2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year Odds Tracker
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- Get the latest odds to win the 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year award
- Ben Johnson is the NFL COY favorite
- Track how the NFL COY odds change throughout the course of the 2025-26 NFL season
The Associated Press has been handing out an NFL Coach of the Year award since 1957. Below you’ll find the odds to win the 2025-26 NFL COY award. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from multiple sportsbooks.
2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year Award Odds & Favorites
The NFL Coach of the Year award is not always awarded to the best head coach in the league. Often, it goes to the coach who turned around a bad team early in his tenure, or one whose team still won a lot of games while playing without some of their stars.
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It’s hard to predict which coaches will see their teams suffer through some bad injury luck, but it is easy to identify the candidates to turn around bad or underachieving teams. This is why you see Ben Johnson, who takes over a Bears team who greatly underachieved last season, listed as the early favorite to win NFL COY, and have coaches like Mike Vrabel, who takes over a bad Patriots team, Pete Carroll, who enters his first year as the Raiders head coach, and Liam Coen, who takes on an underachieving Jaguars team, all listed with short odds.
NFL COY Odds
Ben Johnson is given the best odds to win the 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year award. Johnson’s odds are listed at +635, which implies he has a 13.6% chance to win the award. If you bet $20 on the new Bears’ head coach, your potential profit would be $127 while returning $147.
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After Johnson, we have Mike Vrabel (+740), Liam Cohen (+1200), Pete Carroll (+1400), and Dave Canales (+1465) to round out the top five contenders.
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Here are some more notes on the movement we have seen:
- [March 14] After the Bears added three new starting offensive linemen during free agency, acquiring two of them via trades, as well as bolstering the interior of their defense, Ben Johnson’s NFL Coach of the Year odds improved from +700 to +550.
- [March 7] Pete Carroll was already among the COY favorites prior to the Raiders acquiring Geno Smith, but most sportsbooks did not adjust his odds after the trade. ESPN Bet, however, quickly moved Carroll from +1400 to +1000 after the former Seahawks head coach was reunited with his quarterback.
- [February 12] The opening 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year odds favor Ben Johnson, who is a first-time head coach and accepted the Bears job. Sportsbooks obviously like the talent Johnson is inheriting in Chicago, and understand he would be a front-runner in the eyes of the voters if he was able to get Caleb Williams going after a rough rookie season.
Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
AFC vs NFC
A coach from the AFC has won NFL COY in four of the last six seasons.
Odds for Past Winners
Since 1991, all but one NFL Coach of the Year winner has led their team to at least ten wins in taking home the honor. The lone winner without ten wins was Brian Daboll three seasons ago, whose Giants only went 9-7-1. Daboll’s turnaround was still significant enough, as he took over a team that went 4-13 the previous season and made a QB who had firmly been labeled a bust look very serviceable.
The only other notable from that streak above is Bruce Arians, who led the Colts to a 9-3 record as head coach after taking over for Chuck Pagano after he stepped away for health reasons. The Colts did still win 11 games, though.
Past Coach of the Year Winners
| Year | Coach of the Year | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kevin O’Connell | Vikings | 14-3 |
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski (2) | Browns | 11-6 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll | Giants | 9-7-1 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel | Titans | 12-5 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | 11-5 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh | Ravens | 14-2 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy | Bears | 12-4 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay | Rams | 11-5 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett | Cowboys | 13-3 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera (2) | Panthers | 15-1 |
The 2021-22 NFL season was the first time we saw the regular season schedule expanded to 18 weeks, with each team playing 17 games. This is why you see the extra game in all the COY winners since that season.
We have not seen a coach win the honor in back-to-back years since Joe Gibbs in 1982 and 1983.
Archived NFL Coach of the Year odds:
Who is the favorite to win Coach of the Year NFL?
New Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh has opened as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year.
Who are the favorites for Coach of the Year?
Jim Harbaugh (Chargers), Matt LaFleur (Packers), Raheem Morris (Falcons), Shane Steichen (Colts), and Demeco Ryans (Texans) are the top five contenders to win NFL Coach of the Year.
Who won NFL Coach of the Year 2023?
Kevin Stefanski won the 2023-24 NFL Coach of the Year after leading his Browns to the playoffs, while being forced to start five different quarterbacks.
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.
