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  • Get the latest odds to win the 2022 NFL Coach of the Year award
  • Nathaniel Hackett, Kyle Shanahan, and a handful of other coaches are all listed as co-favorites
  • Track how the odds have changed throughout the course of the 2022-23 NFL season

The Associated Press has been handing out an NFL Coach of the Year award since 1957. Here are the odds to win the 2022 COY award. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Odds for Top NFL Coach of the Year Contenders

The NFL Coach of the Year award is not always awarded to the best head coach in the league. Often, it goes to the coach who turned around a bad team early in his tenure, or one whose team still won a lot of games while playing without some of their stars.

It’s hard to predict which coaches will see their teams suffer through some bad injury luck, but it is easy to identify the candidates to turn around bad or underachieving teams. This is why you see coaches like Nathaniel Hackett, who will serve as the Broncos head coach this year, Mike McDaniel, the Dolphins’ new coach, and Kevin O’Connell, the Vikings new coach, all given short odds to win the award.

Hackett finds himself as one of eight coaches who are all co-favorites to win COY. The Broncos head coach is joined by Kyle Shanahan, Andy Reid (who will be tasked with succeeding without Tyreek Hill, as he was traded to the Dolphins), Mike Vrabel, Kevin Stefanski, Brandon Staley, Sean McVay, and Sean McDermott atop the odds.

Each sportsbook’s odds look quite different for this award, as FanDuel Sportsbook has Brandon Staley, Brian Daboll (new Giants head coach), and Doug Pederson (new Jaguars head coach) as their co-favorites. However, over on the DraftKings Sportsbook app, you will find Staley listed as the lone favorite.

NFL COY Odds

Coach (Team) Odds
Kyle Shanahan (49ers) +1500
Andy Reid (Chiefs) +1500
Mike Vrabel (Titans) +1500
Kevin Stefanski (Browns) +1500
Nathaniel Hackett (Broncos) +1500
Brandon Staley (Chargers) +1500
Sean McVay (Rams) +1500
Sean McDermott (Bills) +1500
Zac Taylor (Bengals) +1800
Frank Reich (Colts) +1800
Mike McDaniel (Dolphins) +2000
Kevin O’Connell (Vikings) +2000
Bill Belichick (Patriots) +2000
Todd Bowles (Buccaneers) +2000
Josh McDaniels (Raiders) +2200
John Harbaugh (Ravens) +2200
Doug Pederson (Jaguars) +2500
Nick Sirianni (Eagles) +2500
Brian Daboll (Giants) +2500
Matt LaFleur (Packers) +2500
Dennis Allen (Saints) +2500
Robert Saleh (Jets) +3000
Matt Rhule (Panthers) +3000
Ron Rivera (Commanders) +3000
Mike McCarthy (Cowboys) +3000
Kliff Kingsbury (Cardinals) +3000
Arthur Smith (Falcons) +4000
Matt Eberflus (Bears) +4000
Mike Tomlin (Steelers) +4500
Pete Carroll (Seahawks) +6000
Lovie Smith (Texans) +6000
Dan Campbell (Lions) +6000

*Odds as of April 7 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promo codes before signing up.

Based off Caesars Sportsbook’s odds, the eight coaches listed as co-favorites each have a 6.25% chance of winning NFL Coach of the Year in the 2022-23 NFL season. If you were to wager $100 on any of them, you’d win $1,500 and return $1,600.

Some notable coaches that are showing significantly different odds at different books include:

  • Doug Pederson (JAX): as short as +1400 at FanDuel, but as long as +2500 at Caesars Sportsbook
  • Andy Reid (KC): as short as +1500 at Caesars Sportsbook, but as long as +3000 at FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Kevin O’Connell (MIN): as short as +1600 at FanDuel, but as long as +2500 at DraftKings – shop for the best DraftKings promo code
  • Brian Daboll (NYG): as short as +1400 at FanDuel, but as long as +2500 at Caesars Sportsbook

Here are some more notes on the movement we have seen:

  • [April 5] Chargers head coach Brandon Staley has opened as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year with +1450 odds. The top of the oddsboard also includes new Broncos head coach Nathaniel Hackett, Sean McDermott, Kevin Stefanski, and Kyle Shanahan, among others.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

AFC vs NFC

A coach from the AFC has won NFL COY in each of the last three seasons.

Odds for Past Winners

Since 1991, every NFL Coach of the Year winner has led their team to at least ten wins in taking home the honor. Bruce Arians’ 2012 Colts finished with an 11-5 record, with nine of those wins coming after he took over as head coach.

Past Coach of the Year Winners

Year Coach of the Year Team Record
2021 Mike Vrabel Titans 12-5
2020 Kevin Stefanski Browns 11-5
2019 John Harbaugh Ravens 14-2
2018 Matt Nagy Bears 12-4
2017 Sean McVay Rams 11-5
2016 Jason Garrett Cowboys 13-3
2015 Ron Rivera (2) Panthers 15-1
2014 Bruce Arians (2) Cardinals 11-5
2013 Ron Rivera Panthers 12-4
2012 Bruce Arians Colts 9-3*

*Took over for Chuck Pagano in the team’s final 12 games

The 2021-22 NFL season was the first time we saw the regular season schedule expanded to 18 weeks, with each team playing 17 games. This is why you see the extra game in Mike Vrabel’s record for that season.

We have not seen a coach win the honor in back-to-back years since Joe Gibbs in 1982 and 1983.


Archived NFL Coach of the Year odds: 2021, 2020, 2019

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.