Updated Oilers vs Stars Series Odds After Edmonton Wins Game 2

• Oilers bounce back with commanding 3-0 Game 2 victory to even series
• Edmonton now -145 favorites over Dalls after opening as underdogs
• Read below for Oilers vs Stars odds as series shifts to Edmonton

Two games into the Western Conference Final, and the Edmonton Oilers have completely flipped the script.

After erasing the sting of their historic Game 1 collapse with a dominant 3-0 shutout victory over the Dallas Stars, the Oilers have gone from slight underdogs to clear -145 series favorites heading home for Games 3 and 4.

The line movement tells a story that goes deeper than the 1-1 series tie.

Updated Oilers vs Stars Series Odds

Odds as of May 23 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out our DraftKings Review before wagering.

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The line movement tells the complete story. Edmonton opened as slight -105 underdogs with Dallas at -115 favorites. But after Game 2’s shutout performance, the Oilers are now laying -145 to advance to their second straight Stanley Cup Final.

Oilers vs Stars Analysis

The advanced metrics tell the real story behind this series shift. Despite Game 1’s 6-3 disaster, Edmonton has been the superior team for five of six periods played. They hold a 52.85% expected goals percentage at five-on-five compared to Dallas’s 47.15%. Edmonton’s possession numbers are equally solid, with a 50.75% Fenwick percentage and a slight edge in high-danger chances at 51.28%.

Stuart Skinner’s remarkable turnaround defines the series momentum. His Game 2 shutout—making 25 saves for his third shutout in four games—completely erased memories of the Game 1 collapse where he allowed six goals. Skinner has four career playoff shutouts and closed out the second round against Vegas with consecutive shutouts. When he’s locked in, the Oilers become extremely difficult to beat.

The star power stepped up in Game 2. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl both reached 20 playoff points, matching Dallas’s Mikko Rantanen for the league lead. McDavid’s four consecutive 20-point postseasons ties the NHL record previously achieved by Sergei Fedorov, Bryan Trottier and Mike Bossy. Draisaitl hit the milestone for the second straight year.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has been clutch with power-play goals in consecutive games, including the series opener that put Edmonton ahead to stay in Game 2. His tip-in off Evan Bouchard’s shot came just 5:51 into the game and gave the Oilers early control.

Most importantly, Edmonton learned from Game 1’s penalty troubles. After taking multiple penalties that led to three consecutive Dallas power-play goals in a devastating 5:26 span, the Oilers committed just one minor penalty in Game 2 – a roughing call against Corey Perry. That discipline neutralized Dallas’s lethal 34.9% power play, second-best in the playoffs.

Home Ice and Key Factors

With the series shifting to Rogers Place, Edmonton gains crucial advantages. Their penalty kill at home (83.3%) is dramatically better than on the road (52%), which could prove decisive against Dallas’s elite special teams. The Oilers may also get reinforcement from defenseman Mattias Ekholm, who could return from injury for Game 3.

Edmonton eliminated Dallas in six games last year in this same Conference Final matchup, showing they know how to close out this opponent. The Oilers broke Dallas’s seven-game home playoff winning streak with the Game 2 shutout, demonstrating their ability to win in hostile territory when executing their game plan.

Game 2 Turning Points

Game 2 illustrated Edmonton’s improved approach against Dallas. Connor Brown scored the insurance goal after taking a skate to the mouth earlier in the period from Mikael Granlund. Brown hadn’t scored in 36 games since February 27th, but his deflection put the game away.

Brett Kulak’s goal at 15:23 gave Edmonton breathing room, coming off his own rebound after Dallas initially blocked the shot. The goals came just 1:13 apart, transforming a tight 1-0 game into a commanding 3-0 lead that Jake Oettinger couldn’t answer despite making 22 saves.

Updated Stanley Cup Odds

Odds as of May 23 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Edmonton sits at +230 as the second Stanley Cup favorite behind the Florida Panthers at +120, making an Oilers-Panthers rematch from last year’s Final the most likely championship scenario. Dallas remains in the mix at +330, while Carolina rounds out the final four at +1100.

The Panthers are favored due to their strong playoff performance and Eastern Conference Final position, but Edmonton’s underlying metrics and potential for improvement suggest they could be the value play at +230 if their goaltending and discipline hold up.