2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker

Ja’Marr Chase won the 2021 NFL OROY award
See how the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds changed throughout the 2021-22 NFL season
Looking for current NFL OROY odds?

We tracked the 2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they opened and all throughout the 2021-2022 NFL season, right up to when the award was handed out. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.

The race for the 2021-22 NFL OROY award was very back-and-forth all season, but ultimately boiled down to two players: Ja’Marr Chase and Mac Jones. Chase’s hot finish saw him become the odds-on favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, but we did not see odds since the week of January 4, which was prior to Week 17.

The award was handed out at the NFL Honors on Thursday, February 10. Ja’Marr Chase was named the 2021-22 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Closing Odds to Win 2021 NFL OROY

Player	Pos	Team	Odds to win 2021 NFL OROY
Ja’Marr Chase	WR	CIN	-250
Mac Jones	QB	NE	+190

*Odds as of January 4

Here are some more notes on odds movement:

[February 10] Ja’Marr Chase has been named the 2021-22 NFL OROY at the NFL Honors. The Bengals wide receiver edges out Mac Jones for the award.
[January 3] After exploding for 266 receiving yards and three touchdowns in Week 17 against the Chiefs, Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase has overtaken Mac Jones as the favorite in NFL OROY odds. Chase’s odds went from +300 to -225, while Jones’ moved from -400 to +175.
[December 27] Mac Jones remains the heavy odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY, though his odds faded a little from -700 to -500 after Week 16. Jones’ Patriots lost to the Bills and gave away the AFC East division lead. Ja’Marr Chase’s NFL OROY odds improved slightly, from +400 to +350 after going for 125 yards against the Ravens.
[December 20] Though Mac Jones lost to the Colts in Week 15, he had a pretty good second half against a solid defense, and nearly brought the Pats back to win. His NFL OROY odds improved from -500 to -700, but this likely has more to do with Ja’Marr Chase only catching one pass for three yards in Week 15.
[December 13] Trevor Lawrence, the first-overall pick from the 2021 NFL Draft and player who opened as the heavy favorite to win NFL OROY, is no longer being given odds to win the award. Entering Week 14, he was a distant 150-1 to win the award, but four more interceptions against the Titans has his name completely off the board. Mac Jones remains the heavy odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY.
[December 7] Despite only throwing three passes in Week 13, Mac Jones’ NFL OROY odds have improved from -300 to -500. This move actually happened even before Jones played though, signaling that it was more about the other rookies not performing vs Jones doing anything significant.
[November 29] Mac Jones has now led the Patriots to six straight wins, throwing for 310 yards and two touchdowns in their most recent win over the Titans. Jones’ NFL OROY odds have gone from -105 to -300 after his strong Week 12 performance. Although he has cooled off from his scorching start, Ja’Marr Chase, who posted three catches for 39 yards on Sunday, is still listed at +225 odds. It’s a big gap tp the next player on the board, Jaylen Waddle, who is listed at +3500.
[November 22] Though he isn’t really blowing up the stat sheet, Mac Jones is now the odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY. His New England Patriots now sit atop the AFC East after a convincing win over the Falcons in Week 11. Ja’Marr Chase did haul in a touchdown against the Raiders, but he only recorded three receptions for 32 yards.
[November 15] Mac Jones (+125) closed the gap significantly on Ja’Marr Chase (+110), whose Bengals had a bye. Jones threw for 198 yards, three TDs, and no picks in a 45-7 demolition of the Browns.
[November 1] For the first time this season, we have an odds-on favorite to win the NFL OROY award. Ja’Marr Chase caught another touchdown in Week 8, and his NFL OROY odds are now as short as -140. Mac Jones and Najee Harris are the only other players with odds better than 30-1.
[October 25] Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase not only continued his strong rookie season, but actually put forth his best performance yet in Week 7. Chase posted eight receptions for 201 yards and a touchdown against a good Ravens secondary. The fifth-overall pick from the 2021 NFL Draft is now seeing his NFL OROY odds nearing even money.
[October 11] After another big game in Week 5, which included 159 yards and a touchdown, Ja’Marr Chase is back to being the favorite to win NFL OROY. Trey Lance’s NFL OROY odds faded a little bit after a rather uninspiring first start.
[October 4] Most sportsbooks have Mac Jones back as their favorite to win NFL OROY. The Patriots’ rookie signal-caller nearly spoiled Tom Brady’s return to Foxborough in Week 4, keeping up with Brady every step of the way. Trey Lance’s odds have also improved, but just slightly, after he took over for an injured Jimmy Garoppolo in Week 4. Lance is scheduled to start Week 5 and potentially beyond.
