Panthers vs Oilers Prediction, Pick & Odds for Game 5 of Stanley Cup Final

• I’ve locked in my Oilers vs Panthers prediction for Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final
• The series is tied 2-2 after Edmonton’s wild comeback in Game 4
• Read below for my Game 5 Panthers vs Oilers prediction and betting picks

After the Edmonton Oilers completed one of the most memorable comebacks in Stanley Cup Final history, the series shifts back to Rogers Place for a pivotal Game 5. Online sportsbooks can’t separate these teams in the Oilers vs Panthers odds, instilling both as -110 favorites.

The defending champions controlled Thursday’s game for 20 minutes, building a 3-0 lead before watching it slip away. Sam Reinhart forced overtime with 19 seconds remaining, but Leon Draisaitl delivered his playoff-record fourth overtime winner to even the series. Despite the gut punch, I’m rolling with the road team in my Panthers vs Oilers prediction.

Puck drop is set for 8:00 PM ET on TNT from Edmonton, with the winner taking a crucial 3-2 series lead. Let’s examine how I’m betting Game 5 of the Final.

Panthers vs Oilers Prediction for Game 5

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Thursday’s thriller in Sunrise had everything. Matthew Tkachuk exploded for two first-period goals and added the primary assist on Sam Reinhart’s late equalizer. The Panthers dominated early, outshooting Edmonton 17-7 and chasing Stuart Skinner from the crease after just one period.

Then Edmonton showed why they’re two wins from the Cup. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Darnell Nurse, and Vaily Podkolzin erased the deficit, highlighting the depth that separates this year’s Oilers. Calvin Pickard was stellar in relief, stopping 22 of 23 shots, including a key save on Anton Lundell that kept Florida from regaining control.

The series numbers tell an interesting story. Florida has controlled 5-5 play with a 52.67% Corsi For percentage, but Edmonton has been more efficient at generating actual shots (52.47% SF%). Through four games, the Panthers have averaged 36.3 shots per contest while converting at a 33% clip on the power play (7-for-21), taking advantage of Edmonton’s discipline issues.

Goaltending remains the biggest question mark. Skinner’s struggles mean veteran backup Calvin Pickard (.896 SV%) will start Game 5 of the Final. Meanwhile, Sergei Bobrovsky (.913 SV%) hasn’t yet delivered that signature performance where he steals a game single-handedly – something he’s done in every series these playoffs.

Panthers vs Oilers Key Stats – Cup Final

*Stats through four games of Stanley Cup Final

The key factor entering Game 5? Florida’s road success. The Panthers carry a 9-3 record away from home this postseason and have already won at Rogers Place in these playoffs. They thrive in hostile environments, and Paul Maurice’s steady leadership keeps them composed regardless of the situation they face.

Here’s what really caught my attention: despite Edmonton’s emotional Game 4 victory, the betting line has actually moved toward Florida. The Panthers opened at +102 but now sit at -110 – a 12-cent swing that indicates sharp money is backing the defending champions. When the line moves against public sentiment like this, it’s usually a clear hint.

Panthers vs Oilers Picks Game 5

• Panthers Moneyline (-110 at DraftKings)
• Over 6 Goals (-140 at Caesars)

The contrarian play on Florida makes sense when you dig into the numbers. While everyone remembers Edmonton’s comeback, Florida still controlled possession through large portions, generated quality chances, and has proven they can win in this building. Their balanced scoring depth and superior special teams give them multiple ways to beat you.

As for the total, this series has been all offense. Every game between these teams this season has cleared 6 goals, including all six first periods going over 1.5. With Pickard making his first Finals start, expect another high-scoring affair.

The stakes of Game 5 typically produce wide-open hockey. Both teams know the difference between leading 3-2 and trailing, which should create plenty of scoring chances as they push for the series advantage.

Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers Odds

Both teams are listed at -110 on the moneyline, creating a true pick ’em that reflects how close this series has been through four games. The total sits at 6.5 with slight juice on the over at -102. You can find books that offer an over/under of 6, but you will need to pay more juice to bet over.

In the Stanley Cup odds, Florida holds a slight edge with a 51.1% implied probability compared to Edmonton’s 48.9%. Sam Bennett is currently the Conn Smythe favorite at +150, while Leon Draisaitl is the second betting choice at +200.

Odds as of June 14th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Grab a DraftKings promo code to wager on this game. Alberta residents can wager at Bet99 with the Bet99 promo code.

According to the NHL public betting trends, the majority of recreational money has landed on Edmonton after their thrilling Game 4 victory, which often creates value on the other side.

The Panthers’ championship experience and road warrior mentality can’t be overlooked. When you factor in Paul Maurice’s ability to keep his team focused after tough losses – they’ve bounced back all playoffs long – taking Florida at even money represents solid value in what should be another one-goal game.