2026-27 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker – Tate the New Favorite
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2026-27 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
- Carnell Tate is the favorite to win NFL OROY
- Track each player’s OROY odds throughout the 2026-27 NFL season
I am tracking 2026-27 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2026-2027 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. All sportsbooks make NFL OROY odds available throughout the season, with some brief downtimes expected during games. The highly-coveted RB from Notre Dame, Jeremiyah Love, who was selected third-overall by the Cardinals, remains the favorite with the season underway. But we will see notable odds movement after each week moving forward.
The NFL OROY odds table below surfaces up the best odds for each player (that are available in your region), while also letting you compare to their opening odds. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.
Current NFL OROY Odds & Favorites
Carnell Tate is seen as the current favorite to win NFL OROY for the 2026-27 NFL season. Tate is given as long as +260 odds to take home the award, and his probability to win it based on those odds is 27.8%. A $20 bet on the Titans new wide receiver would stand to profit $52 and return $72.
Denzel Boston is seen as second behind Tate with +600 consensus odds.
Top OROY Odds
- Carnell Tate (+255 consensus odds)
- Denzel Boston (+600)
- KC Concepcion (+600)
- Jeremiyah Love (+700)
- Fernando Mendoza (+800)
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The biggest winners in the OROY odds after Week 7 were:
- KC Concepcion: just as it seemed Denzel Boston was going to be the Browns receiver who contends for the Offensive Rookie of the Year, Concepcion enjoyed his breakout game, recording eight receptions and 129 receiving yards on ten targets. The big game saw his OROY odds improve from +1950 to +600.
The biggest losers were as follows:
- Jeremiyah Love: the Cardinals running back missed his second straight game, resulting in his OROY odds fading from +310 to +700.
The NFL OROY odds in the table above are gathered from the top online sportsbooks, including DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, and are updated every 15 minutes. Be sure you check out the best DraftKings promo cost before signing up. There are plenty of other great bonuses to claim as well including top BetMGM offers and Caesars Sportsbook promos. There is also an excellent Bet365 bonus code for new users to claim and the Bet365 brand has some of the most competitive odds in the business.
NFL OROY Odds Notable Line Movement Updates
- [October 20] Denzel Boston only recorded one reception for 15 yards in Week 6, which left the door open for Carnell Tate’s strong performance to make him the new favorite.
- [October 13] After a quiet week that saw Love total 22 yards on 12 touches, Denzel Boston used his 46 receiving yards and a touchdown to take over as the new favorite to win OROY.
- [September 3] With Kirk Cousins being named the starting QB for the Raiders, Fernando Mendoza’s OROY odds worsened from +510 to +675. He remained one of the top contenders, though, as sportsbooks obviously expect him to get a shot under center this season.
- [August 31] Ja’Kobi Lane’s odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year skyrocketed from +5750 odds to +1700 after plenty of hype following training camp and the preseason.
- [August 30] Jordyn Tyson was placed on the IR with a designation to return, which saw his OROY odds freefall from +675, as he was one of the top contenders, to +7000 with a lot of uncertainty around when he will make his debut.
- [August 1] After news broke that Ricky Pearsall would undergo season-ending surgery, De’Zhaun Stribling’s OROY odds improved from an average of +6000 just a couple weeks prior to as short as +2000. Stribling’s path to snaps and targets clears up a lot with Pearsall out of the way, though Deebo Samuel signed with the team just a few days prior to this news.
- [June 1] The Eagles officially traded AJ Brown, opening up some potential targets for Makai Lemon. However, Lemon’s OROY odds were not really affected by the move. This is likely because the Brown trade was assumed to be happening for a while.
- [April 22] Jeremiyah Love opened as the favorite to win NFL OROY for the 2026-27 season. He was followed closely by Fernando Mendoza.
Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends
Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:
- Jayden Danirels (2024-25), CJ Stroud (2023-24), Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last 12 years
- RBs have won the award in just 2 of the last 9 seasons and in 4 of the last 13
- Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last 14 years
- Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
- The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 15 of the last 19 seasons, but the AFC has won 4 of the last 6; before CJ Stroud, Garrett Wilson, Ja’Marr Chase, and Justin Herbert won the award in 4 of the last 6, Vince Young was the previous AFC player to win OROY (2006)
- The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are seven teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
- No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award
Past NFL OROY Winners
| Year | OROY Winner |
|---|---|
| 2025 | Tetairoa McMillan |
| 2024 | Jayden Daniels |
| 2023 | CJ Stroud |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson |
| 2021 | Ja’Marr Chase |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott |
OROY Winners by Position
| Position | Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 13 |
| Running Back | 34 |
| Wide Receiver | 12 |
| FIELD | 0 |
OROY Winners by Draft Round
Among the 59 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 44 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 52 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.
Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.
- 11 of the 13 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- 9 of the 12 WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award
Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:
OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round
| Player | Position | Draft Pos. | Draft Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Shaw | QB | 2nd-rd (30th overall) | 1970 |
| Sammy White | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 1976 |
| Carl Pickens | WR | 2nd-rd (31st overall) | 1992 |
| Anthony Thomas | RB | 2nd-rd (38th overall) | 2001 |
| Clinton Portis | RB | 2nd-rd (51st overall) | 2002 |
| Anquan Boldin | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 2003 |
| Eddie Lacy | RB | 2nd-rd (61st overall) | 2013 |
| Rueben Mayes | RB | 3rd-rd (57th overall) | 1986 |
| Curtis Martin | RB | 3rd-rd (74th overall) | 1995 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 3rd-rd (67th overall) | 2017 |
| Troy Stradford | RB | 4th-rd (99th overall) | 1987 |
| Dak Prescott | QB | 4th-rd (135th overall) | 2016 |
| Mike Thomas | RB | 5th-rd (108th overall) | 1975 |
| Don Woods | RB | 6th-rd (134th overall) | 1974 |
| Mike Anderson | RB | 6th-rd (189th overall) | 2000 |
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Archived OROY Odds:
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.