[September 27] Justin Fields’ NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds took a hit after he struggled mightily in his first career start. Fellow quarterbacks Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, and Mac Jones also stumbled in Week 3, opening the door for Ja’Marr Chase, who has four touchdowns through the first three weeks, to become the new favorite to win NFL OROY at some sportsbooks.
[September 20] Zach Wilson’s NFL OROY odds took a big hit after he threw four interceptions against the Patriots in Week 2. San Francisco running back Elijah Mitchell is now on the board as a top ten contender after seeing the bulk of carries for a second straight week.
[September 14] After Trevor Lawrence threw three interceptions in Week 1 as his Jaguars were upset by the lowly Texans, the first overall pick from the 2021 NFL Draft is no longer the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. For the first time this season, that title belongs to another player: Mac Jones. DeVonta Smith and Ja’Marr Chase got their NFL careers off to great starts and each saw their NFL OROY odds improve dramatically. Kyle Pitts’ debut was much quieter, though, and his odds have gone from an average of +1050 to +1600.
[August 31] Mac Jones’ odds to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year have improved from an average of +1000 to as short as +500 after the Patriots cut Cam Newton, putting Jones in the starting role. Jones, Zach Wilson, and Trevor Lawrence are the only three rookie quarterbacks expected to start in Week 1.
[August 16] Najee Harris’ NFL OROY odds have improved from an average of +1013 to +833 after Pittsburgh’s first two preseason games clearly showed they’re eager to get their first-round RB the ball. Elijah Moore is another name making headlines in training camp, and he’s seen his odds move from +4625 to +3333 after catching eyes at Jets’ camp. Fellow Jets rookie Michael Carter is also making a move up the board, going from +5600 to +3667. On the other hand, Ja’Marr Chase has seen his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds slip from +1350 to +1567 with the Bengals offense not getting off to a great start in camp.
[June 14] Kyle Pitts’ NFL OROY odds have improved from an average of +1125 to +975, thanks to the Falcons shipping Julio Jones to the Titans. As a result, Pitts will be a top-two option in Atlanta for Matt Ryan. Najee Harris has also seen his odds improve, and is now as short as +500. You can still find the Steelers running back as long as +1400, though.
[May 3] With Bill Belichick announcing that it’s still Cam Newton’s team in New England, Mac Jones’ NFL OROY odds continue to fade, landing at +1075. On the other hand, Trey Sermon and Michael Carter both saw their odds improve thanks to being drafted into great opportunities. Sermon benefits from being drafted by Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers, where every running back has success. Carter enters a Jets backfield that looks like a wide open contest for the starting role.
[April 30] With the 49ers taking Trey Lance third-overall, the quarterback saw his NFL OROY odds improve from +1100 to +663, the third-best odds among all rookies. Jaylen Waddle also saw his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds improve after being selected sixth-overall by the Miami Dolphins. Waddle went from +2000 to +1575, the ninth-best odds on the board. Mac Jones had the fourth-best odds at +750 entering NFL Draft night, but fell to +913 odds when his name wasn’t called by San Francisco, but New England at 15. Travis Etienne was another player whose NFL OROY odds were harmed by the team he went to, as the Clemson RB is going to be in a crowded backfield with James Robinson and Carlos Hyde in Jacksonville. Etienne went from +1700 to as long as +2500 at DraftKings.
[April 21] Trevor Lawrence, who is projected to be taken first overall by the Jacksonville Jaguars in the 2021 NFL Draft, has opened as the clear favorite to win the 2021 NFL OROY award. Justin Fields, who is battling with Mac Jones to be taken third overall by the 49ers, has the second-best odds. Kyle Pitts, a tight end from Florida, has the best odds among non-quarterbacks.

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Top Contenders at Each Position

The 2021 NFL Draft was loaded with highly-touted quarterbacks, led by the first-overall pick Trevor Lawrence. The Jaguars QB and Zach Wilson both went into the summer knowing they had the starting job locked up for their respective teams.

Mac Jones became the known starter when the Patriots released Cam Newton late in the summer. Both Justin Fields and Trey Lance entered the season as backups, with Lance remaining a backup all season.

Top Contenders by Draft Round

1st Round
2nd Round

Matt McEwan

After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.