Oilers vs Stars Series Odds, Schedule & Early Prediction – 2025 Western Conference Final

• The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars meet again in a Western Conference Final rematch
• Opening odds slightly favor Dallas despite Edmonton’s dominant metrics
• Read below for opening Oilers vs Stars odds, schedule, preview and early prediction

It’s déjà vu in the NHL Playoffs as the Oilers vs Stars rematch is set for the 2025 NHL Western Conference Final. This highly anticipated Round three matchup was finalized Saturday night after the Stars eliminated the Winnipeg Jets in overtime, setting up a conference final rematch one year in the making.

Opening Oilers vs Stars odds hit the board right after Dallas’s series-clinching victory, with oddsmakers giving a slight edge to the Stars. Dallas sits at -115 on the moneyline in the series odds, showing bookmakers see this as an incredibly tight matchup.

Here’s a breakdown of the opening Oilers vs Stars odds, plus the series schedule, and my best bet prediction.

Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Odds

Dallas is priced at -115 on the moneyline in the Western Conference Final odds, translating to a 53.5% implied probability to advance to the Stanley Cup Final.

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Odds as of May 18 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Register with the DraftKings promo code to make an early Oilers vs Stars prediction.

Dallas Favored Despite Edmonton’s Dominant Metrics

Oddsmakers have installed the Dallas Stars as slight favorites in the Western Conference Final odds despite Edmonton’s impressive statistical profile. The Stars look like a team of destiny after eliminating the Presidents’ Trophy-winning Winnipeg Jets in six games, following their seven-game grind against Colorado in the opening round.

The Oilers enter the Western Conference Final as betting underdogs despite featuring the NHL’s best player in Connor McDavid and dominating the Vegas Golden Knights in five games during their second-round series. Edmonton’s advanced metrics suggest they should be favored – they’re controlling 54% of shot attempts and nearly 60% of high-danger chances.

It’s not hard to see why bookmakers still lean Dallas, though. The Stars just took down two elite opponents behind Jake Oettinger’s stellar goaltending (.919 save percentage). The 26-year-old is becoming the favorite to start in net for Team USA at the Olympics.

Dallas allows fewer goals per game (2.92 vs 3.09) and has the better penalty kill (86.0% vs Edmonton’s concerning 66.7%). They’ve also won six straight home games and have allowed two or fewer goals in five of them, exemplifying their defensive dominance.

Series Schedule

The Western Conference Final kicks off Wednesday, May 21st with ESPN broadcasting the action. Game one will take place at American Airlines Center, as the Stars hold home-ice advantage in this rematch of last year’s conference final.

*If necessary

The Stars vs Oilers series schedule features games every other day throughout the entire matchup. This could favor Dallas, whose deeper forward group should handle the compressed schedule better than Edmonton’s top-heavy lineup.

Oilers vs Stars H2H History

In the 2024-25 NHL regular season, the Oilers and Stars renewed their rivalry with three meetings. Dallas had Edmonton’s number in the regular season, going 2-1-0, including a 4-3 victory in late-March. They Stars have a 110-73-15-3 all-time edge over Edmonton.

EDM vs DAL Recent Meetings

But when it mattered most last year, the Oilers finally figured out the Stars, taking them down in six games during the 2024 Western Conference Final.

Oilers vs Stars Team Comparison

The contrast in styles between these teams jumps off the page. Edmonton dominates possession metrics with superior Corsi and Expected Goals percentages, while Dallas relies on elite goaltending and special teams. The Oilers create more high-danger chances, but the Stars have converted on their power play opportunities at an impressive 30.8% clip.

Goaltending could be the deciding factor in this series. Jake Oettinger has been rock-solid for Dallas, posting a .919 save percentage and 2.47 GAA. Meanwhile, Edmonton has rotated between Stuart Skinner (2.84 GAA, .888 SV%) and Calvin Pickard (3.05 GAA, .884 SV%), with neither providing the same level of consistency.

Early Oilers vs Stars Prediction

This rematch in the Western Conference Finals is going to be a can’t-miss showdown between Edmonton’s insane offensive firepower and Dallas’s solid defense. While the Oilers boast superior advanced metrics across the board, several key factors point toward the Stars reversing last year’s result.

The most compelling reason to back Dallas is their significant edge in goaltending. Jake Oettinger’s .919 save percentage dwarfs the numbers posted by either Edmonton netminder. The Stars also excel on special teams, with the third-ranked power play and penalty kill, while Edmonton’s penalty kill ranks a concerning 14th.

Dallas players have openly discussed their motivation for revenge after last year’s loss. Miro Heiskanen stated, “We want to beat them this time, we don’t want to lose two in a row against the same team.” The Stars will bring an obvious emotional edge to this rematch, with last year’s defeat still fresh in their minds.

The Stars have proven their resilience by already eliminating two quality teams in Colorado and Winnipeg. Their structured defensive system, combined with home-ice advantage (where they’ve won 6 straight) and a deeper forward group better suited to handle the every-other-day schedule, makes them my pick to take the WCF.

EDM vs DAL Pick:

• Stars to Win Series 4-2 (+500 at DraftKings)