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  • See the most recent Ballon d’Or odds
  • Lionel Messi and Erling Haaland are the top twp favorites to win the Ballon d’Or followed bu Vinicius Jr and Keven de Bruyne
  • Track each player’s odds movement during the year

We are tracking the Ballon d’Or odds for each player contending to take home the 2023 award.

Lionel Messi has won two of the past three Ballon d’Or awards that have been awarded and is a huge favorite to win again this year.

The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the year.

Ballon d’Or Top Contenders

  • [7/6/23] At -600 odds, Lionel Messi is given implied probability of 85.71% to win the 2023 Ballon d’Or award

2023 Ballon d’Or Top Contender Odds

Player Odds
Lionel Messi -600
Erling Haaland +450
Vinicius Jr +4000
Kevin de Bruyne +4000
Rodri +5000
Ilkay Gundogan +6600
Kylain Mbappe +6600
Karim Benzema +8000
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia =20000
Jude Bellingham +20000
Harry Kane +25000
Robert Lewandowski +25000
Neymar +50000
Marcus Rashford +50000
Mohamed Salah +50000

Lionel Messi leads the Ballon d’Or odds at -600 in the table above. While Erling Haaland in the second-favoritem he’s still a distance second at +450 odds. Odds as of July 6 at Bet365.


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Messi’s recent resume of winning the Copa America and the World Cup with Argentina have propelled him into the spot of favorite. However, Erling Haaland also broke the EPL goals record and won the Champions League with Manchester City, putting him firmly in the conversation this year as well.

Recent Ballon d’Or Winners

Year Player
2022 Karim Benzema
2021 Lionel Messi
2020 Not Awarded
2019 Lionel Messi
2018 Luka Modric
2017 Cristiano Ronaldo
2016 Cristiano Ronaldo
2015 Lionel Messi
2014 Cristiano Ronaldo
2013 Cristiano Ronaldo
2012 Lionel Messi
2011 Lionel Messi
2010 Lionel Messi
2009 Lionel Messi
2008 Cristiano Ronaldo

The Ballon d’Or has been dominated by just a few names of late. Of the last 14 winners, only four players have won the award. And 12 of those 14 have been won by either Cristiano Ronaldo or Lionel Messi.

The only player to break up their dominance was Luka Modric in 2018.

Most Ballon d’Or Awards

Player Number of Awards
Lionel Messi 7
Cristiano Ronaldo 5
Marco van Basten 3
Michel Platini 3
Johan Cruyff 3

With Messi winning two of the past three Ballon d’Ors, he now has a two-win lead over Ronaldo at 7-5 when it comes to the most-ever Ballon d’Or wins.

Archived Trackers: 2022, 2021, 20202019

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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com