time champion Murray.
Some Eubanks serve numbers: 72 aces in three matches and just 11 double faults. A winning percentage on first serve of 83 percent. And, most pertinently, Eubanks has only coughed up seven break chances on his serve through 11 sets.
Tsitsipas isn’t a great returner – especially on the backhand – and has never faced the Eubanks serve. That’ll give the American enough of an advantage that it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him win the first set, likely in a tiebreak (+350).
After that, the difference in level will probably make itself felt.
Eubanks vs Tsitsipas Pick: Tsitsipas wins the match, both win a set (+108)
Alexandrova vs Sabalenka Prediction
Sabalenka has had a good draw so far. But with Alexandrova, there is history.
Alexandrova vs Sabalenka Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | ‘s-Hertogenbosch (F) | Grass | 7-5, 6-0 | Alexandrova |
| 2021 | Moscow (QF) | Indoor Hard | 6-3, 6-4 | Alexandrova |
| 2019 | St. Petersburg (QF) | Indoor Hard | 6-3, 6-4 | Sabalenka |
| 2019 | Shenzhen (R16) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-3 | Sabalenka |
| 2017 | Shenzhen (F) | Outdoor Hard | 6-2, 7-5 | Alexandrova |
Notably, the Russian has won their last two meetings. And the most recent one, a year ago in the ‘s-Hertogenbosch final, came on grass.
Alexandrova returned to ‘s-Hertogenbosch this year and won the title.
1 – Ekaterina Alexandrova – Madison Brengle is the first 3-tie breaks Women's Singles match in Wimbledon in the Open Era and the 4th in a Major (after Graf-Shriver US 1985, Fernandez-Meskhi US 1991 and Masarova-Bogdan US 2021). Show.#Wimbledon | @Wimbledon @WTA @WTA_insider
— OptaAce (@OptaAce) July 7, 2023
Alexandrova made 91 unforced errors as the funky Madison Brengle (almost successfully) made her head explode in a three-tiebreak match. Going into that ‘s-Hertogenbosch final, the Russian had been 1-16 in deciding-set tiebreaks. She’s now won her last two. And she’s into her first career round of 16 at a major.
Sabalenka will be well aware of their history.
The sportsbooks are all over the place with this one, some having Sabalenka as a far bigger favorite than others in the Wimbledon odds. But she shouldn’t should be. It feels like a very even match, with a slight edge to Sabalenka.
Safiullin vs Shapovalov Pick: Over 24.5 Games (+124)
Alcaraz vs Berrettini Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz was hardly convincing in his third-round match against No. 25 seed Nicolas Jarry.
It took him four sets – and four hours – to get through him. It took four sets to beat unheralded Frenchman Alexandre Muller, too.
Neither of those two have Berrettini’s credentials, which will be apparent Monday at Wimbledon.
Alcaraz vs Berrettini Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Rio (QF) | Outdoor Clay | 6-2, 2-6, 6-2 | Alcaraz |
| 2022 | Australian Open (R32) | Outdoor Hard | 6-2, 7-6 (4), 4-6, 2-6, 7-6 (5) | Berrettini |
| 2021 | Vienna (QF) | Indoor Hard | 6-1, 6-7 (2), 7-6 (5) | Alcaraz |
The Italian, a finalist in 2021 at Wimbledon before injuries set in, knows what it’s like to beat Alcaraz at a major – in a fifth-set, deciding tiebreak no less. He knows what it’s like to get to the final Sunday at Wimbledon, too.
If Berrettini’s abdominal issue, which appeared to bother him in the first round but hasn’t shown up since, doesn’t hamper him this one could easily be a five-setter.
Alcaraz vs Berrettini Pick: Alcaraz in Five Sets (+390)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
