2021 NFL Free Agency Odds Tracker

• NFL free agents are officially able to sign new deals on March 17, 2021
• Top free agents this year include Allen Robinson, Dak Prescott, and Kenny Golladay among others
• See the latest odds for where each NFL free agent will sign

The 2021 NFL league year officially starts at 4pm ET on Wednesday, March 17. This is also when free agent deals become official. However, teams are able to begin negotiating with free agents on March 15, so many matches will be made public prior to the 17th.

We’ve rounded up all the odds available on some of the most intriguing NFL free agents. We’ve sorted them by position and will update the odds as they change.

QB | RB | WR | TE

Free Agent Quarterbacks

There is only one free agent quarterback who is franchise-altering, and that’s Dak Prescott. However, it is likely the Cowboys will tag their signal-caller if they cannot come to terms on a long-term deal.

Dak Prescott Free Agency Odds

• [March 8] The Cowboys have re-signed Dak Prescott to a reported four-year, $164 million deal.

Free Agent Running Backs

There are a handful of very exciting running backs available in free agency, the biggest being Aaron Jones.

Aaron Jones Free Agency Odds

• [March 15] The Packers have re-signed Aaron Jones to a 4-year, $48 million deal. Bettors who took the Packers to be Jones’ next team cashed in at +500.
• [March 9] The Packers did not place the franchise tag on Aaron Jones, setting him up to hit the open market. The Dolphins are the favorites to sign the free agent running back.

James Conner Free Agency Odds

• [March 10] Opening odds favor James Conner signing with the New York Jets in free agency.

Free Agent Wide Receivers

The most exciting position group in 2021 NFL free agency is the wide receivers. There are a couple borderline elite receivers hitting the open market, and a large handful of very good no. 2 WRs. Although, the two top guys, Allen Robinson and Kenny Golladay, are both favored to re-sign with their former teams.

Allen Robinson Free Agency Odds

Despite the issues Robinson has had with the Bears, the odds favor him re-signing in Chicago. While many football fans are calling for him to sign with the Ravens, sportsbooks only list Baltimore as the third-most likely destination for Robinson.

• [March 12] The Bears have become the odds-on favorites to be Allen Robinson’s team for Week 1 of the 2021 NFL season after the team placed the franchise tag on him.
• [March 9] The Bears have placed the franchise tag on Allen Robinson, though there is some speculation that Robinson may force his way out.

JuJu Smith-Schuster Free Agency Odds

• [March 10] The Raiders’ odds to be JuJu Smith-Schuster’s next team have improved from +160 to +140.
• [February 20] Sportsbooks agree with many fans in thinking JuJu has worn out his welcome in Pittsburgh. With the Raiders in need of another receiver that can win on the outside, Las Vegas is given the best odds to bring in Smith-Schuster.

Kenny Golladay Free Agency Odds

• [March 12] The Giants have become the favorites to sign Kenny Golladay in free agency after the Lions surprisingly did not franchise tag the wide receiver.
• [March 10] It seemed likely Golladay was going to have the franchise tag placed on him by Detroit, but the Lions have announced they will not use it on their star wide receiver. With Allen Robinson tagged, Golladay likely becomes the most coveted free agent WR.

Corey Davis Free Agency Odds

• [March 15] The New York Jets have signed Corey Davis to a 3-year, $37.5 million deal. The Jets were not even on the board to be Davis’ next team.
• [March 15] The Packers have opened as the favorites to sign free agent wide receiver Corey Davis, if Tennessee does not re-sign him.

Antonio Brown Free Agency Odds

Tom Brady really likes Antonio Brown. Tampa Bay really likes Tom Brady. Therefore, Tampa Bay really likes Antonio Brown.

• [March 12] While the Bucs are still heavily favored to sign Antonio Brown, Baltimore’s odds to sign the wide receiver went from +900 to +550.

Chris Godwin Free Agency Odds

Even though the Buccaneers’ wide receiver room would still be full of talent without Godwin, sportsbooks don’t foresee Tampa Bay allowing Godwin to get away.

• [March 9] The Bucs have informed Chris Godwin that they will be using the franchise tag on him.

Will Fuller Free Agency Odds

• [March 18] The Dolphins have signed Will Fuller to a one-year deal. Miami’s odds of signing Fuller opened at +375 and lengthened to +425.
• [March 12] The Packers odds to sign Will Fuller in free agency have improved from +650 to +210, still the second-best odds behind the Jets, though.
• [February 20] While most are fantasizing about pairing Will Fuller with Davante Adams in Green Bay, the odds favor the speedy WR landing with the Jets in free agency.

TY Hilton Free Agency Odds

Though he appears to be past his prime, the odds say the Colts aren’t going to let TY Hilton out of town.

Free Agent Tight Ends

There are some big-name tight ends available in 2021 NFL free agency, but the two biggest names are likely to re-sign with their respective 2020 teams. Those two names are Hunter Henry, who has always been a Charger, and Rob Gronkowski, who came out of retirement to join Tom Brady in Tampa Bay.

Hunter Henry Free Agency Odds

The Los Angeles Chargers are aiming to build around last year’s NFL OROY Justin Herbert. Allowing one of his favorite targets to leave in free agency doesn’t seem like a good move. But the Chargers have informed Henry that he will not be tagged, allowing him to hit free agency.

• [March 16] The New England Patriots have signed Hunter Henry to a 3-year, $37.5 million deal. Bill Belichick has now added two talented tight ends this offseason in Jonnu Smith and Henry. Bettors who took the Pats to be Henry’s next team are either enjoying a +400 or +175 payout.
• [March 12] Even though the Chargers did not place the franchise tag on Hunter Henry, they are still favored to re-sign their tight end. New England’s odds to sign Henry went from +400 to +175, the second-best odds.

Rob Gronkowski Free Agency Odds

Rob Gronkowski came out of retirement to join the Tampa Bay Buccaneers because that’s where his boy Tom Brady was signing. Brady is coming back for the 2021 NFL season, and it is widely believed that Gronk will be in Tampa Bay with him.

• [March 15] Rob Gronkowski has re-signed with the Buccaneers, inking a 1-year, $10 million deal.