2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year Odds Tracker
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- Get the latest odds to win the 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year award
- Kevin O’Connell is the NFL COY favorite
- Track how the NFL COY odds change throughout the course of the 2024-25 NFL season
The Associated Press has been handing out an NFL Coach of the Year award since 1957. Below you’ll find the odds to win the 2024-25 NFL COY award. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from multiple sportsbooks.
2024 NFL Coach of the Year Award Odds & Favorites
The NFL Coach of the Year award is not always awarded to the best head coach in the league. Often, it goes to the coach who turned around a bad team early in his tenure, or one whose team still won a lot of games while playing without some of their stars.
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It’s hard to predict which coaches will see their teams suffer through some bad injury luck, but it is easy to identify the candidates to turn around bad or underachieving teams. This is why you saw coaches like Jim Harbaugh, who takes on a Chargers team who has underachieved throughout Justin Herbert’s career, Raheem Morris, who’s in his first year as Falcons head coach and inherits a very talented roster, Shane Steichen, who nearly made the playoffs last season while having to start a backup QB most of the year, and Jonathan Gannon, whose Cardinals are looking to improve on a lousy season they played mostly without Kyler Murray.
The coach who has stood out through the first 17 weeks of the season is Kevin O’Connell. The Vikings head coach has his team in the playoffs when expectations were extremely low, and has a shot at the top seed in the NFC.
NFL COY Odds
Player
|
Best Odds
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Connell, Kevin |
-450
BET NOW
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | -450 BET NOW |
| Campbell, Dan |
+300
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +300 BET NOW |
| Payton, Sean |
+2500
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +2500 BET NOW |
| Quinn, Dan |
+4000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +4000 BET NOW |
| Harbaugh, Jim |
+6000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +6000 BET NOW |
| Reid, Andy |
+7500
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +7500 BET NOW |
| McDermott, Sean |
+15000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +15000 BET NOW |
| Tomlin, Mike |
+15000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +15000 BET NOW |
| Sirianni, Nick |
+15000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +15000 BET NOW |
| McVay, Sean |
+20000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +20000 BET NOW |
| Taylor, Zac |
+25000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +25000 BET NOW |
| Bowles, Todd |
+25000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +25000 BET NOW |
| McDaniel, Mike |
+25000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +25000 BET NOW |
| Lafleur, Matt |
+50000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +50000 BET NOW |
| Harbaugh, John |
+50000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +50000 BET NOW |
| Morris, Raheem |
+50000
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- BET NOW | - BET NOW | - BET NOW | +50000 BET NOW |
Kevin O’Connell is given the best odds to win the 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year award. O’Connell’s odds are listed at -750, which implies he has an 88.2% chance to win the award. If you bet $20 on the Vikings’ head coach, your potential profit would be $2.67 while returning $22.67.
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After O’Connell, we have Dan Campbell (+430), Sean Payton (+3000), Dan Quinn (+5000), and Andy Reid (+10000) to round out the top five contenders.
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Here are some more notes on the movement we have seen:
- [December 31] After beating the Packers in Week 17, Kevin O’Connell’s Coach of the Year odds improved to -1000.
- [December 23] O’Connell went from +110 odds to -250 odds after a Week 16 win over the Seahawks, which left the door open for Minnesota to take the NFC’s top seed.
- [December 17] Kevin O’Connell took back over as the COY favorite after Dan Campbell’s Lions lost to the Bills in Week 15.
- [December 10] Dan Campbell moved from the COY favorite to an odds-on favorite after beating the Packers in Week 14, which included a decision to go for it on fourth down instead of kicking a game-winning field goal at that time that would have left time on the clock for Jordan Love. It’s the first time we saw an odds-on favorite.
- [November 26] After the Steelers lost to the Browns in Week 12, Dan Campbell took over as the Coach of the Year favorite, marking the first time this season he has been atop the COY odds.
- [November 12] Mike Tomlin has taken over as the favorite to win NFL COY after his Steelers beat Dan Quinn’s Commanders in Week 10. Quinn had been the favorite entering that game.
- [October 29] After Kevin O’Connell’s Vikings dropped their second straight game in Week 8, we saw Dan Quinn take over as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year. Quinn’s Commanders pulled off a miraculous win over the Bears in Week 8, holding onto their top spot in the division (at this point in time), while the Vikings may be slowing down a bit after their hot start.
