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US Open Odds, Picks & Predictions 2023

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in Golf

Published:


Scottie Scheffler watches his approach shot
Jun 4, 2023; Dublin, Ohio, USA; Scottie Scheffler plays his shot from the 15th tee during the final round of the Memorial Tournament golf tournament at the Muirfield Village Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports
  • The US Open from Los Angeles Country Club tees off Thursday, June 15th
  • Scottie Scheffler is the +700 favorite over Jon Rahm
  • See the 2023 US Open odds, picks, and best value bets below

One week after a thrilling ending to a four-hole playoff won by Canadian Nick Taylor at the RBC Canadian Open, the worlds best tee off for the third major championship of the year. After Jon Rahm won the Masters and Brooks Koepka took the PGA Championship, the US Open trophy is what the players have their sights on.

This is the first time that Los Angeles Country Club will host the national Open, and it plays to a par 70. Additionally, it happens to be the first time LA has hosted the national Open in 75 years. It’s also the maiden time that it features five par-3’s and three par 5s in US Open history. Two of the short holes will be upwards of 300 yards, with one of them playing as short as 92 yards.

2023 US Open Odds

Golfers Odds
Scottie Scheffler +700
Jon Rahm +1000
Brooks Koepka +1100
Rory McIlroy +1400
Patrick Cantlay +1400
Viktor Hovland +1800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Cameron Smith +2500
Jordan Spieth +2800
Max Homa +2800
Collin Morikawa +3000
Tyrrell Hatton +3000
Dustin Johnson +3500
Matt Fitzpatrick +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Tony Finau +4000
Bryson DeChambeau +4000
Justin Rose +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Cameron Young +4000

Scheffler is the betting favorite in the pre-tournament US Open odds, followed by 2021 US Open champion Rahm. The top-five is rounded out by last month’s PGA Champ Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy and Patrick Cantlay. The defending champion is Matt Fitzpatrick, who fended off Scheffler and Will Zalatoris to claim his first major title.

 

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Viktor Hovland Poised for First Major Title

Viktor Hovland has been knocking on the door at the biggest tournaments and appears poised to join the elite club of major champions. It started at last years Open Championship, where he was in the final pairing in the final round. He wound up T-4th, which was his first of three straight top-7s in majors. As the calendar flipped to 2023, he was T-3rd at the ‘fifth major’ Players Championship, T-7th at the Masters, then T-2nd at last month’s PGA Championship. That was his best chance to secure a major, where a costly shot on the 70th hole doomed his chances.

Viktor Hovland’s Strokes Gained Stats Last Twelve Rounds

Total Tee-To-Green Short Game Ball Striking Putting Approach
2 4 4 7 7 10

Any doubt that that close call at the PGA would result in scar tissue was quickly erased, as he won the Memorial Tournament two starts later, which was just two weeks ago. Five golfers have shorter odds to win outright than Hovland, so you’re getting him at decent +1800 value, particularly given his strong stats of late.

Past Five US Open Winners

Year Winner
2022 Matt Fitzpatrick
2021 Jon Rahm
2020 Bryson DeChambeau
2019 Gary Woodland
2018 Brooks Koepka

2023 US Open Picks and Value Bets

  1. Tyrrell Hatton (+3000): Not many golfers have had a sustained run of great play that Tyrrell Hatton has. He’s been inside the top-15 in five straight tournaments, missing out on a playoff by a stroke at last week’s RBC Canadian Open. In the last 24 rounds, Hatton is second in total strokes gained and putting, and seventh tee-to-green. For the campaign, he’s third in total strokes gained, which includes a runner-up at the Players Championship.
  2. Justin Thomas (+5000): It’s obvious that Justin Thomas hasn’t been playing the quality of golf we’re accustomed to. He’s won two PGA Championships, so he can get it done in majors, and has a pair of top-10s at this championship. It’s not like he’s been a disaster, with eight top-25’s in his last twelve starts. At these odds, the 15-time PGA Tour winner is too good to pass up.
  3. Sam Burns (+6000): This year’s WGC-Match Play champion has very intriguing odds at +6000. That was his fifth victory in the last three years. Burns is a top-10 putter this season, and before a missed cut, placed T-6th and T-16th in his two previous outings. He’ll be an interesting name in the top 10/20 markets.

 

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Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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