2028 US Presidential Election Odds Tracker – Vance Favored Over Obama, Newsom, DeSantis
By Sascha Paruk
Updated:
- See the early odds to win the 2028 Presidential election
- Vice President JD Vance is the favorite to win the White House in 2028, followed by Gavin Newsom
- Use the graphs below to see how the 2028 presidential odds have changed over time
The next US Presidential Election will take place on Tuesday, Nov. 7th, 2028. Barring amendments to term limits, Donald Trump will not be eligible to run. At the outset, sportsbooks see 2028 as a wide-open race, with no single candidate shorter than +300. The graphs and tables, below, show the odds for all the 2028 presidential election favorites and longshots. One of the most popular ways to bet on the US election is with Kalshi, see our Kalshi promo code page for the latest sign-up offer.
2028 US Presidential Odds
Vice President JD Vance, a.k.a. the former junior senator from Ohio, has opened as the favorite to win the 2028 US presidential election. California Governor Gavin Newsom is now second, while former First Lady Michelle Obama is third, despite never having held – or even sought – public office.
POLYMARKETDEPOSIT $10 & GET A $50 BONUS WITH CODE DIME
KALSHI TRADINGTRADE $25 & GET A $25 BONUS WITH CODE DIME!
NOVIG PREDICTION MARKETDEPOSIT $10 & GET $25 IN TRADE CREDITS WITH CODE DIME
UNDERDOG PREDICT50% DEPOSIT MATCH UP TO $1,000 & KEEP YOUR MILLION WITH CODE SBD!
DRAFTKINGS PREDICTIONSSPEND $5 & GET $200 IN BONUSES
OG PREDICTION MARKETTRADE $25, GET $25 WELCOME OFFER WITH CODE DIME!
PROPHETX PREDICTION EXCHANGETRADE $50, GET $75 BONUS WITH CODE SBDIME!
ONYX ODDSSPEND $10 & GET $50 IN BONUS PICKS WITH CODE DIME!
CRYPTO.COMUP TO $50 BONUS IN CRO!
FANDUEL PREDICTSGET A $100 BONUS WHEN YOU TRADE $1 FOR 5 DAYS!
FANDUEL PREDICTS T&Cs: Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer
2028 Presidential Election Favorites
Odds as of April 2, 2025, at DraftKings.
Timeline of Presidential Odds Movement
- April 2, 2025: Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (+1000) now has the best odds among all Democrats on the board. Vance remains the +250 favorite. Despite talk of a third term from Donald Trump, his name has yet to appear on the board.
- February 24, 2025: Amid a fractious first couple months as Vice President, JD Vance remains the +250 favorite to win the 2028 US Presidential Election. Gavin Newsom is now the second-favorite at +750.
- November 6, 2024: soon-to-be Vice President JD Vance has opened at +300 (25% implied win probability) followed by Michelle Obama at +500 (16.67%) and Gavin Newsom at +550 (15.38%).
Winning Party Odds
Nov. 6, 2024: bet365 has opened the GOP as the -150 favorite to retain the White House in 2028.
| Party | Odds |
|---|---|
| Republicans | -150 |
| Democrats | +120 |
| Independent | +10000 |
Odds as of Nov. 6, 2024, at bet365.
Archived presidential election odds
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