- [October 15] A big win over a division-rival in Week 6 (the Broncos) has resulted in LA Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh’s COY odds improving from +1550 to +700, which were the third-best odds in the league at this time.
- [October 8] Sean Payton moved into the top three contenders for NFL Coach of the Year following Denver’s third straight victory in Week 5. Payton’s odds improved from +1900 to +1100. Mike Macdonald’s odds tanked after his Seahawks were upset by the Giants at home, moving from +625 to +1500.
- [October 1] Another Commanders win in Week 4 saw Dan Quinn’s NFL COY odds improve from +1750 to +650, tied for the second-best on the board.
- [September 24] Kevin O’Connell took over as the new favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year after his Vikings beat the Texans in Week 3, moving their record to 3-0. O’Connell’s odds improved from +850 to +335.
- [September 17] Matt Eberflus went from the second-best odds to win NFL COY at +950 entering Week 2, to +2500 after Chicago’s offense continued to struggle.
- [September 10] Kevin O’Connell, Jerod Mayo, and Mike Tomlin all saw their COY odds improve significantly after good Week 1 performances from their respective teams. O’Connell went from +2000 to +1350, Tomlin from +2500 to +1450, and Mayo from +3000 to +1300. Raheem Morris’ Falcons didn’t get off to a very good start, however, and his odds faded from +1250 to +1700. Dave Canales saw an even bigger dip as his odds went from +1700 to +2750 following his Panthers being blown out and Bryce Young looking just as bad as last year.
- [August 27] Mike Macdonald has seen his Coach of the Year odds improve from +2100 prior to the preseason to +1200 as we wrap up the preseason. Bettors like what they saw from Macdonald’s defense in Seattle throughout the preseason.
- [August 6] Harbaugh has taken back the title of NFL COY favorite as the preseason kicks off.
- [July 24] Matt Eberflus, bears head coach, has overtaken Jim Harbaugh as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year.
- [April 29] After the Steelers firmed up a new QB room with Russell Wilson and Justin Fields, and now put together a really nice draft class, Mike Tomlin’s NFL COY odds have improved from +2650 to +2150.
- [March 4] The Chargers’ new head coach, Jim Harbaugh, has opened as the favorite to win the 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year award. Harbaugh inherits an extremely talented QB in Justin Herbert, but a pretty tough cap situation.
Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
AFC vs NFC
A coach from the AFC has won NFL COY in four of the last five seasons. Another AFC coach is favored to win it this year in Jim Harbaugh.
Odds for Past Winners
Since 1991, all but one NFL Coach of the Year winner has led their team to at least ten wins in taking home the honor. The lone winner without ten wins was Brian Daboll two seasons ago, whose Giants only went 9-7-1. Daboll’s turnaround was still significant enough, as he took over a team that went 4-13 the previous season and made a QB who had firmly been labeled a bust look very serviceable.
The only other notable from that streak above is Bruce Arians, who led the Colts to a 9-3 record as head coach after taking over for Chuck Pagano after he stepped away for health reasons. The Colts did still win 11 games, though.
Past Coach of the Year Winners
| Year | Coach of the Year | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski (2) | Browns | 11-6 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll | Giants | 9-7-1 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel | Titans | 12-5 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | 11-5 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh | Ravens | 14-2 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy | Bears | 12-4 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay | Rams | 11-5 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett | Cowboys | 13-3 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera (2) | Panthers | 15-1 |
| 2014 | Bruce Arians (2) | Cardinals | 11-5 |
The 2021-22 NFL season was the first time we saw the regular season schedule expanded to 18 weeks, with each team playing 17 games. This is why you see the extra game in Mike Vrabel, Brian Daboll, and Kevin Stefanski’s (2023) respective records the past three seasons.
We have not seen a coach win the honor in back-to-back years since Joe Gibbs in 1982 and 1983.
Archived NFL Coach of the Year odds: 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019
Who is the favorite to win Coach of the Year NFL?
New Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh has opened as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year.
Who are the favorites for Coach of the Year?
Jim Harbaugh (Chargers), Matt LaFleur (Packers), Raheem Morris (Falcons), Shane Steichen (Colts), and Demeco Ryans (Texans) are the top five contenders to win NFL Coach of the Year.
Who won NFL Coach of the Year 2023?
Kevin Stefanski won the 2023-24 NFL Coach of the Year after leading his Browns to the playoffs, while being forced to start five different quarterbacks.
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.
