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  • Get the latest odds to win the 2021 NFL Coach of the Year award
  • A first-year head coach has emerged as the favorite to win NFL COY
  • Track how the odds have changed throughout the course of the 2021 NFL season

The Associated Press has been handing out an NFL Coach of the Year award since 1957. Here are the odds to win the 2021 COY award. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Odds for Top NFL Coach of the Year Contenders

  • [October 19] Broncos head coach Vic Fangio, who was among the top contenders to close out September, has seen his NFL Coach of the Year odds plummet with Denver’s three-game losing streak. His odds were +1000 back on September 28, but are now at an average of +2250.
  • [October 12] Brandon Staley has become a heavy favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year after his Chargers beat the Browns in Week 5, marking their fourth win in five weeks. Sean McDermott’s odds also saw a significant boost following Buffalo’s win over Kansas City on Sunday Night Football.
  • [October 5] Despite having the only undefeated team in the league, and upsetting the Rams in Week 4, Cardinals head coach Kliff Kingsbury only has the third-best odds to win NFL Coach of the Year. His odds did improve from an average of +1700 to +1050, but Brandon Staley remains the favorite, and Sean McVay is still given slightly better odds as well.
  • [September 28] After Brandon Staley’s Chargers upset the Chiefs in Week 3, the first-year head coach has taken back the top spot on the board for NFL Coach of the Year odds, sending Sean McVay back to second. Vic Fangio and Matt Rhule also saw their odds significantly improve after their respective teams have gotten off to 3-0 starts to the season.


Coach (Team) Odds
Brandon Staley (Chargers) +450
Kliff Kingsbury (Cardinals) +1000
Sean McVay (Rams) +1000
Sean McDermott (Bills) +1200
Mike McCarthy (Cowboys) +1400
Kevin Stefanski (Browns) +1800
John Harbaugh (Ravens) +2000
Sean Payton (Saints) +2500
Matt LaFleur (Packers) +2500
Vic Fangio (Broncos) +2500
Matt Rhule (Panthers) +2500
Bill Belichick (Patriots) +3500
Bruce Arians (Buccaneers) +3500
Kyle Shanahan (49ers) +3500
Zac Taylor (Bengals) +3500

*Odds as of October 19

Here are some more notes on the movement we have seen:

  • [September 21] Sean McVay has overtaken Brandon Staley as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year after Week 2. McVay’s Rams are off to a 2-0 start, while Staley’s Chargers lost to the Cowboys in Week 2. Jon Gruden’s odds have improved from an average of +4450 to +1850, making him a top ten contender, with his Raiders also off to a 2-0 start.
  • [September 14] Brandon Staley remains the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year after his Chargers beat the Washington Football Team in Week 1. Sean Payton saw his NFL Coach of the Year odds improve from an average of +2000 to +1150 following his Saints upset over the Packers. If Payton can turn Jameis Winston into a top tier quarterback, he’ll be a very strong contender for the award.
  • [September 7] First-year head coach Brandon Staley of the LA Chargers has emerged as the clear favorite in odds to win NFL Coach of the Year. Fellow first-time head coach Arthur Smith (Falcons) sits second on the board.
  • [May 28] Kevin Stefanski has broken away from the pack as the favorite to win NFL COY, despite the fact that no coach has won the award in back-to-back years since Joe Gibbs in 1982 and 1983 seasons.
  • [May 14] Kyle Shanahan, Kevin Stefanski (last year’s Coach of the Year), and Brandon Staley (Chargers first-year head coach) have opened as the co-favorites to win the 2021 NFL Coach of the Year.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.


Odds for Past Winners

Since 1991, every NFL Coach of the Year winner has led their team to at least ten wins in taking home the honor. Bruce Arians’ 2012 Colts finished with an 11-5 record, with nine of those wins coming after he took over as head coach.

Past Coach of the Year Winners

Year Coach of the Year Team Record
2020 Kevin Stefanski Browns 11-5
2019 John Harbaugh Ravens 14-2
2018 Matt Nagy Bears 12-4
2017 Sean McVay Rams 11-5
2016 Jason Garrett Cowboys 13-3
2015 Ron Rivera (2) Panthers 15-1
2014 Bruce Arians (2) Cardinals 11-5
2013 Ron Rivera Panthers 12-4
2012 Bruce Arians Colts 9-3*
2011 Jim Harbaugh 49ers 13-3

*Took over for Chuck Pagano in the team’s final 12 games

Archived NFL Coach of the Year odds: 2020, 2019

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.