Best Cowboys vs Giants Player Props to Bet for Week 4 TNF
By Chris Amberley in NFL Football
Published:
- The Cowboys and Giants meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 4 on September 26
- Dak Prescott’s career low 3.3% TD rate is due for positive regression
- Don’t miss the best Cowboys vs Giants player prop odds, picks, and best bets, below
NFC East rivals clash on Thursday Night Football in Week 4, as the stumbling Dallas Cowboys visit the New York Giants.
Dallas is fresh off consecutive embarrassing performances, and will need to lean on stars Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb to avoid falling to 1-3.
New York, meanwhile, has found the Big Apple’s next phenom in Malik Nabers, and all three players are sure to draw plenty of attention in the NFL player props market.
You can argue each is in a position to succeed on TNF, but Prescott in particular has something to prove. The NFL’s highest-paid player headlines our favorite Cowboys vs Giants player props, as his TD passes price is too short to ignore.
Cowboys vs Giants Player Props
| Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 23.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 263.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Daniel Jones (NYG) | 19.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 198.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 0.5 (O -215 | U +165) |
| Rusher | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rush + Rec Yds |
| Rico Dowdle (DAL) | 8.5 (O -145 | U +115) | 36.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 52.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) | 7.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 28.5 (O -105 | U -125) | OFF |
| Devon Singletary (NYG) | 14.5 (O +100 | U -130) | 60.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 80.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 2.5 (O -145 | U +115) | 7.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
| Daniel Jones (NYG) | 7.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 29.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
| Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 6.5 (O -105 | U -125) | 79.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 25.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Jalen Tolbert (DAL) | 2.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 28.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 15.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
| Brandin Cooks (DAL) | 3.5 (O +110 | U -140) | 37.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 18.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
| Jake Ferguson (DAL) | 4.5 (O +110 | U -140) | 42.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 17.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | 6.5 (O -105 | U -125) | 70.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 23.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
| Wan’Dale Robinson (NYG) | 4.5 (O +115 | U -145) | 35.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 15.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
| Theo Johnson (NYG) | 1.5 (O -145 | U +115) | 15.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 10.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
The over/under on Prescott in that market is 1.5. His counterpart Jones, on the other hand, has a passing TD’s over/under of 0.5, and a passing yards prop that is 65 yards lower.
Odds as of Sept 24 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the promo code for DraftKings before making any bet on Thursday Night Football this week.
The Cowboys vs Giants odds currently favor Dallas by 5.5 to 6.0 points while Big D is -275 on the moneyline to win straight-up. Despite being short road favorites, Dallas is still getting 88% of moneyline handle in the NFL public betting splits.
Cowboys vs Giants Prop #1: Dak Prescott TD Passes
Dallas has an implied team total 25.5 in the Week 4Â NFL odds, and anyone who’s watched their rushing attack will tell you those points aren’t going to come on the ground. The Cowboys are the fourth-worst rush offense per Pro Football Focus, averaging just 3.6 yards per carry.
They’re going to continue to lean on Prescott to move the chains and generate points. Dak is averaging over 40 attempts per game, and is due for positive regression in the touchdown department.
Does this feel like a Super Bowl offense?
"When you have Dak Prescott. Dak Prescott is a good quarterback"@Edelman11 believes in Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense pic.twitter.com/MNCZKKOBcX
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) September 22, 2024
Prescott currently boasts a career-low 3.3% TD rate. That’s down 2 percent from his lifetime average, and bettors shouldn’t be scared off by this matchup. Yes, the Giants looked competent in pass defense in recent weeks, but that was versus rookie Jayden Daniels and Deshaun Watson, who’s playing himself out of the league.
It was only three weeks ago that Sam Darnold lit the Giants up, and Prescott should do the same. The last time Dak faced the G-Men, he dropped 404 yards and 4 TD on them.
- Cowboys vs Giants Prop Picks: Dak Prescott Over 1.5 TD Passes (-120); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Cowboys vs Giants Prop #2: Rico Dowdle Rush Attempts
Not only is the Dallas backfield unproductive, it’s also crowded. No RB averages more than 3.8 yards per carry, and none of the three are deserving of substantial work.
Dowdle is the current workhorse, averaging 7.9 carries per game, but has shown little juice. He doesn’t have a single explosive run this season on 23 attempts, and has just two on 119 career carries.
Cowboys Running Back Rushing Stats
| Player | Carries | YDS | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | 23 | 88 | 3.8 |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 19 | 62 | 3.3 |
| Deuce Vaughn | 7 | 20 | 2.9 |
Until they prove otherwise, Dowdle, Zeke Elliott and Deuce Vaughn are all easy fades. We’ll target the under on Dowdle’s attempts at plus-money.
- Cowboys vs Giants Prop Picks: Rico Dowdle Under 8.5 Rush Attempts (+115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Cowboys vs Giants Touchdown Scorer Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
|---|---|---|
| Devin Singletary (NYG) | +550 | -120 |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | +550 | -120 |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | +850 | +125 |
| Jake Ferguson (DAL) | +950 | +170 |
| Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) | +1000 | +175 |
| Rico Dowdle (DAL) | +1000 | +175 |
| Brandin Cooks (DAL) | +1200 | +230 |
| Daniel Jones (NYG) | +1200 | +235 |
| Jalen Tolbert (DAL) | +1400 | +265 |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | +1700 | +320 |
Shifting to the touchdown props, we’ll pay a little bit of juice to bet Devin Singletary to score. The Giants lead RB has touchdowns in back-to-back contests, and now draws the best possible matchup.
Dallas’ run defense is the lowest graded unit per PFF. The Ravens just torched them for 274 rushing yards and three scores, after the Saints piled up 190 yards and 4 TD.
Singletary is not an elite back, but he has a stranglehold on Giants RB touches. He’s handled 42 out of a possible 53 running back carries, including eight of the nine red zone attempts.
- Cowboys vs Giants Prop Picks: Devin Singletary Anytime TD (-120); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
