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  • See the most recent Ballon d’Or odds
  • Bayern Munich’s superstar Robert Lewandowski is slightly favored over PSG’s Lionel Messi
  • Track each player’s odds movement during the year

We are tracking the odds for each player contending to take home the 2021 Ballon d’Or award.

The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the year.

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Ballon d’Or Top Contenders

  • [11/18/21] Odds keep shortening on the Polish star from Bayern Munich, now making him the -125 favorite
  • [10/5/21] Robert Lewandowski’s odds have shortened from +750 to +550 since late August
  • [8/25/21] Odds on Jorginho are shortening from +1400 to +500
  • [7/19/21 ] Lionel Messi is the early favorite at -250 odds after winning the Copa America with Argentina

2021 Ballon d’Or Top Contender Odds

Player Odds
Robert Lewandowski -125
Lionel Messi -110
Karim Benzema +2200
Mohamed Salah +2500
Jorginho +2800
N’Golo Kante +5000
Kevin De Bruyne +5000
Cristiano Ronaldo +5000
Romelu Lukaku +6500
Kylian Mbappe +6500
Neymar +6500
Gianluigi Donnarumma +6500
Bruno Fernandes +6500
Simon Kljaer +6500
Harry Kane +6500
Erling Haaland +10000
Giorgio Chiellini +10000
Lautaro Martinez +10000
Luka Modric +10000
Phil Foden +10000

Odds as of Nov 18

The Ballon d’Or award has been dominated by two players over the past decade. Luka Modric may have won the honor in 2018, but Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo won in each of the previous ten seasons. That trend continued in 2019 with Messi receiving his sixth Ballon d’Or award. No trophy was awarded in 2020 because of the coronavirus.

Recent Ballon d’Or Winners

Year Player
2020 Not Awarded
2019 Lionel Messi
2018 Luka Modric
2017 Cristiano Ronaldo
2016 Cristiano Ronaldo
2015 Lionel Messi
2014 Cristiano Ronaldo
2013 Cristiano Ronaldo
2012 Lionel Messi
2011 Lionel Messi
2010 Lionel Messi
2009 Lionel Messi
2008 Cristiano Ronaldo

Most Ballon d’Or Awards

Player Number of Awards
Lionel Messi 6
Cristiano Ronaldo 5
Marco van Basten 3
Michel Platini 3
Johan Cruyff 3

Archived Trackers: 20202019

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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com