Michigan vs Penn State Odds, Spread & Picks (Jan. 29)

By George Nassios in College Basketball
Updated: April 12, 2023 at 1:02 pm EDTPublished:

- The Michigan Wolverines go up against the Penn State Nittany Lions on Sunday, January 29th
- Michigan hasn’t won a game away from home since December 8th, a span of four games
- See below for the Michigan vs Penn State odds, plus our best bet and prediction
A couple of middling Big Ten programs who are going through similar ups-and-downs in January take on one another on Sunday, January 29th when the Michigan Wolverines (11-9, 9-10-1 ATS) pay a visit to the Penn State Nittany Lions (13-7, 11-8-1 ATS). Tipoff is set for noon ET from the Bryce Jordan Center.
Both sides have alternated wins and losses over their last five games, but that routine will end for one squad on Sunday afternoon. Owners of a 10-1 home record, Penn State have opened as 3.5-point favorites in the college basketball odds.
Michigan have not had much success on the road so far this season, with just one win to show as the visiting team. For more Michigan vs Penn State odds, see the table below as we preview this game and offer up our best bet.
Michigan vs Penn State Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Michigan Wolverines | +3.5 (-110) | +138 | O 139.5 (-115) |
Penn State Nittany Lions | -3.5 (-110) | -166 | U 139.5 (-105) |
Odds as of January 28th from FanDuel. Unlock the FanDuel promo code to  bet on this game.
Sportsbooks have handicapped this game just right when you take into account all the factors. As -166 chalk, the Nittany Lions have an implied win probability of 62.41%, while the Wolverines have a probability of 42.02% to win this game.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends
As a serious preseason contender in the Wooden Award odds, Hunter Dickinson was expected to lead the Wolverines to new heights this season. Instead, they find themselves in a similar spot to last year’s campaign, just hanging around the middle of the Big Ten standings.
Another big man in the conference, Purdue center, Zach Edey, has stolen the thunder from Dickinson, not just in the conference, but in the country. The Canadian is currently a strong favorite to win college basketball’s player of the year award and got the better of Dickinson in Purdue’s 75-70 victory on Thursday night.
Purdue/Michigan let’s go
Zach Edey is massive, makes 7’1 Hunter Dickinson look like an undersized 5.
Pretty good bend on the classic two drib drop step. Curious to see how he handles other coverages – hard doubles, digs from one pass away, etc. pic.twitter.com/It0UuIr4FE
— Josh Codinera (@JoshScoutEm) January 27, 2023
For Dickinson, his game has been a reflection of his team’s campaign as a whole. He hasn’t taken his game to the next level, with eerily similar statistics compared to his sophomore season, and as such, the Wolverines haven’t climbed the standings either.
Playing as visitors does not appeal to the Blue, as they are winless on the road in January with all those games coming against conference foes. Not only did they suffer defeat in each of those contests, but they failed to cover the spread as underdogs in each of those games.
Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Trends
Once again the Nittany Lions are home favorites in the college basketball odds and deservedly so. They own a stellar 10-1 records as hosts this season. Just over three weeks ago, they suffered a 10-point loss to Michigan in Ann Arbor, so you can count on them hoping to return the favor in this encounter.
Recent meetings between these two schools have not been kind to Penn State. The Wolverines have won 11 of the last 13 head-to-head meetings, with the Nittany Lions winning just once on their own court during that span.
Michigan vs Penn State Recent Results
Date | Home-Away | Spread | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|
01/04/2023 | MICH 74 – PSU 69 | MICH | Over |
02/08/2022 | PSU 57 – MICH 58 | PSU | Under |
12/13/2020 | MICH 62 – PSU 58 | PSU | Under |
01/22/2020 | MICH 63 – PSU 72 | PSU | Under |
02/12/2019 | PSU 75 – MICH 69 | PSU | Over |
While the Nittany Lions are coming off a terrible offensive performance against Rutgers where they scored just 45 points on 33.3% shooting, there are some areas where they excel on the offensive end. Keep in mind, Rutgers are arguably the best defensive team in the nation, while Michigan most definitely are not.
According to KenPom, Penn State are the 20th ranked team in the country in both three point shooting and effective field goal percentage. In addition, they treat the basketball like a newborn baby, with the least amount of turnovers of any Division I team.
Michigan vs Penn State Pick and Prediction
For the moment, these teams need to do everything in their power to pad their resumes in the hopes of making it to the big dance, never mind having designs on being candidates in the odds to win the NCAA tournament.
Fantastic freshman Jett Howard sat out the Wolverines last game with an ankle injury and is considered day-to-day at the moment. Even if he is available, he’ll be playing at less than 100% and his explosiveness to the hoop will definitely be affected.
Michigan’s Jett Howard was helped off the floor after suffering an apparent ankle injury today vs. Minnesota. He did not return. pic.twitter.com/X4xdmhzZOs
— The Field of 68 (@TheFieldOf68) January 22, 2023
Following a straight up loss this year, the Nittany Lions are 9-2 against the spread so our prediction is that they take advantage of a banged up Michigan side that can’t seem to win on the road and take this contest going away.
Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions -3.5 (-110)
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Sports Writer
George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.