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  • Get the latest odds to win the 2022 NFL Coach of the Year award
  • Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel is the favorite to win NFL COY after Week 1
  • Track how the odds have changed throughout the course of the 2022-23 NFL season

The Associated Press has been handing out an NFL Coach of the Year award since 1957. Here are the odds to win the 2022 COY award. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from multiple sportsbooks.

2022 NFL Coach Of The Year Award Odds & Favorites

The NFL Coach of the Year award is not always awarded to the best head coach in the league. Often, it goes to the coach who turned around a bad team early in his tenure, or one whose team still won a lot of games while playing without some of their stars.

It’s hard to predict which coaches will see their teams suffer through some bad injury luck, but it is easy to identify the candidates to turn around bad or underachieving teams. This is why you see coaches like Nathaniel Hackett, who will serve as the Broncos head coach this year, Mike McDaniel, the Dolphins’ new coach, and Kevin O’Connell, the Vikings new coach, all given short odds to win the award.

McDaniel is currently the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year, after his Dolphins have started the season 2-0.

NFL COY Odds

Coach (Team) Odds
Mike McDaniel (Dolphins) +600
Nick Sirianni (Eagles) +700
Kevin O’Connell (Vikings) +800
Brian Daboll (Giants) +900
Brandon Staley (Chargers) +1000
Doug Pederson (Jaguars) +1200
Dan Campbell (Lions) +1800
Sean McDermott (Bills) +2000
Kyle Shanahan (49ers) +3000
Ron Rivera (Commanders) +3000
John Harbaugh (Ravens) +3000
Kevin Stefanski (Browns) +3000
Matt LaFleur (Packers) +3000
Dennis Allen (Saints) +3000
Mike Tomlin (Steelers) +3000
Andy Reid (Chiefs) +3500
Robert Saleh (Jets) +3500
Sean McVay (Rams) +4000
Zac Taylor (Bengals) +4000
Frank Reich (Colts) +4000
Todd Bowles (Buccaneers) +4000
Mike Vrabel (Titans) +4000
Josh McDaniels (Raiders) +4000
Kliff Kingsbury (Cardinals) +5000
Arthur Smith (Falcons) +5000
Lovie Smith (Texans) +5000
Mike McCarthy (Cowboys) +5000
Bill Belichick (Patriots) +5000
Pete Carroll (Seahawks) +6000
Matt Eberflus (Bears) +6000
Matt Rhule (Panthers) +6500
Nathaniel Hackett (Broncos) +7500

*Odds as of September 20 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the best DraftKings Sportsbook promo codes before signing up.

Based off DraftKings Sportsbook’s odds, Mike McDaniel, who is favored, has an 14.3% chance of winning NFL Coach of the Year in the 2022-23 NFL season. If you were to wager $20 on McDaniel, you’d stand to win $120 and return $140.

Here are some more notes on the movement we have seen:

  • [September 20] Mike McDaniel is the new favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year, after his Dolphins took down the Ravens in Week 2 to start the season 2-0. McDaniel’s odds improved from +1100 to +600. Nick Sirianni, the Eagles head coach, saw his odds improve from +1400 to +700 and now has the second-best odds on the board. Nathaniel Hackett has seen his odds plummet from +1800 to +7500 after another game full of embarrassing coaching mistakes.
  • [September 12] A big win over the Packers in Week 1, where his offense looked very good, has Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell listed as the new favorite in NFL COY odds. His odds improved from +1500 to +800 after Sunday’s win. Mike McDaniel also saw his odds improve thanks to a win against a divisional foe, going from +2000 to +1100, tied for the third-best odds. Bill Belichick saw the biggest dip, as his odds went from +2000 to +6000 following his loss to McDaniel’s Dolphins.
  • [September 7] Brandon Staley enters the 2022-23 NFL season as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year. Minnesota’s new head coach, Kevin O’Connell, saw his average odds go from +1750 to +1550, putting O’Connell second on the board.
  • [July 27] Dan Campbell has shot up the board over the summer months. The Lions’ head coach was given the worst odds to win NFL Coach of the Year when odds opened. Campbell was listed at +6000. He now has the seventh-best odds to win the award at +1700.
  • [April 5] Chargers head coach Brandon Staley has opened as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year with +1450 odds. The top of the oddsboard also includes new Broncos head coach Nathaniel Hackett, Sean McDermott, Kevin Stefanski, and Kyle Shanahan, among others.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

AFC vs NFC

A coach from the AFC has won NFL COY in each of the last three seasons.

Odds for Past Winners

Since 1991, every NFL Coach of the Year winner has led their team to at least ten wins in taking home the honor. Bruce Arians’ 2012 Colts finished with an 11-5 record, with nine of those wins coming after he took over as head coach.

Who Won NFL Coach of the Year in 2022?

The 2021-22 NFL COY award went Tennessee boss Mike Vrabel, who led the Titans to a 12-5 record and #1 seed in the AFC. As usual, the award went to a coach whose team vastly exceeded its preseason expectations. While the Titans were solid +115 contenders to win the AFC South, they were +2800 longshots in the Super Bowl futures entering the season. They were seen as a fringe playoff team, not a #1 seed.

The win was Vrabel’s first COY honor in his short four-year tenure with the Titans.

Past Coach of the Year Winners

Year Coach of the Year Team Record
2021 Mike Vrabel Titans 12-5
2020 Kevin Stefanski Browns 11-5
2019 John Harbaugh Ravens 14-2
2018 Matt Nagy Bears 12-4
2017 Sean McVay Rams 11-5
2016 Jason Garrett Cowboys 13-3
2015 Ron Rivera (2) Panthers 15-1
2014 Bruce Arians (2) Cardinals 11-5
2013 Ron Rivera Panthers 12-4
2012 Bruce Arians Colts 9-3*

*Took over for Chuck Pagano in the team’s final 12 games

The 2021-22 NFL season was the first time we saw the regular season schedule expanded to 18 weeks, with each team playing 17 games. This is why you see the extra game in Mike Vrabel’s record for that season.

We have not seen a coach win the honor in back-to-back years since Joe Gibbs in 1982 and 1983.


Archived NFL Coach of the Year odds: 2021, 2020, 2019

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.